There has been a lot reported in recent days about the return of currency wars. This story arises in the context of a likely Trump election victory in the November presidential elections.Trump badly bungled his transition after first being elected president in 2016. He wasn’t ready with a long list of loyal appointees.Many of his senior appointments such as Rex Tillerson as secretary of stat...Read More
Here is a run of recent headlines:"Is the United States on the Verge of Stagflation?"…"It’s Looking More and More Like Stagflation"…"Stagflation Fears Come Back With a Vengeance"…"The U.S. Economy May Be Barrelling Toward Stagflation, an Outcome Worse Than Recession"…"JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon Can't Shake the Worry America Is Headed for a Repeat of 1970s-Style Stagflatio...Read More
If these cash distributions continue, as expected, the company may consider paying a dividend by year-end 2024, noted Roth MKM.MAG Silver Corp.'s (MAG:TSX; MAG:NYSE American) Q1/24 financial results were in line with the estimates of Roth MKM, its managing director Joe Reagor reported in a May 14 research note. Due to Roth slightly adjusting some estimates in its model on the silver producer, the...Read More
I've previously said that gold could reach $15,000 by 2026. Today, I'm updating that forecast.My latest forecast is that gold may actually exceed $27,000.I don't say that to get attention or to shock people. It's not a guess; it's the result of rigorous analysis.Of course, there's no guarantee it'll happen. But this forecast is based on the best available tools and models that have proved accurate...Read More
Moore's Law: the theory that computational power doubles every other year.In brief, that computational power accelerates at an accelerating rate an exponential rate.We begin to suspect that a sort of social Moore's law is in effect.That is, that societal change is accelerating at an accelerating rate.This directional movement we hesitate to label it progress is likely the child of technologi...Read More
As I watch from afar, I wonder how Americans can take it. Seriously, American taxpayer largesse pays for untold amounts of charity, though it's coerced from them through tax. I don't know who said it, but he was right: the profits of capitalism pay for the follies of socialism.How do we measure such things?It seems that deficits still don't matter to most; in fact, too many people profit from them...Read More
If you're under the age of about 60, you've never experienced stagflation. Back in the '70s, everyone experienced what happened and people spoke openly about it. The term itself "stagflation" was a shorthand term to describe what was clearly and painfully a broad, national economic unwind.Throughout the decade, the rate of inflation crept up and people saw it in daily life. Food became more ex...Read More
Wall Street expects an "immaculate acceleration."Bloomberg's Mr. Simon White:The economy is signaling a more volatile, potentially recessionary period. Markets, however, aren't paying attention. Not only are the twin tail risks of a downturn or resurgent inflation being ignored, but a near-impossible "immaculate acceleration" of boomy growth and benign price appreciation is becoming the base case....Read More
Fascism became a swear word in the U.S. and the U.K. during the Second World War. It's been ever since, to the point that the content of the term has been drained away completely. It's not a system of political economy but an insult.If we go back a decade before the war, you find a completely different situation. Read any writings from polite society from 1932-1940 or so and you find a consensus t...Read More
AI is like the powerful character in an action movie who looks invincible until they turn around, revealing a fatal spear embedded in their back.The spear in AI’s back is the American legal system, which has been issuing free passes to tech companies and platforms for decades on the idea that limiting innovation will hurt economic growth, so we’d best let tech companies run with few re...Read More
Just when you thought trading couldn't get any crazier, meme stocks have suddenly reappeared - along with some of the more prominent speculators from the Covid Bubble era."Roaring Kitty" - the infamous trader who made a killing by starting the grassroots short-squeeze movement that gave birth to some of the wildest runs in stock market history - suddenly reappeared on Twitter/X late Sunday followi...Read More
Several resource companies on Global Analyst Adrian Day's recommended list reported first-quarter results last week.Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM:NYSE; FVI:TSX; FVI:BVL; F4S:FSE) had a very strong quarter, with earnings more than 50% higher than consensus expectations, as higher production and lower costs drove the higher earnings. The company is now back on track after a series of problems and n...Read More
Midnight Sun Mining Corp. has successfully closed its latest private placement, securing US$10 million to fund exploration activities at its mineral properties in Zambia. Read on to find out how this affects copper mining projects going forward.Midnight Sun Mining Corp (TSX-V:MMA, OTCQB:MDNGF) has successfully closed its latest private placement, securing US$10 million to fund exploration activiti...Read More
When it comes to investing, I've been a wimp most of my life.I always had "the next crash" on my mind. Inevitably, there hasn't been a crash since 2008. (I don't count the Covidiocy Crash of 2020 because it lasted about five seconds.)That permabearish attitude, while seemingly safe, has come at a cost. I wasn't taking risks, but the opportunity costs are significant. How much wealth did I potentia...Read More
The United States savings rate runs to 3.20% down from 3.60% one month prior.As history has it, 8.47% is par.Meantime, 36% of Americans carry more credit card debt upon their shoulders than emergency savings in their pockets.Mainstream economists inform us it is not a symptom of economic distress. It is rather a symptom of economic vigor.For example, Ameriprise Financial's Russell Price:Consumer...Read More
Perpetua Resources Corp has released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. See what these new numbers mean for future projects and anticipated projects.Perpetua Resources Corp. (Nasdaq: PPTA) (TSX: PPTA) has released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. The company is actively...Read More
As MAG Silver Corp. emerges as a producer with its Tier 1 Juanicipio mine in Mexico and output is beating estimates. Find out why at least one analyst thinks more of the fruits from the joint venture could land in investors' pockets.As MAG Silver Corp. (MAG:TSX; MAG:NYSE American) emerges as a producer with its Tier 1 Juanicipio mine in Mexico and output is beating estimates, analysts are paying a...Read More
Several resource companies on Global Analyst Adrian Day's recommended list reported first-quarter results last week.Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM:NYSE; FVI:TSX; FVI:BVL; F4S:FSE) had a very strong quarter, with earnings more than 50% higher than consensus expectations, as higher production and lower costs drove the higher earnings. The company is now back on track after a series of problems and n...Read More
Seabridge Gold Inc. sharing its highlights and financials for the quarter ending March 31 with shareholders. Find out why the company believes its shares are literally worth gold "in the ground."Seabridge Gold Inc. (SEA:TSX; SA:NYSE.MKT) is sharing its highlights and financials for the quarter ending March 31 with shareholders, noting its application for "substantially started" status for its KSM...Read More
Most economists don't believe we could have stagflation today. The prevailing view is that recessions are characterized by higher unemployment and reduced spending, and inflation is triggered by full employment and increased spending and therefore they cannot both happen at the same time.This prevailing view is wrong, as I explain today. Yet it's a powerful narrative that blinds most analysts to s...Read More