We've been writing about the evolving global supply shock for some time (most recently today when we addressed what may be required to normalize the supply chain bottlenecks). And yet, every day we read about another dramatic commodity spike or factory shutdown.In a recent report from Deutsche Bank's chief FX strategist George Saravelos, he discusses three sets of charts. They point to a...Read More
Last night we noted the Czechs had the dubious honor of suffering the first yield curve inversion of this cycle...The first inversion of many pic.twitter.com/wNPpbhcbM6- zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 28, 2021Then overnight saw the stress spread to Australia's bond market, as a massive move higher in 2Y Yields undoubtedly triggered chaos in risk control departments.And that VaR shock is now s...Read More
With the Atlanta Fed cutting its GDPNow estimate to just 0.2% yesterday...... there were big worries that today the BEA could reveal a shocker of a number, one far below the rapidly falling consensus estimate of 2.6%. Well, the Q3 GDP number just came out and it was bad, but not nearly as bad as it could have been: at 2.0%, it did indeed miss the 2.6% consensus by a lot but it could have been far...Read More
Having slipped back to COVID-crisis lows, the final print for UMich sentiment was very modestly higher than the preliminary October data but Current Conditions dipped further as Expectations rose a smidge from early October but are down from September.Current Conditions are actually at their weakest since the crisis lows in April 2020.Source: Bloomberg"The positive impact of higher income expectat...Read More
Markit's US Manufacturing PMI tumbled in October, from 60.70 in September to 59.2 in preliminary October data to a final print of 58.4, tracking the dismal disappointing slide in actual US macroeconomic data.ISM's US Manufacturing survey also slipped lower in October (from 61.1 to 60.8) but printed better than the expected 60.5.Source: BloombergThat is the lowest Manufacturing PMI since...Read More
Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,Market Back To Extreme OverboughtWith earnings season in full swing, stocks continued to push higher this week. Even disappointing earnings from Starbucks, Apple, and Amazon couldn't keep the bulls down much. So far, the earnings season has pretty much aligned with expectations. As noted by FactSet:"Overall, 56% of the companies in the S&P...Read More
Last week may have seen the peak of earnings season with the GAMMA companies (fka as FAAMG) reporting earnings that left quite a bit to be desired, but it gets even busier this week with the Fed's Wednesday taper announcement, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report and a slew of other events taking place in the coming five days.In addition to two very closely watched meetings from the RBA (Tue...Read More
Is Silver's long bear market over? If so, it would be exciting news for bulls who have suffered through a hellacious, 72% correction since the metal peaked in 2011 just beneath $50. The monthly chart (see inset) provides reason for cautious optimism, implying as it does that Comex futures could be bottoming slightly above $15. If a powerful and sustained upturn lies in the offing, the September co...Read More
Drop in gold prices props up physical buying in Asia Gold edged higher on Monday as investors found the metal attractive after prices fell to a 19-month low last week, while a rising dollar weighed on the market ahead of planned US-China trade talks.The precious metal shed 2.2 per cent last week in its sixth straight weekly decline and worst weekly performance since December."Though the metal look...Read More
Technical observations of RossClark@shaw.caBob HoyeInstitutional AdvisorsPosted Sep 18, 2018(Click on image to enlarge)###Bob HoyeInstitutional Advisorsemail: bobhoye@institutionaladvisors.comwebsite: www.institutionaladvisors.com321goldLtdRead More
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Keith Dicker back to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss the government bond bubble, artificially suppressed interest rates and rethinking bonds for portfolio allocations. They discuss what impact that a bond market route could have on equities and if the bond bear market has started. They conclude with their outlook on equities and gold.Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1318.20+$15.00Silver$17.17+$0.23XAU88.14+3.36%HUI198.60+3.27%GDM666.00+2.30%JSE Gold1317.36+13.77USD91.86-0.44Euro120.65+0.62Yen89.12+0.31Oil$60.37-$0.0510-Year2.458%+0.047T-Bond151.84375-1.15625Dow24824.01+0.42%Nasdaq7006.90+1.50%S&P2695.79+0.83% The Metals: Gold gained $11.20 to $1314.40 in midmorning New York trade before it pared back heading into...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1314.90-$3.30Silver$17.14-$0.03XAU87.08-1.19%HUI197.35-0.63%GDM660.98-0.75%JSE Gold1338.73+21.37USD92.18+0.32Euro120.12-0.53Yen88.97-0.15Oil$61.63+$1.2610-Year2.440%-0.018T-Bond152.28125+0.53125Dow24922.68+0.40%Nasdaq7065.53+0.84%S&P2713.06+0.64% The Metals: Gold dropped $6.40 to $1311.80 in Asia before it rallied to $1317.80 in London and then fell ba...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1321.90+$7.00Silver$17.20+$0.06XAU87.79+0.81%HUI198.76+0.72%GDM663.40+0.37%JSE Gold1305.19-33.54USD91.87-0.31Euro120.68+0.56Yen88.70-0.27Oil$62.01+$0.3810-Year2.452%+0.012T-Bond152.34375+0.03125Dow25075.13+0.61%Nasdaq7077.92+0.18%S&P2723.99+0.40% The Metals: Gold fell $9 to $1305.90 in Asia, but it then climbed to as high as $1325.80 in New York and en...Read More
CloseGain/LossOn WeekGold $1320.50-$1.40+1.33%Silver$17.20UNCH+1.53%XAU87.39-0.45%+2.49%HUI198.13-0.32%+3.03%GDM661.89-0.20%+1.73%JSE Gold1322.71+17.52+1.47%USD91.97+0.10-0.36%Euro120.42-0.26+0.32%Yen88.43-0.27-0.43%Oil$61.44-$0.57+1.69%10-Year2.477%+0.025+2.74%Bond151.9375-0.375-0.63%Dow25295.87+0.88%+2.33%Nasdaq7136.56+0.83%+3.38%S&P2743.15+0.70%+2.60% The Metals: Gold...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1320.00-$0.50Silver$17.12-$0.08XAU86.29-1.26%HUI194.89-1.64%GDM656.05-0.87%JSE Gold1319.12-3.59USD92.34+0.37Euro119.67-0.75Yen88.47+0.04Oil$61.73+$0.2910-Year2.479%+0.002T-Bond151.8125UNCHDow25283.00-0.05%Nasdaq7157.39+0.29%S&P2747.71+0.17% The Metals: Gold fell $5.70 to $1314.80 in Asia before it bounced back to $1321.00 in London and then drifted bac...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1314.00-$6.00Silver$17.00-$0.12XAU84.95-1.55%HUI192.30-1.33%GDM647.49-1.30%JSE Gold1286.67-32.45USD92.51+0.17Euro119.39-0.28Yen88.88+0.41Oil$62.96+$1.2310-Year2.548%+0.069T-Bond150.21875-1.50Dow25385.80+0.41%Nasdaq7163.58+0.09%S&P2751.29+0.13% The Metals: Gold fell $11 to $1309 in midmorning New York trade before it bounced back higher into the close,...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1317.40+$3.40Silver$16.98-$0.02XAU86.07+1.32%HUI194.29+1.04%GDM650.01+0.39%JSE Gold1313.06+26.39USD92.32-0.19Euro119.57+0.18Yen89.79+0.91Oil$63.57+$0.6110-Year2.552%+0.004T-Bond150.03125-0.1875Dow25369.13-0.07%Nasdaq7153.57-0.14%S&P2748.23-0.11% The Metals: Gold fell $5.50 to $1308.50 in early Asian trade before it jumped up to as high as $1327.10 at about 6...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1321.80+$4.40Silver$16.98UNCHXAU87.04+1.13%HUI195.52+0.64%GDM653.12+0.43%JSE Gold1325.12+12.06USD91.90-0.42Euro120.32+0.75Yen90.03+0.24Oil$63.80+$0.2310-Year2.536%-0.016T-Bond150.3125+0.25Dow25574.73+0.81%Nasdaq7211.78+0.81%S&P2767.56+0.70% The Metals: Gold edged down to $1315.70 in Asia, but it then chopped up to as high as $1323.90 in New York and en...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1339.30+$1.30Silver$17.21-$0.03XAU90.27+1.30%HUI204.39+1.52%GDM682.72+1.92%JSE Gold1316.17-51.24USD90.43-0.52Euro122.65+0.59Yen90.81+0.78Oil$63.73-$0.5710-Year2.543%-0.005T-Bond150.90625+0.53125Dow25792.86-0.04%Nasdaq7223.69-0.51%S&P2776.42-0.35% The Metals: Gold saw modest gains in holiday thinned trade yesterday before it fell back to $1331.80 in Lon...Read More