Gold has big year in 2020 and outlook for this year robust. Learn about monetary expansion and gold future prices.Read More

The gold futures price reached US$1,767/ounce this week before retreating, which was the second time it has surpassed US$1,760 in the past two months, marking some of gold's highest levels in several years.Read More

LONDON, 10 January 2023 - Data and analysis from BullionVault today features at Germany's popular personal-finance site Das Investment."Because of the Ukraine war and high inflation, Bullionvault users want to continue investing in precious metals this year," says the report, quoting results and forecasts from the London-based fintech's latest customer survey.Read the full story, in German, at Das...Read More

Back in October we began to plan the prospect of a relief rally that would be fueled by over-bearish sentiment (contrary bullish), ‘Fed hawk’ relief as we anticipated inflation signals to ease, and a post (mid-term) election seasonal pattern that is bullish for stocks. This public article had a lot to say about that on November 10th:Q4-Q1 plan engages For the purposes of this week&rsqu...Read More

Gold has powered highersmartly over the past couple months, achieving big gains.  But this gold buying is only starting,implying this young upleg still has a long way to run yet.  Speculators’ gold-futures buying remainsmodest, while much-larger identifiable investment buying hasn’t even begun.  Traders will have to increasingly chase gold’supside momentum to resto...Read More

Gold’s nasty divorce from the U.S. dollar was finalized in August 1971 when President Richard Nixon suspended any further convertibility of U.S. dollars into gold by non-U.S. citizens. That action removed any remaining links between the dollar and gold.Without convertibility, any official price for gold became meaningless. At that time, the official U.S. dollar price of gold was raised from...Read More

Gold started this year with a quickrally, but it was mostly erased. It’s still above its mid-2022 high, but willit stay there for much longer?IsIt All Bearish? The above chart features goldprices in terms of weekly candlesticks. As you can see, it justapproached its August high, and it’s trying to break above those highs onceagain. The previous attempts failed, so the question is whet...Read More

Fed officials flexed their muscles during the last FOMC meeting. Silver tripped and fell in response, but that didn’t last long – why?The hawkish force was strong with this FOMC! The minutes from the last meeting of the Committee in December offered almost no dovish signals. In particular, the document doesn’t mention anything about the Fed’s pivot. Actually, we can read th...Read More

The USD Index is a key driver of goldprices (apart from real interest rates). How much strength has it shownrecently?In yesterday’s analysis, I compared thecurrent situation in the precious metals to the one in stocks that we saw lastyear. It appears that the similarity remains up-to-date as gold is up intoday’s pre-market trading (at the moment of writing these words).As you may recal...Read More

Gold will rocket to $3,000 next year – at least that’s what Saxo Bank says. Does this prediction make any sense though?Did you hope gold would break finally $2,000 in 2023? What if I told you that gold is going to soar to at least $3,000? Have I gone mad? No; that’s not my forecast, I only summarize the Saxo Bank’s Outrageous Predictions for 2023.According to the publicatio...Read More

Here's how history rhymes in theprecious metals market and what we can glean from recent movements in gold,silver, and mining stocks.Historytends to repeat itself. Not to the letter, but in general. The reason is thatwhile economic circumstances change and technology advances, the decisions tobuy and sell are still mostly based on two key emotions: fear and greed. Theydon’t change, and once...Read More

Gold largely ignoredinflation raging out of control in 2022. Despite the first inflation super-spike since the 1970s, history’s ultimateinflation hedge disappointed.  But that unsustainableanomaly driven by extreme Fed rate hikes catapulting the US dollar parabolicwon’t last.  Inevitably prevailing goldprices will adjust much higher to reflect this red-hot inflation fuel...Read More

Precious metals markets are finishing out a choppy 2022 on an up note. A strong fourth quarter is pushing both gold and silver prices back up into positive territory for the year.The yellow metal got off to a hot start in 2022, reaching as high as $2,050 an ounce in March. But it suffered a severe pullback in the second and third quarters. A rising U.S. dollar exchange rate amid aggressive Federal...Read More

It was an especially intense year, and silver held on tight. If 2023 is even more intense than 2022, silver won’t have a choice but to rally.A lot has happened this year. Russia invaded Ukraine. North Korea fired off missile after missile. Latin America turned to the left. The United Kingdom lost a queen, gained a king, and saw three Prime Ministers in Downing Street. President Xi Jinping wa...Read More

While the statistics scream,investors, often blinded by emotions, do not hear them. However, since historyseems to rhyme, what do gold, silver, and mining stocks have in store for us?What a boring month!At least for those who monitor theperformance of junior mining stocks. It’s Dec. 29, and the monthly price changefor the GDXJ ETF is $0.15 (0.41%). That’s how much higher the GDXJ is no...Read More

Can gold's recent short-term rally beconsidered bullish, or can we expect a decline like in 2008?IsSilver Really Strong? Gold and silver are moving higher today,but nothing really changed despite that. Silver moved to its previous highs,while gold didn’t (chart courtesy of https://GoldPriceForecast.com). Yes, the silver price is onceagain outperforming on a very short-term basis, and it make...Read More

Gold has been poweringhigher on balance for a couple months now, surging to major breakouts.  That upside momentum is improving sentiment,with traders growing more bullish on gold’s potential.  That is well-placed, as this upleg remainsyoung.  Major gold uplegs are three-stageevents, each having distinct drivers. The first and smallest stage isn’t even finished yet,...Read More

Since the gold market now showsparallels to 2008 and 2013, what can we expect if the correction has justended? TheUSDX's Breakout The changes that we saw on the chartsyesterday were not enough to change anything that I describedyesterday, so those comments remain up-to-date. Also, what I coveredduring yesterday’s live event (I combined the live market analysis with thepresentation about the...Read More

Investors got some superficially good news on the economy this week. But it turned out to be bad news for markets.Although they’ve bounced back a little today, equities and precious metals markets sold off on Thursday following government data showing that the economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter. GDP was revised upward to a 3.2% annual pace from July through September.Of c...Read More

Gold defied anotherhawkish Fed decision this week, consolidating high in its immediate wake.  That was an impressive show of strength,after this extreme Fed tightening cycle hammered gold for a half-year or so.  That strong performance reflects gold-futuresspeculators’ weakening resolve to keep shorting.  With their long-side selling exhausted, they havemassive mean-reversion...Read More

When I was younger, I was taught that if you cannot say something nice, don't say anything at all. Well, when many of you have asked why I have not written about metals in quite some time, now you know the reason. But, I think that's about to change.Before we begin, I want to give you a little background about my history in the metals market.For those who may not remember the action we experi...Read More

The gold mining sector is doing what it should do amid fading inflationIf you have tuned out inflationist gold bugs since mid-2020 you are now in position to capitalize, unlike scores of inflation bugs who’d already bought (and likely sold into tax loss season, 2022).Readers of nftrh.com have seen this space write many times how gold is not about inflation. At least not primarily. That compo...Read More