The purpose of this update is to try to make sure that you remain aware that the dollar has broken down from a giant top area, and is probably headed much lower, a prospect which is not diminished by the modest countertrend rally of the past week or so. We can see this top area and the breakdown last month to advantage on the latest 4-year chart for the dollar index below. With respect to the do...Read More
David Stockman on 'Mornings with Maria' (Fox Business Network, Feb. 12, 2018)David Stockman is a former Republican congressman from Michigan and was President Reagan's budget director from 1981 to 1985. After leaving the White House, Stockman became a managing director at Salomon Brothers, and he later founded a private equity fund. David is the founder of David Stockman's Contra Corner, and he is...Read More
By Clint Siegner U.S. equities got a free ride on the Trump train after his election, even as Federal Reserve officials hiked interest rates. That ride may have ended last week.If commentators are correct and the blame for recent selling in the stock market falls on the burgeoning fear of rising interest rates, it looks like Fed tightening is finally having the effect many predicted when the cyc...Read More
Import prices for re-rolling-grade hot-rolled coil in Vietnam surged over the past week on higher offer prices from major suppliers, including China and India. Metal Bulletin's assessment of HRC import prices in Southeast Asia - which mainly looks at Chinese 2-3mm SAE1006 HRC and equivalent grades sold into Vietnam - was $607-620 per tonne cfr for the week ended Monday February 12, up $22-25 per t...Read More
By Bill HolterMarkets around the world are convulsing which is definitely different than anything we have seen in over a year. We also know that interest rates are going higher all over the world. In fact, if you look at rates going back to 1981, the downtrend line(s) has been broken and thus a very major change. Generational trades and 37 year trend lines are rare on their own, when they finall...Read More
By PlungerVolatility has now returned to the stock market after a hibernation of several years. An explosion of volatility normally is indicative of a change of trend. The recent signals transmitted by this market have been classic and has been telling us that we have entered the final topping process of this extended and stretched economic cycle. The trading over the past 7 market sessions f...Read More
China's hot-rolled coil futures posted some gains on Monday February 12 after the country's steel production hub of Tangshan announced more production caps late last Friday.DomesticEastern China (Shanghai): 4,110-4,130 yuan ($653-656) per tonne, unchangedNorthern China (Tianjin): 4,000-4,030 yuan per tonne, unchangedFerrous futures surged at the start of the day's session in the wake of news that...Read More
Source: Michael J. Ballanger for Streetwise Reports 02/09/2018 The physical metals will continue to outperform mining shares until there is some stabilization in the global arena, posits precious metals expert Michael Ballanger. -->In the "I hate to say I-told-you-so" category, it looks like the Punxsutawney Phil came out of his den last week, took one look at the state of the global stock...Read More
By Graham SummersThe markets have changed and many are going to get "taken to the cleaners."Last year, 2017, was a not a normal year for stocks. Stocks as an asset class are not meant to go straight up without even a 1% pullback. But that is precisely what happened for nearly an entire year.Now that massive market rig is over. And anyone who continues to invest as though it's 2017 is going to ge...Read More
China's ferrous futures mostly started the week with slight gains during the morning trading session on Monday February 12.Futures closing prices - morning session Shanghai Futures Exchange May rebar: 3,910 yuan ($621) per tonne, up 15 yuan per tonne May hot-rolled coil: 3,966 yuan per tonne, down 1 yuan per tonne Dalian Commodity Exchange May iron ore: 522 yuan per tonne, down 0.50 yuan per tonne...Read More
By Frank HolmesStrengths? The best performing metal this week was gold, down 1.26 percent. China's demand for gold jewelry rose 10 percent last year to around 700 metric tons due to increasing wealth of residents. China is the largest market for gold in the world.? Gold demand is also on the rise in India, the second largest consumer of gold, with purchases expe...Read More
In addition to funding for a border wall and other border security measures, immigration hardliners are sure to push to include mandatory E-Verify in any immigration legislation considered by Congress. E-Verify is a (currently) voluntary program where businesses check job applicants' Social Security numbers and other Information - potentially including "biometric" identifiers like fingerprints - a...Read More
By Avi GilburtFor those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that the GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. But, after last week's b...Read More
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and president of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and even authored a book in 2006 titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market, and urged people to buy gold when it was...Read More
Indian state-owned steelmaker Steel Authority of India (Sail) reported a rise in profit in the fourth quarter of 2017 after ten consecutive months of decline, the company said on Thursday February 8.The company reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of 15.71 billion rupees ($244 million) in October-December 2017, the third quarter of its current financial...Read More
Critics of "New Age" monetary policy have been predicting that central banks would eventually run out of ways to trick people into borrowing money. There are at least three reasons to wonder if that time has finally come: Wage inflation is acceleratingNormally, towards the end of a cycle companies have trouble finding enough workers to keep up with their rising sales. So they start paying new hi...Read More
The markets have changed and many are going to get "taken to the cleaners."Last year, 2017, was a not a normal year for stocks. Stocks as an asset class are not meant to go straight up without even a 1% pullback. But that is precisely what happened for nearly an entire year.Now that massive market rig is over. And anyone who continues to invest as though it's 2017 is going to get annihilated in th...Read More
Continue...Ray Dalio is an American businessman and founder of the investment firm Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds. In 2012, Dalio appeared on the annual Time 100 list of the 100 most influential people in the world. In 2011 and 2012 he was listed by Bloomberg Markets as one of the 50 Most Influential people. Institutional Investor's Alpha ranked him No. 2 on their 2...Read More
For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that the GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. But, after last week’s break down...Read More
Listen to the Podcast Audio: Click Here Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and president of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and even authored a book in 2006 titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market...Read More