Current Position of the MarketSPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.Intermediate trend - A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer...Read More
In Part II we examine why in 2018 we will see "Accelerating Social Change". Though there are many reasons the video focuses on four drivers which are accelerating Social Change with the aid of 12 supporting slides. http://gordontlong.com/ Read More
Import prices for steel billet in Southeast Asia widened downwards this week as lower offers for China-origin billet had a negative impact on price negotiations.Metal Bulletin's weekly price assessment for billet imports in Southeast Asia was $530-545 per tonne cfr in the week ending Monday January 15, down $5 per tonne at the lower end of the range from $535-545 per tonne cfr....Read More
By Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA The rebound in the precious metals sector continues. Friday, Gold pushed to another new high, near $1340/oz. Gold stocks led by the HUI Gold Bugs Index and GDX also made a new high with juniors and Silver right behind. The greatest traders say the move comes first and then the reason later. When it comes to Gold we are always analyzing the reason behind the moves s...Read More
TECHNICAL SCOOPCharts and commentary by David ChapmanPhone: 416-523-5454 Email: david@davidchapman.comTwitter: @Davcha12January 15, 2018This Time is DifferentEight Centuries of Financial Folly -Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff This time is different. It has a nice ring to it. It is also a mantra we have heard many times. Financial crises are something that happens to other people, in othe...Read More
Chinese ferro-silicon prices have dropped for a second week in a row amid a resumption in production in key producing Ningxia province, while the European market reported deals totaling 300 tonnes within the record high price range. China market under renewed supply pressure Chinese suppliers turn to export markets European market price range narrows at high US market supported...Read More
By John MauldinOptimism and Hong KongEasterling: Correction and ContinuationJensen: The US Is 1980s JapanLebowitz: Buy the Dip?Lewitt: Charts Point to CautionInsights from Lacy HuntHousel: What a Time to Be AliveBoston and BaltimoreOnly two weeks in and 2018 is already breaking records - mostly in a good way. But that leaves 50 potentially less enjoyable weeks to go. So rather than focus on prom...Read More
When you are following the markets closely day after day it can be easy to lose sight of the big picture. So with the "everything bubble" getting closer to bursting, leading to universal mess and mayhem, there could not be a better time to look at the long-term picture for gold and silver, in order to see whether they are going to salute and go down with the ship, like they did in 2008, or const...Read More
Chrome ore and ferro-chrome prices in China strengthened over the past week as alloy production costs rose and smelters prepared for cutbacks. Ore and alloy prices propel each other in ChinaFurther price strength predicted amid production cuts, rising costsPrices edge higher in South KoreaAlloy prices stir in EuropeUS market steady with suppliers maintaining high offers Metal Bulletin's UG2 chrome...Read More
Just a quick update on GLD which is showing the price action approaching the top rail of its triangle trading range which should be around the 127.50 area. Many times during the formation of a 5 point triangle reversal pattern the price action will fail to make it all the way down to the 5th reversal point which suggests the bulls are eager to get positioned. A touch of the top rail will complet...Read More
By Gary TanashianAfter a positive year-end with the expected precious metals rally we noted on Dec. 31, in NFTRH 480:"With HUI dwelling just under the 195 resistance parameter, a pullback can come at any time. But there are enough other factors still in line to expect a resumed rally after any grind at resistance comes into play."and then on Jan. 7, in NFTRH 481:"What HUI actually did was immedi...Read More
That was fun. Since mid-December gold has behaved like a tech stock, jumping from $1,240/oz to $1,337 and carrying a long list of gold mining stocks along for the ride.Now everybody's asking the same question: Is this finally the start of the long-overdue run at gold's (and silver's) 2011 record high, or just a case of futures speculators once again panic-buying themselves into an untenable long...Read More
- London homeowners cut property prices by another 1.4% in January- Average price for a London house dropped by ?22,000 to ?600,926 in 2017- Takes 78 days to sell a home on average, the highest level since 2012- London's downtrend continues after 2017 performance as worst UK housing market- UK regional house prices begin to falter as house prices climb slows down- Gold bullion remains a great h...Read More
Europe could face a deluge of steel imports previously destined for the United States if Donald Trump's 232 investigation leads to strict import duties on steel products, German steel association WV Stahl has warned. EU tariffs on imports of cold rolled coil (CRC) from Russia and China led to prices for the material jumping in European domestic markets in 2017, while Russian producers lost ma...Read More
China's major mills raised their crude steel output rates in late December and made more deliveries to the marketplace, which led to a drop in their finished steel inventories and weighed on spot prices. Member mills of the China Iron & Steel Association (Cisa) produced crude steel at an average rate of 1.7817 million tonnes per day during the last 11 days of December, up 63,600 tonnes...Read More
Russian producers have significantly increased their prices for hot- and cold-rolled steel sheet from January production for domestic buyers, amid favorable export market sentiment.Buyers also expect that this week mills will increase their prices again, when they start offering February-rolled material."I suppose we will see another 4-5% price increase soon, because mills say that they are export...Read More
Exporters of CIS-origin hot-rolled coil (HRC) and cold-rolled coil (CRC) increased their prices after the new year holiday period amid short-term price growth for material of Chinese origin."Producers increased their prices a lot at the wrong time, when consumers are not ready to accept them because Chinese prices are going down again," a trader told Metal Bulletin on Monday January 15.Metal Bulle...Read More
Base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange continued their strong performance during Monday January 15 and closed in positive territory across the board. Prices were supported by a weakening dollar which fell to its lowest in nearly three years; copper was one of the best performers closing over $100 higher than Friday. "The supportive macro backdrop (weak dollar, positive macro data) should...Read More
The increases in demand for lithium battery compounds since the end of 2015 have caused a structural change in the global lithium market, making it necessary to have new reference prices with increased granularity. Industrial Minerals has therefore launched new spot price assessments for lithium carbonate and hydroxide monohydrate to keep track of the growing price volatility within the Chinese sp...Read More
The latest metal markets news and price moves to start the North American day on Friday January 15.Base metal prices on the London Metal Exchange were all higher during morning trading, reflecting a further weakening in the dollar. Zinc's continues to set fresh multi-year highs - it peaked at $3,440 per tonne this morning, its highest since August 2007.Available LME zinc stocks continue to fall -...Read More