Gold dramatically surged to major new secular highs this past week, fueled by stunning geopolitical news. The US assassinated Iran's top general, so Iran fired ballistic missiles at military bases in Iraq used by the US. That naturally ramped gold bullishness, spawning all kinds of predictions for much-higher prices. But geopolitically-driven gold spikes never last long, and the gold buy...Read More
- Rob KirbyDuring the run-up to year end, the narrative being fed to the population by the Wall St./Fed crowd was that massive liquidity [cash] injections were required in the banking system to ensure there were no "accidents" over the "turn" of the year end calendar to 2020. We've all been treated to some pretty sophisticated technical explanations by Wall Street and Fed mavens about the in...Read More
- Gary TanashianOnce again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance as usual while feeling as though I'm playing a game of Musical Chairs while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith's style, which has always resonated w...Read More
By: Avi GilburtOriginally published on Sat Jan 4 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Back in October and early November, I was preparing our members for the next rally phase I was expecting in the metals complex. And, when the 144-minute MACD on the silver chart signaled a bottom in early December, I noted it was no longer time to look down, but we need to be looking higher in a more s...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold needs an impetus in the near-term to get gold back to early week highs:Read More
Traders will either close short positions or go long on the weekend. Iranian risk is there. My initial reaction after the news of Ukrainian airlines crash in Tehran was that of a missile hit. I may be right. USA, Canada and UK are all now saying that Ukrainian airlines was hit an Iranian missile. In my view missile may or may not be Iranian. NATO/USA has started the escalation of war like situat...Read More
We didn’t haveto wait long for Iran’s response. After the missile attack on U.S. bases inIraq, gold briefly soared above $1,600. What should we expect next? Iran Retaliates, Gold RalliesOn Tuesday, I wrote that “given thatSoleimani was widely seen as the second most powerful figure in Iran, we shouldexpect a response.” And, indeed, it arrived before too long. On Wednesday,...Read More
The new year of 2020 has gold is poised to break out higher. Why is gold going higher? Maybe the FED's economists can explain .... or not.Maybe these could be on the list:- FED repo hundreds of billions a day.- ECB made up tools to keep the European banks solvent.- A sugar high stock market with Apple Inc and Microsoft looking like Bitcoin 2017.- The US bond market is NOT confirming a strong stock...Read More
Many people believe the price of Gold will need to fall to support Institutional short positions. We don’t believe this is the case. The Commitment Of Traders (COT) Data suggests Commercial Hedgers have a large and growing shot position that is a very positive sign for a continued rally in Gold and Miners looking forward months from now.Don’t think about COT data like every...Read More
So,did U.S. and Iran just become best friends?Gold’shuge reversal and a decline of about $50 in 24 hours might certainly suggest soto those, who choose to follow the news instead of estimating market’s movesusing more reliable tools.Ofcourse, the two countries are not on friendly terms at this time. So, whathappened that gold declined so much, so fast? Let’s start with going over...Read More
Gold COT Report - Futures Large SpeculatorsCommercialTotal LongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort 383,48061,189139,363202,452558,533725,295759,085 Change from Prior Reporting Period 1,8607,494-1,248-473-10,883139-4,637 Traders 23670875458324185 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 60,56226,772785,857 -4484,328-309 non reportable positionsChange fr...Read More
- Richard (Rick) MillsGold's safe haven status was tested this week, as Iran countered the assassination of its top military commander with missile strikes against two Iraqi bases housing US troops.On Tuesday night Tehran fired over a dozen missiles at the Al-Asad airbase and Erbil airport, in obvious retaliation against an American drone strike a few days earlier that killed General Qasse...Read More
Gold dramatically surged to major new secular highs this past week, fueled by stunning geopolitical news. The US assassinated Iran's top general, so Iran fired ballistic missiles at military bases in Iraq used by the US. That naturally ramped gold bullishness, spawning all kinds of predictions for much-higher prices. But geopolitically-driven gold spikes never last long, and the gold buy...Read More
- Rob KirbyDuring the run-up to year end, the narrative being fed to the population by the Wall St./Fed crowd was that massive liquidity [cash] injections were required in the banking system to ensure there were no "accidents" over the "turn" of the year end calendar to 2020. We've all been treated to some pretty sophisticated technical explanations by Wall Street and Fed mavens about the in...Read More
- Gary TanashianOnce again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance as usual while feeling as though I'm playing a game of Musical Chairs while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith's style, which has always resonated w...Read More
By: Avi GilburtOriginally published on Sat Jan 4 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Back in October and early November, I was preparing our members for the next rally phase I was expecting in the metals complex. And, when the 144-minute MACD on the silver chart signaled a bottom in early December, I noted it was no longer time to look down, but we need to be looking higher in a more s...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold needs an impetus in the near-term to get gold back to early week highs:Read More
Traders will either close short positions or go long on the weekend. Iranian risk is there. My initial reaction after the news of Ukrainian airlines crash in Tehran was that of a missile hit. I may be right. USA, Canada and UK are all now saying that Ukrainian airlines was hit an Iranian missile. In my view missile may or may not be Iranian. NATO/USA has started the escalation of war like situat...Read More
WILMINGTON – The Carnegie Institution of Washington, which has been doing scientific research for more than a century, filed lawsuits in New York alleging its patents for growing diamonds in a lab are being infringed by some top makers of such gem stones.The institute filed three complaints Thursday in Manhattan federal court against six companies, including Pure Grown Diamonds and IIa Techn...Read More
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 6 points in pre-opening trade.Index futures were virtually unchanged following release of the December Employment Report at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus for December Non-farm Payrolls was a drop to 165,000 from 266,000 in November. Actual was 145,000. Consensus for December Unemployment Rate was unchanged from November at 3....Read More