By: Ed SteerYESTERDAY in GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM and PALLADIUMThe gold price drifted quietly lower almost from the open of trading in New York at 6:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday evening, with its low tick of the day coming at, or shortly after the 2:15 p.m. afternoon gold fix in Shanghai. It wandered higher without much conviction until the noon silver fix in London -- and then began to head higher...Read More
- RambusIt's hard to believe that the massive H&S consolidation pattern we've been following for several years began to develop all the way back in 2013 during the initial crash off the 2011 high. This weekly line chart shows the price action closing this week right on the neckline at 1350. Note how many touches the neckline has experienced from below with each one backing off. Now the questio...Read More
Well, it didn't take much and it didn't take long. After years of delays, a tentative start, many cautious pauses along the way, and a top speed that never really hit cruising velocity, the Fed has taken the first available off-ramp on the road towards policy "normalization." In a speech on Tuesday this week in Chicago, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delighted Wall Street by signaling that the Fed m...Read More
"Consider trade protectionism. It's been tried - and found wanting - since the Great Depression." Elaine Chao, U.S. Secretary of Transportation 2017-, Secretary of Labour 2001-2009, Republican Party member, Spouse Mitch McConnel, b. 1953 "As we learned after President Herbert Hoover signed the Smoot-Hawley tariff at the outset of the Great Depression, vibrant international trade is a key compon...Read More
Dear RayIncome and Wealth InequalityIs Capitalism the Problem?Boston, New York, and ???"The ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed, the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually slaves of some...Read More
European steelmakers have called for the European Commission (EC) to review its decision to liberalize its import safeguard measures by increasing quota volumes by 5% each year, Fastmarkets has learned.The current safeguard mechanism will increase the level of tariff-free quotas for each product category by 5% after each year. The first liberalization will take place on July 1, 2019 - the end of t...Read More
South Korean steel majors Posco and Hyundai Steel have both been asked by provincial governments to idle their blast furnaces over pollution levels, market sources told Fastmarkets MB on Tuesday June 4."However, there is no confirmation as to whether both steelmakers will stop their blast furnaces and they...Read More
South32's decision to review the future of its manganese alloy assets comes as little surprise to fellow manganese alloy producers because they are likely to be considering similar options. The review, which could result in the divestment of the assets, reflects a wider predicament affecting alloy producers struggling with historically high ore prices and a subdued market for their own product. So...Read More
The London Metal Exchange has decided on a dispute over when the load-in, load-out (LILO) rule should have been activated, ruling in favor of warehouse company Istim. People familiar with the situation said that the warehousing firm had been found to have acted vigorously and without delay in its dealings with Glencore at its warehouses in Port Klang, Malaysia, following large cancellations of alu...Read More
The temporary truce on tariffs between China and the United States could be over, injecting a new round of uncertainty into the global financial markets and suspending hopes that a resolution to the countries' trade impasse was likely.US President Donald Trump has threatened to raise the tariff on $200 billion-worth of Chinese imports to 25% from 10% by Friday May 10. He also said that the US may...Read More
China's month-on-month new electric vehicles (NEV) sales rebounded in August after month-on-month declines in June and July. The drop in sales between May and June was the first drop since September 2016, but Fastmarkets MB had expected Chinese NEV sales to dip temporarily after the June subsidy changes came into effect because consumers and NEV manufacturers would have to adjust to the new subsid...Read More
Iron ore prices fell sharply in the second half of November after climbing through October, with prices for higher-grade material pioneering the decline.Fastmarkets MB daily benchmark for 65% Fe fines dropped by 22% by Monday November 26 after peaking on October 29. The 62% Fe iron ore index declined by 16% over the period, as some Chinese steelmakers started to seek larger volumes of cheaper ores...Read More
The steel scrap sector in the United States still depends on exports to Turkey, a member of the Fastmarkets research team said during the ferrous session at the Bureau of International Recycling (BIR) conference in London.This dependence persists despite the changes in the international markets created by the US' imposition of its Section 232 tariffs on imports of steel products, metals analyst Le...Read More
Seaborne pig iron has become relatively competitive versus ferrous scrap over the past year in most regions, and China is no exception. As the first chart below illustrates, the gap between the MBR's proxy for imported pig iron price in China and the Metal Bulletin's Chinese domestic heavy melt scrap price assessment had shrunk by late 2017. The premium averaged $17 per tonne this year to date, co...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets MB stories you might have missed on Friday June 7 that are worth another look.The outlook for continuing Chinese demand for copper scrap from the United States, especially No2 copper (birch/cliff), is cautiously optimistic among market participants. In base metals, the ongoing trade war between the US and China is dampening investor interest in the primary copper ind...Read More
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Gold surged sharply over the past week or so, nearing a major bull-market breakout! Nearly everyone was surprised by this violent awakening, which erupted suddenly as gold languished around year-to-date lows. If this dramatic rally has staying power, gold has good odds of achieving decisive new bull-market highs. That would change everything psychologically, ushering gold and its miners' sto...Read More
Gold surged sharply over the past week or so, nearing a major bull-market breakout! Nearly everyone was surprised by this violent awakening, which erupted suddenly as gold languished around year-to-date lows. If this dramatic rally has staying power, gold has good odds of achieving decisive new bull-market highs. That would change everything psychologically, ushering gold and its miners' sto...Read More
Bob Moriarty ArchivesJun 10, 2019I wrote a new book for resource investors in January of this year called Basic Investing in Resource Stocks. In it I predicted that 2019 would be the year the everything bubble would be popped and our lives changed in a big way for a long time.Should my prediction of doom be accurate, I will go down in the history books as being brilliant. On the other hand, since...Read More