By: Ira EpsteinGold is fighting a battle. Momentum is slightly up, but needs to get above $1,654.30 swing line..Read More
Near zero bond yields globally will ensure that sharp corrections in gold will be used to invest for the short term as long as term. Guarded optimism in silver at the moment. One needs to remain on the sidelines till Monday. Clear picture of the spread of corona virus in USA and India will be known by end of next week. USA and India are two big consumers of goods and services. A big global slowd...Read More
During turbulent times like these, markets can be melting downone day… and zooming higher the next. Gold may serve as a fantastic safe-havenasset one day… but get hammered by futures traders the next.The news cycle can be just as volatile. One report may show thecoronavirus is receding in China, while another may raise alarms about itsspread in other parts of the world.One poll may s...Read More
Deep-pocketed speculators miss the big turns -- but you don't have to Hedge fund managers are considered to be among the smartest people on Wall Street.Ironically, as a group, they're notorious for consistently being on the wrong side of major turns in the markets they trade. By contrast, a group of insiders called Commercials are generally on the right side of major market turns. With that in min...Read More
In the latest update to the Rick's Picks home page, I've revised an interest rate forecast for the 30-year bond to better sit down for this 0.73%. This is an implied recession/depression away from the current 1.60%, so you may want to jot the new number down. I got a wake-up call on this from my friend Doug Behnfield, whose name will be familiar to anyone who has followed Rick's Picks for...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinFed hasn't done anything like this since 2008. The 50 basis point cut was 100% priced in this month by the market. So the Fed used some of its bullets and now..Read More
Reduction in interest rate differential (after the Federal reserve interest rate cut of 0.50%) has resulted in US dollar index falling and gold/silver prices rising. Copper and crude oil are firm on hopes that negative economic impact will be short lived. All monetary measures will be useless in the very short term by central banks if the corona virus infects more and more people worldwide. Last...Read More
All three indexes bounced back with wins of 3.5% or moreThe Dow roared back to life today for an 1,173-point win that erased yesterday's sell-off. The blue-chip index took its cues from the political arena today, after former Vice President Joe Biden surged ahead of Senator Bernie Sanders in the wake of a resoundingly successful Super Tuesday. Wall Street also got a late-afternoon boost after Cong...Read More
Kroger is expected to reveal its fourth-quarter report before the open tomorrowWith fourth-quarter earnings due out before the open tomorrow, March 4, the shares of grocery store chain Kroger Co (NYSE:KR) are climbing higher, up up 3.4% at $30.33 at last check. This is due in part to Morgan Stanley's price target hike by $1 to $28 -- a slight discount to current levels. Today's pop places KR right...Read More
Upbeat jobs and manufacturing data are powering Wall Street today tooThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is in the midst of a substantial rally today, thanks to political tailwinds created by former Vice President Joe Biden. His slew of Super Tuesday primary victories last night puts him ahead ofSenator Bernie Sanders in the delegate count, and healthcare stocks like UnitedHealth (UNH) are boom...Read More
MKM Partners is dismissing concerns over Cronos' delayed earnings report Cronos Group Inc (NASDAQ:CRON) is pushing off yesterday's two-year low of $5.14, up 3.2% at $5.49, after MKM Partners lifted its rating to "buy" from "neutral." The analysts' upgrade comes one day after the weed specialist said it would delay its fourth-quarter earnings report, garnering a downgrade from Stifel. MKM, however,...Read More
Wells Fargo upgraded Chipotle to "overweight" from "equal weight"The shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NASDAQ:CMG) are up 4.02% to trade at $765.70 this morning after Wells Fargo upgraded the restaurant concern to "overweight" from "equal weight," and lifted its price target to $1,000 from $868. The analyst cited the expansion of its Chipotlane stores, and went on to say the security's recent...Read More
UNH has almost caught up to its year-to-date breakeven point nowLeading the Dow's charge today is UnitedHealth Group Inc (NYSE:UNH), last seen up 10.2% to trade at $287.90. This in direct response to former Vice President Joe Biden's resounding victory yesterday in the Super Tuesday primaries. Biden has now picked up 453 delegates and political momentum to pass prior favorite Senator Bernie Sande...Read More
The retailer posted fourth-quarter revenue that missed the mark Discount retailer Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) opened at a two-year low of $79.93 this morning, and was last seen down 1.3% at $80.76, after a mostly disappointing fourth-quarter earnings report. The company posted profits of $1.79, which exceeded analysts' estimates, but announced $6.32 billion in revenue, which missed analyst es...Read More
Former Vice President Joe Biden grabbed several big wins in last night's primariesDow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) futures are signaling an over 600 point surge going into today's trading, as Wall Street unpacks former Vice President Joe Biden's big wins on Super Tuesday, pulling ahead of Senator Bernie Sanders in the delegate count for the Democratic Primaries. This has the healthcare sector --...Read More
Past trends help us grapple with alarming pullbacks following all-time highsThe S&P 500 Index (SPX) fell into "correction territory" as coronavirus news unfolded last week. Correction territory is defined as a 10% pullback. Not only did the index pull back double-digits from an all-time high, it did so at alarming rate. In six trading days, the S&P 500 went from closing at an all-time high, to dow...Read More
Keith Weiner, Monetary MetalsMost people assume that the central bank prints money when it buys bonds. They further assume that this increase in the quantity of money causes an increase in the general price level. And, this leads them to assume that the value of the money is 1 / P (P is the general price level). Therefore, when the central bank prints money to buy bonds, it is diluting th...Read More
By: David HaggithThe Federal Reserve on Tuesday gave the market a double-dose of exactly what it thought the market needed, and the market just about died! On the theory that, if a little is good, more is better, the Fed gave a double cut of interest. It did not go as planned.At first, the medicine hit like nitroglycerin tablets, and the patient's heart leaped. You can see how instantly the pati...Read More
Oops, the coronavirus expanded into a bubble of illness and deaths. Like all bubbles, financial or otherwise, this one will expand, burst, collapse and cause collateral damage. When will the "everything" bubble collapse? When will the coronavirus be contained? How much damage will these bubbles inflict upon the economy, people and personal savings? We don't know. Stay tuned.BUBBLES IN THE PAST...Read More
Avi GilburtEarly Tuesday morning, I put out an update to our members that noted that the 3135 region as the top of our resistance region, which can point us lower once struck.Now, we all know that the "surprise" rate cut by the Fed should have been viewed as a positive to the market. In fact, most expected the Fed to act soon, and were certain how this would send the market soaring again.Howeve...Read More