By John MauldinBreathless ReportingAn Inverted Yield Curve Is Just a FeverEarly PredictorRecession ProbabilityA Little TimeCleveland, San Francisco, Boca Raton, and SICEverybody is suddenly talking about the inverted yield curve. They're right to do so, too, but alarm bells may be premature. Inversion is a historically reliable but early recession indicator. The yield curve isn't saying recessio...Read More
By Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA If we want to know where Gold is going we should follow Gold. Right? How about following gold stocks? At times, they lead Gold. What about the US Dollar? Wrong! In 2019, one market more than any other will impact Gold. That is the stock market. History argues (within the current context) that when the Federal Reserve ends its rate hikes, Gold's downtrend will...Read More
The past few years have seen more than the usual amount of political upheaval. But, interestingly, most regime changes have resulted in pretty much the same thing: Higher government spending and bigger deficits. Apparently the only "reforms" today's voters will accept - which is to say the only actions that don't get a leader kicked out of office - involve spending rather than saving money. Thre...Read More
By Steve St. AngeloThere has been a tug of war in the oil price over the past two weeks. Due to a very rare setup in the market, the oil price has traded in a very narrow range as traders fight it out to see who will win control... the BULLS or the BEARS. My bet is on the bet is on the bears. Amazingly, the oil price is literally stuck right between two critical technical levels.Ever sinc...Read More
With the uncertainties of Brexit weighing on Britain and the EU, their respective currencies have been taking a beating. The euro is in a long-term bear market that has seen a drop from $1.60 in 2008 to a low early last year of $1.03. Over that time, sterling has fallen from a surreal peak of $2.11 to a sobering $1.20. Although these trends do not speak well for the economic and political futu...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1246.30+$8.00Silver$14.67+$0.09XAU69.19+2.37%HUI156.72+2.66%GDM570.75+1.84%JSE Gold1302.25+3.60USD97.14-0.32Euro113.47+0.42Yen88.54+0.31Oil$49.88-$1.3210-Year2.858%-0.035T-Bond143.75+0.46875Dow23592.98-2.11%Nasdaq6753.73-2.27%S&P2545.94-2.08% The Metals: Gold saw slight losses in Asia, but it then climbed steadily higher in London and New York and ende...Read More
By Dave KranzlerA couple of my subscribers emailed me expressing frustration over the fact that their recent homebuilder puts are either not moving higher or losing value despite the sell-off in the overall stock market. There's two factors. First, the homebuilder sector has dropped well over 30% since late January. To an extent there may be some seller's fatigue. At some point there will be sho...Read More
By Clint SiegnerThe Democratic party will be moving back into the control room in the House of Representatives.Congress may commemorate the return to split government with a partial shutdown. The feud over construction of a border wall looks like it will not be resolved in time. It could be the first of many political dramas in 2019.The debate over funding for the wall is theater, make no mistak...Read More
By Frank HolmesStrengthsThe best performing metal this week was palladium, up 1.41 percent, though hedge funds cut their long position to a three-week low. ICBC Standard Bank, however, sees palladium hitting $1,500 an ounce by 2020. Gold traders and analysts were mostly bullish on the yellow metal this week on concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and ongoing uncertainty around Bre...Read More
By David HaggithThe Big Bear is back. Ursa Major is in the house of the rising sun, and Taurus is in the house of the setting sun. Those are bad signs for investors who are now daily diving into their horoscopes. The market is pouring out of an inverted Big Dipper, otherwise known as the Big Bear (Ursa Major), and no one (not even the Fed chair) nor any positive event seems able to stop it. I ca...Read More
By Justin SmythAssets that are typically the most inversely correlated to the stock market during bear markets have started exploding higher in the last few weeks. The IEF bond ETF broke out of a Stage 1 base recently. The utilities ETF XLU broke out of a Stage 2 continuation pattern and is making new all-time highs. Gold mining stocks are the sector I'm paying very close attention to right no...Read More
By PlungerUsing Charles Dow's well known method of reading the stock market's movements , on Friday December 14th 2018 , the averages confirmed a bearish indication and can now be classified to be in a bear market. This action Friday is the first occurrence of a valid bear market signal in 11 years. Together the Dow Industrials and Transportation averages triggered a bear market signal followi...Read More
By Larry LaBorde I have invested in palladium from time to time in the past. I just dabbled a bit here and there but the market now just seems crazy. In case you haven't been watching lately palladium has exceeded the price of gold! Palladium (Pd) is a by product of nickel, copper and zinc refining usually. It is mainly used for catalytic converters. It is sometimes alloyed with gold t...Read More
Gold is not only flowing from West to East.It is also flowing into the house account at Goldman Sachs. Or at least the paper claims for it in New York.Below is the monthly report showing the large amounts of physical gold which have been steadily flowing through the Shanghai markets into strong hands in China.Few commentators are talking about this.What is less familiar, and what I have not read...Read More
Part 1 (parts 2, 3 and 4 below)Part 2Part 3Part 4Jeffrey Gundlach is the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of DoubleLine Capital. He is recognized as an expert in bond and fixed income investments. His investment strategies have been featured in leading publications from around the world In 2013, he was named "Money Manager of the Year" by Institutional Investor. He is a graduat...Read More
Peter Schiff is an internationally recognized economist specializing in the foreign equity, currency and gold markets. Mr. Schiff made his name as President and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital. He frequently delivers lectures at major economic and investment conferences, and is quoted often in the print media, including the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Barron's, BusinessWee...Read More
Another week has gone by where we have seen a tremendous amount of activity around the world: the French, Belgians, and Dutch are engaged in protests labeled "yellow Continue...Read More
Historically, Hitler used a very famous event that was the origin of the term "False flag" back in 1933 to reinforce his power. The German False flag used by Hitler Continue...Read More
Now it's the hedge funds. They were prime beneficiaries of an re-inflationary Fed. Their access to a near endless source of virtually interest free funds has made their business model a near certain winner. Now with interest rates on the rise, hedge funds are closing up shop all over. And what about those interest rates? Looks like December will either be the last rate hike or perhaps it won't hap...Read More
Click here for the complete transcript: http://financialrepressionauthority.c...Yra Harris is a trader with over 32 years of experience in all areas of commodity trading, with broad expertise in cash currency markets. He has a proven track record of successful trading through combination of technical work and fundamental analysis of global trends; historically based analysis on global hot money fl...Read More