We are going to start this update on a positive note by pointing out that the gold to silver ratio recently reached a 24-year record extreme as shown by the 20-year chart for this ratio below, which alone is a sign that the sector is close to a bottom and also that a major new bullmarket is likely to start before much longer. However, there is the small matter of a looming market crash and the c...Read More
By John MauldinBreathless ReportingAn Inverted Yield Curve Is Just a FeverEarly PredictorRecession ProbabilityA Little TimeCleveland, San Francisco, Boca Raton, and SICEverybody is suddenly talking about the inverted yield curve. They're right to do so, too, but alarm bells may be premature. Inversion is a historically reliable but early recession indicator. The yield curve isn't saying recessio...Read More
By Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA If we want to know where Gold is going we should follow Gold. Right? How about following gold stocks? At times, they lead Gold. What about the US Dollar? Wrong! In 2019, one market more than any other will impact Gold. That is the stock market. History argues (within the current context) that when the Federal Reserve ends its rate hikes, Gold's downtrend will...Read More
The past few years have seen more than the usual amount of political upheaval. But, interestingly, most regime changes have resulted in pretty much the same thing: Higher government spending and bigger deficits. Apparently the only "reforms" today's voters will accept - which is to say the only actions that don't get a leader kicked out of office - involve spending rather than saving money. Thre...Read More
By Steve St. AngeloThere has been a tug of war in the oil price over the past two weeks. Due to a very rare setup in the market, the oil price has traded in a very narrow range as traders fight it out to see who will win control... the BULLS or the BEARS. My bet is on the bet is on the bears. Amazingly, the oil price is literally stuck right between two critical technical levels.Ever sinc...Read More
With the uncertainties of Brexit weighing on Britain and the EU, their respective currencies have been taking a beating. The euro is in a long-term bear market that has seen a drop from $1.60 in 2008 to a low early last year of $1.03. Over that time, sterling has fallen from a surreal peak of $2.11 to a sobering $1.20. Although these trends do not speak well for the economic and political futu...Read More
Featured GuestsGerald Celente & Peter SchiffShow HighlightsFounder of the Trends Research Institute and Globalnomic(R) Trend Forecaster Gerald Celente returns with the economic forecast for the new year. $1,200 is the floor for gold - once the bulls push the price over $1,450 the sea change in sentiment could ignite an ascent to a new record over $2,000. Topping the list of catalysts that could...Read More
We are going to start this update on a positive note by pointing out that the gold to silver ratio recently reached a 24-year record extreme as shown by the 20-year chart for this ratio below, which alone is a sign that the sector is close to a bottom and also that a major new bullmarket is likely to start before much longer. However, there is the small matter of a looming market crash and the c...Read More
By John MauldinBreathless ReportingAn Inverted Yield Curve Is Just a FeverEarly PredictorRecession ProbabilityA Little TimeCleveland, San Francisco, Boca Raton, and SICEverybody is suddenly talking about the inverted yield curve. They're right to do so, too, but alarm bells may be premature. Inversion is a historically reliable but early recession indicator. The yield curve isn't saying recessio...Read More
By Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA If we want to know where Gold is going we should follow Gold. Right? How about following gold stocks? At times, they lead Gold. What about the US Dollar? Wrong! In 2019, one market more than any other will impact Gold. That is the stock market. History argues (within the current context) that when the Federal Reserve ends its rate hikes, Gold's downtrend will...Read More
The past few years have seen more than the usual amount of political upheaval. But, interestingly, most regime changes have resulted in pretty much the same thing: Higher government spending and bigger deficits. Apparently the only "reforms" today's voters will accept - which is to say the only actions that don't get a leader kicked out of office - involve spending rather than saving money. Thre...Read More
By Steve St. AngeloThere has been a tug of war in the oil price over the past two weeks. Due to a very rare setup in the market, the oil price has traded in a very narrow range as traders fight it out to see who will win control... the BULLS or the BEARS. My bet is on the bet is on the bears. Amazingly, the oil price is literally stuck right between two critical technical levels.Ever sinc...Read More
With the uncertainties of Brexit weighing on Britain and the EU, their respective currencies have been taking a beating. The euro is in a long-term bear market that has seen a drop from $1.60 in 2008 to a low early last year of $1.03. Over that time, sterling has fallen from a surreal peak of $2.11 to a sobering $1.20. Although these trends do not speak well for the economic and political futu...Read More
CloseGain/LossGold $1246.30+$8.00Silver$14.67+$0.09XAU69.19+2.37%HUI156.72+2.66%GDM570.75+1.84%JSE Gold1302.25+3.60USD97.14-0.32Euro113.47+0.42Yen88.54+0.31Oil$49.88-$1.3210-Year2.858%-0.035T-Bond143.75+0.46875Dow23592.98-2.11%Nasdaq6753.73-2.27%S&P2545.94-2.08% The Metals: Gold saw slight losses in Asia, but it then climbed steadily higher in London and New York and ende...Read More
By Dave KranzlerA couple of my subscribers emailed me expressing frustration over the fact that their recent homebuilder puts are either not moving higher or losing value despite the sell-off in the overall stock market. There's two factors. First, the homebuilder sector has dropped well over 30% since late January. To an extent there may be some seller's fatigue. At some point there will be sho...Read More
By Clint SiegnerThe Democratic party will be moving back into the control room in the House of Representatives.Congress may commemorate the return to split government with a partial shutdown. The feud over construction of a border wall looks like it will not be resolved in time. It could be the first of many political dramas in 2019.The debate over funding for the wall is theater, make no mistak...Read More
By Frank HolmesStrengthsThe best performing metal this week was palladium, up 1.41 percent, though hedge funds cut their long position to a three-week low. ICBC Standard Bank, however, sees palladium hitting $1,500 an ounce by 2020. Gold traders and analysts were mostly bullish on the yellow metal this week on concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and ongoing uncertainty around Bre...Read More
By David HaggithThe Big Bear is back. Ursa Major is in the house of the rising sun, and Taurus is in the house of the setting sun. Those are bad signs for investors who are now daily diving into their horoscopes. The market is pouring out of an inverted Big Dipper, otherwise known as the Big Bear (Ursa Major), and no one (not even the Fed chair) nor any positive event seems able to stop it. I ca...Read More
By Justin SmythAssets that are typically the most inversely correlated to the stock market during bear markets have started exploding higher in the last few weeks. The IEF bond ETF broke out of a Stage 1 base recently. The utilities ETF XLU broke out of a Stage 2 continuation pattern and is making new all-time highs. Gold mining stocks are the sector I'm paying very close attention to right no...Read More
By PlungerUsing Charles Dow's well known method of reading the stock market's movements , on Friday December 14th 2018 , the averages confirmed a bearish indication and can now be classified to be in a bear market. This action Friday is the first occurrence of a valid bear market signal in 11 years. Together the Dow Industrials and Transportation averages triggered a bear market signal followi...Read More