I would like to start out this Report by looking at a long term monthly chart for the GDX. The multi year bear market actually began in September of 2011 at the head portion of the 3 1/2 year H&S top. The H&S top actually began to form in September of 2009 and ended in February of 2013 when the price action broke below the neckline. From that point the GDX declined for the next three years...Read More
Base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mixed at the close of trading on Thursday July 4, with price movements largely subdued by a national holiday in the United States while volumes traded were markedly lower.Over the afternoon, tin's three-month price continued its ascent back above $18,000 per tonne, climbing by more than 4% to close at $18,350 per tonne.The metal was subject to i...Read More
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts the reasons why the recent gold breakout is genuine. It has been a truly glorious month for gold, and the purpose of this update is to point out firstly that the gold breakout of the past week was genuine and secondly that any short-term reaction back as far as $1,380 or even $1,370 will not negate the breakout—instead it should be seized upon as an oppor...Read More
The market for pig iron exports from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) has strengthened over the past week following rises in the prices for iron ore and ferrous scrap.Fastmarkets' price assessment for low-manganese pig iron exports, fob main port Baltic Sea, CIS, was up by $5 per tonne to $355-360 per tonne on July 4.Offers of material from Russia's Tulachermet to Europe were reported...Read More
Dr. Ron Paul & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - July, 2nd, 2019.* Mp3.HighlightsFounder of The Ron Paul Institute for Peace And Prosperity returns to the show with his case for restoring a gold-backed US dollar. In the Ron Paul Liberty Report last month, Dr. Paul noted, "The Fed Can't Save Us, But Gold Can," in response to the new rate cut cycle.He outlines how this event could mark the beginning of...Read More
Growth in South African manganese ore exports continued to slow in the first six months of 2019, shipping data shows. Manganese ore exports from South Africa climbed by about 8% to 8.97 million tonnes in the first six months of the year from the same period in 2018.This compares with an increase of 17% year on year between January-June 2017 and January-June 2018. In the relevant period of 2017, ex...Read More
Gold hit our first upside target of $1,435 per ounce and rallied as high as $1,442 per ounce before reversing dramatically, declining 4% to a low of $1,385 in a just five days.It now takes 92 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold. This is hard to imagine considering that gold is only 15 times rarer than its pauper cousin.Should gold continue to rally, our conservative upside target for its pau...Read More
Yesterday’s oil session was indeed heavy on action. The initial upswing gave way to a reversal lower, leaving black gold to close almost unchanged. Well, it finished a bit lower than it opened the day actually. Does this signify something important? That important that it would make us act? You bet – let’s dive in to the juicy details.Let’s take a closer look at the chart b...Read More
Donald and Xi have confirmed their true and everlasting friendship now. Trade wars are over, it’s all rainbows and unicorns - and investors do not need safe havens anymore. Right? The celebratory mood feels great but let’s find out what the trade truce really means for the gold market.Ufff, They Announce Trade Truce The G20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, is behind us. Did I write “G20&...Read More
The London Metal Exchange has just finished its trial to calculate nickel prices using a volume weighted average price (VWAP) method on the exchange's electronic trading platform. If early indications are anything to go by, metals market participants did not embrace this method of price discovery in the way some had anticipated. For three months since Monday March 18, closing prices for nickel car...Read More
The United States Secretary of Commerce has joined the growing chorus of voices questioning the current method of setting the US Midwest aluminium premium. Wilbur Ross said the US Midwest aluminium premium is at inflated levels that do not justify the cost of transportation and logistical handling costs that it was originally designed to reflect. His view is being echoed by a number of...Read More
A decade ago, the Shanghai Futures Exchange launched its steel rebar futures contract. In the years that followed it has become the gold standard for steel derivatives, achieving a success that other exchanges aspire to emulate. And they are definitely trying, with a total of 11 steel derivatives contracts launched by the main trading exchanges since. SHFE, which launched a wire rod futures contra...Read More
Base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mixed at the close of trading on Thursday July 4, with price movements largely subdued by a national holiday in the United States while volumes traded were markedly lower.Over the afternoon, tin's three-month price continued its ascent back above $18,000 per tonne, climbing by more than 4% to close at $18,350 per tonne.The metal was subject to i...Read More
Seaborne coking coal market was stable on Thursday July 4, underlining some market participants' expectations of a slow price slide for the steelmaking raw material.An 85,000-tonne cargo of a top brand of premium low-vol hard coking coal was traded at $197.19 per tonne cfr China. The cargo is scheduled for loading in August.The same brand had fetched $200 per tonne cfr China last week.A buyer sour...Read More
China's hot-rolled coil prices were unchanged on Thursday July 4 although trading activity dropped in the afternoon after futures declined amid chatter that a group of Chinese steelmakers has planned a working group to study the import iron ore market where prices have hit record highs this year.DomesticEastern China (Shanghai): 3,890-3,900 yuan ($565-567) per tonne, unchangedNorthern China (Tianj...Read More
Stainless steel prices in Europe were likely to remain under pressure due to a longer-than-usual summer slowdown and the renewal of the region's safeguarding quota allocations, while in the United States the determining factor was likely to be the level of alloy surcharges.Meanwhile, the resumption of trade talks between the US and China was likely to boost market activity in Asia.EuropeParticipan...Read More
Turkish billet prices have increased over the past week on the back of an uptick in imported scrap costs, sources said on Thursday July 4.Billet suppliers in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) raised their offers to $440-445 per tonne cfr levels for Turkish customers. However, there was no significant trading activity heard so far this week.Fastmarkets' weekly price assessment for...Read More
Yunnan Tin Group (YTG) has begun negotiations for its potential incorporation into China Minmetals Corp (CMC), according to a notice released on June 17 by Shanghai-listed Yunnan Tin Co Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of YTG.According to the International Tin Association (ITA), Chinese state-owned Yunnan Tin remains the world's largest producer of refined tin, with output of 77,789 tonnes of tin in...Read More
Base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mixed across morning trading on Thursday July 4, with low liquidity capping three-month prices in broadly narrow ranges.Overnight, tin's three-month price continued to stabilize above the $18,000 per tonne level after falling by more than 6% at Tuesday's close.Forward spreads have also been favorable in tin, with the benchmark cash/three-month r...Read More
While US equities remain upbeat on expectations for looser monetary policy, the base metals continue to reflect the soft economic conditions brought about by the lack of a United States-China trade deal.The strong rebound in gold after the recent correction suggests some investors remain nervous about what lies round the corner.US stocks close at record levels with the S&P 500 closing in on the 3,...Read More