Evergrande is on the brink of bankruptcy. Will gold prices collapse together with the real estate developer or benefit from its default?Generals are always prepared to fight the last war, while economists are always prepared to fight the last recession. But what if the next economic crisis doesn’t start in the US financial sector, but in China’s real estate?Naturally, I refer to Evergr...Read More

The gold miners’ latestquarterly earnings season will soon get underway, with their full Q3’21 resultsdue out by mid-November.  These fundamentalreports are invaluable to traders, revealing how companies are actually faringoperationally and financially.  Despite Fed-tighteningfears hammering gold and gold stocks last quarter, the miners are likely to collectivelyreport outsta...Read More

Base metals futures on the London Metal Exchange were largely lower at the 5pm close on Wednesday November 17, succumbing to a strong US dollar index and other headwinds.The US dollar index remained at its highest since July 2020, touching 96.27 during early trading before stepping back to 95.83 at the close."It seems that the upside momentum has stalled in several markets over the last 24 ho...Read More

You see, there is all this noise out there. It comes mostly from inflationists touting gold in the same breath as copper, as oil, and as commodities of all flavors (and aside from gold and to a degree, silver, those flavors are cyclical).But you also see, gold is counter-cyclical in its best suit. You see on this monthly chart that gold has been forming its Handle to the bullish Cup ever since the...Read More

Kickingthe can down the road is the new national pastime. Every time the government’sbills come due, officials at the Treasury Department find creative ways ofpaying them with money they don’t have.Onemeasure of just how overextended the United States has become financially isthe debt to GDP ratio. For most of the country’s history, excluding temporarywartime blips, net general g...Read More

Price movements for seaborne iron ore were largely rangebound on Wednesday November 17 except for the mid- and high-grade iron ore fines segments, which tracked the stronger transacted prices on a trading platform, sources told Fastmarkets.Fastmarkets iron ore indices62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $91.08 per tonne, up $1.04 per tonne62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $91.30 per tonne, up $0.30 per...Read More

Inflation accelerated again in September, and gold prices (finally!) reacted positively. Bad news: the rally was short-lived.Unfortunately, I was right. One month ago, when commenting on the CPI readings for August, I wrote that inflation “doesn’t have to go away anytime soon” and that the economic developments suggest that “inflation isn’t disappearing just yet.&rdqu...Read More

London Metal Exchange base metals prices mostly softened on the morning of Wednesday November 17 apart from those for aluminium and nickel, with the US Dollar Index rising to new heights. The US Dollar Index rose to 96.27 during early trading, its highest since July 2020. The three-month copper price was at $9,493.50 per tonne at 9am on Wednesday, down by 0.7% from its closing price of $9,561 per...Read More

“Gold going nowhere” seems to be a reasonable description of recent price action in the metals markets.Below is a daily chart of GLD for the past year… The price variation from the mid-point (170) of the price range (160-180) is only about 5 1/2 percent – either up or down.For those expecting bigger things, this might trigger some impatience. It might also be disappointin...Read More

What’s the price level exit for theblack gold?The new front month contract (as weswitched now to Dec’21) for WTI Crude Oil futures closed the week at $82 perbarrel on Friday (Oct. 15th).Fundamentally, nothing seems to be able to stop, in the short term, the surge incrude oil prices which continued to rise on Friday amid concerns over supply,since the WTI hit a new high in almost seven...Read More

With American silver investment demand continuing to be very strong this year, the U.S. is importing even more silver. The U.S. market is now acquiring metal from... by Steve St Angelo of SRSrocco ReportWith American silver investment demand continuing to be very strong this year, the U.S. is importing even more silver. The U.S. market is now acquiring metal from Turkey, Russia, Uzbekistan, a...Read More

Mining stocks were picked up byinvestors in the latest bullish wave. But these bad performers may be dumpedjust as quickly as they were bought.After the HUIIndex rallied back above the neckline of its bearish head &shoulders pattern, a new bull market for mining stocks has finally begun. Or has it? Well, after an identicaldevelopment occurred in 2000, the HUI Index soon invalidated the breakou...Read More

Abig week for precious metals markets as inflation pressures push consumer prices to painful new heights.OnThursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that inflation at the wholesalelevel is up 8.6% from a year ago. That’s the steepest annual advance since thedata started being reported.Ofcourse, Americans who have shopped at a grocery store recently or tried to rentor buy a car don’t...Read More

Copper makes the headlines, but GYX has been bullish all along; gold awaits its time as the message from metals land is bullish, risk ‘on’ and cyclicalWhile copper went through its correction we have been noting each week in NFTRH that the Industrial Metals index, GYX had never aborted its bullish stance. Trends remained up and the index price held the SMA 50’s intermediate trend...Read More

The battered goldstocks are bouncing hard, blasting higher over the past couple weeks!  That’s despite the Fed still looking to soonstart slowing the pace of its epic money printing.  Fed-tightening fears had weighted heavily onthe precious-metals realm since June. Gold stocks’ sharp rally confirms they have started mean reverting muchhigher after withering capitulation...Read More

Strong words, I know. Can I back them up? Well,what we see now – looking at various markets – does indeed look like the startof gold’s end– The Oracle in Matrix Revolutions, 2003The counter-trend rally has probably justended, and the final big downswing has probably just started. This “beginning”of the final downswing is, in my opinion, the beginning of the fina...Read More

As precious metals traders have waited out this extended sideways/downward price contraction in price over the past 14+ months, a very broad Pennant/Flag price formation is nearing an APEX level which suggests Gold may begin a new rally phase over the next 60+ days. Support near $1675 is a critical price level that has been tested three times over the past 8 months. The true APEX of the Pennant/Fl...Read More

An understanding of the relationship between between the gold price and inflation requires historical observation and factual understanding. Below are three specific statements that are rooted in historical fact…1)  GOLD IS REAL MONEYLots of things have been used as money during five thousand years of recorded history.  Only gold has stood the test of time. It has earned its...Read More

Falling oil demand and bearish USinventories are not of any good to WTI investors. However, a deeper slide mightbe a great place to enter the trade…FundamentalAnalysis The Organization of Petroleum ExportingCountries (OPEC) has downgraded its estimate of world oil demand for 2021. Thedemand has been lower than expected so far despite strong prospects for the endof the year.In fact, in its m...Read More

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger decries last week's manipulations in the silver market. Anyone schooled in the Canadian educational system in the 1960s is by default familiar with William Shakespeare’s famous play Hamlet about a Danish prince that seeks revenge upon his uncle who was believed to have murdered his father to seize the Danish throne. As students forced to utilize a lea...Read More