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RESEARCH: The Year of the Ox is bringing out the bulls

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The strength of the economic recovery in China in 2020 defied the expectations of most market observers. According to estimates by Fastmarkets, apparent consumption in the country rose by 9% in 2020 compared with a 12% fall in the rest of the world.Crucially, this increase in supply was a response to a boom in steel demand in the East Asian nation. In the first quarter of 2020, demand (or real con...Read More

RESEARCH: Seamless OCTG, linepipe prices static in China but rise elsewhere

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Chinese export prices for seamless oil country tubular goods (OCTG) and linepipe barely moved in February 2021, after rallying in January, because the holidays to celebrate the Lunar New Year curbed market activity sharply.With the holiday now ended, we have seen some sharp jumps in round billet prices and we expect there to...Read More

RESEARCH: Ore and alloy prices forecast to maintain momentum through Q1

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloy forecast highlights:?EUR?In a strong start to the year, January saw ore and alloy pricing gains across all markets priced by Fastmarkets - with the exception of Chinese silicon metal export prices, which retreated slightly last month after posting impressive gains in December 2020.The combination...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy prices poised for strong finish to year, further strength in Q1 2021

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Key ferro-alloy forecast highlights for the coming months:?EUR? A strong recovery in both bulk and noble alloys is expected in 2021 but the markets are unlikely to return to the levels seen before the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. We have seen a quicker-than-expected recovery across various regions amid the economic fal...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy prices poised for strong finish to 2020

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Prices for most ferro-alloys maintained their upward momentum into October, solidifying previous gains and reflecting the improved demand from steelmakers, the rebuilding of depleted inventories, and the supply-side concerns following both planned and unplanned outages. Gains were noted for ferro-silicon, silicon metal, mang...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy price gains in September position markets for strong Q4

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloys forecast highlights:Prices across most ore and alloy markets trended higher in September, buoyed by improving demand from steelmakers with the end of the summer holiday season in Europe and the United States, as well as maintained demand from Chinese steel mills. Tightening of alloy inventories...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from Coaltrans Asia; what to expect for scrap, metallics demand in China

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Fastmarkets analysts were invited to present our outlook for the coking coal market at Coaltrans Asia, held online on November 23-25. One of the key topics at the event was the trade tensions between China and Australia, which overtook Mongolia to become the largest coking coal exporter to China this year...Read More

RESEARCH: Supply boost threatens iron ore price spike

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Iron ore remains the most bullish commodity of the year, with prices fuelled by Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, along with bullish sentiment. But prices are expected to come down because Brazilian exports have begun to recover, and have reached their highest level since the Brumadinho dam disaster in 2019. W...Read More

RESEARCH: Brazil's iron ore export volumes recovering; mildly positive outlook for met coal

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In the iron ore market, supply issues including heavy rains at the start of the year, followed by staffing problems during the Covid-19 pandemic, have affected exports from Brazil. This has helped Australia gain a larger market share, but since June, Brazilian export volumes have returned to levels last seen before the...Read More

RESEARCH: Iron ore, met coal diverge while pressure grows for China scrap, metallics prices

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Chinese blast furnace (BF) utilization rates have stagnated and iron ore port stock volumes are rising, reaching their highest levels since March, which suggests that iron ore supply is becoming excessive while demand is not growing. Unsurprisingly, prices dropped last week and we expect the trend to continue. The market has...Read More

RESEARCH: Stainless price rally picks up speed

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.We spoke in our previous tracker of stainless steel prices ending 2020 on a high. That trend has continued during early 2021 and, in fact, the upward rally in prices has increased its momentum.Compared with the monthly price increase of some 5% seen at the end of 2020, prices for grade-304 stainless steel in al...Read More

RESEARCH: Stainless prices to follow carbon steel prices higher?

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.Prices of stainless steel are generally set to reach highs for the year as 2020 comes to a close. For the most common nickel-containing grades of stainless steel, this upward trend is being driven above all by rising nickel prices, which themselves are hitting relatively high levels into the end of 2020.The price increases si...Read More

RESEARCH: Asian stainless markets under pressure

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.While much commentary has been written about Asian economies performing far better than those elsewhere this year during the global Covid-19 pandemic, it is stainless steel markets in Europe and the United States that are ending the year in better shape than their Asian counterparts.We do not talk of demand levels or demand g...Read More

RESEARCH: All change in global stainless markets?

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.While a world leader in many areas, the United States is a relatively small player when it comes to stainless steel. It produces a small amount of material, both in absolute and relative terms (i.e. compared to the size of its population), while a large share of its industry is in the hands of bigger European companies. Never...Read More

ALUMINIUM FOUNDRY WRAP: European premiums surge to more than 2-year highs

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

Aluminium primary foundry alloy (PFA) premiums in Europe rose to more than two-year highs on Friday March 12, while the premium in the United States was unchanged at a 19-month high.EuropePremiums in Europe were driven higher by a lack of supply, rising raw material costs and global logistics complications. Fastmarkets' assessment of the aluminium primary foundry alloy silicon 7 ingot premium, ddp...Read More

Export prices from south of Brazil stable, awaiting new deals

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The pig iron export market from Brazil was stable during the week to Friday March 12, with no new deals heard because suppliers were fully booked, Fastmarkets heard.Fastmarkets' price assessment for pig iron, export, fob port of Vitoria/Rio, Brazil, was $520 per tonne on Friday, unchanged week on week.The latest sale from the south of Brazil to the United States was...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 12/03: LME prices stable after large stock inflows during week

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

Prices moved sideways on the London Metal Exchange at the close of trading on Friday March 12, with the base metals complex seeing another session of consolidation following recent rallies."After a volatile couple of weeks, the base metals have taken a breather and largely drifted sideways this week," Neil Welsh, a broker for Britannia Global Markets, said."Speculative interest has been a notable...Read More

NEW ENERGY MATERIALS MARKET REPORT 12/03: Chinese lithium carbonate price still on uptrend despite slow trade

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

An overview of the new energy materials markets and their price moves from the past week.Susan Zou and Sybil Pan...Read More

COPPER SEMINAR: LME ring may have helped limit metals volatility, ED&F Man's Demler says

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

Extraordinary volatility in London Metal Exchange trading, particularly in tin, may have been prevented, or at least significantly reduced, if the open-outcry trading floor had not been temporarily closed due to Covid-19, the global head of metals at ED&F Man Capital Markets has said.Fred Demler, who is also executive vice president at the Category 1 member of the exchange, said that there had als...Read More

COPPER SEMINAR: Quality of pricing counts, not more participation, Sucden CEO says

March 13, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

Increased participation in London Metal Exchange price discovery does not necessarily translate into improved pricing quality, the chief executive officer of Sucden Financial has said.Marc Bailey told the virtual Fastmarkets Copper Seminar that a key problem with the LME's discussion paper on market structure was a link in the thinking that liquidity and transparency are the same thing."I would ta...Read More

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