By Ricky WenTuesday's session played out as a massive gap up and consolidation. This meant that it allowed the price action and its internals to reset, catch a breath in order to ramp up higher again. It's been the same structure for the past few weeks once the price action gets too far away from the 4-hour or daily trending support levels if you've utilized our key concepts such as 8/20EMA on t...Read More
"I think there is a strong likelihood we will need another bill."That's according to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who supports additional fiscal stimulus to combat the economic impact of the novel coronavirus within reason.The secretary's statement comes after the House passed a record-shattering $3 trillion relief package, though leaders in the Senate have said they will not put it up for...Read More
By: Gary SavageI warned you about this situation. Gold's option expiration on Tuesday. Usually see an attack. The triangle consolidation pattern was blocked and not allowed to get follow-through, the technical will transform into a box:https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold dropped because of the strong equity markets, but not the tech sector -- stalling. Gold's trend is down in the short-term:Read More
Spot gold is higher than comex gold futures after a very long-term time. Silver, copper and crude oil will remain firm on demand outlook and mine supply pressure. Trend of all metals, energies and US dollar Index till 2nd June can be misleading. Trend between 3rd June to 17th June will be sustainable. COVID is getting less attention now. Focus is on jobs and economy. COVID infections once world...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Wednesday May 27 that are worth another look.The annual sitting of the National People's Congress of the People's Republic of China and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference - widely known as the 'twin sessions' - in Beijing released a series of stimulus packages for the development of China's economy amid the Covid-19 pan...Read More
How long it will take the global economy to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic is anyone's guess right now.Could the world's major economic regions be in for an "LUV" recovery similar to the one they saw after the global financial crisis of 2008-09?That was the format of recovery that was expected in 2009 by former Rio Tinto chief executive officer Tom Albanese, who was at the helm of the mining g...Read More
The Covid-19 pandemic is likely to lead to another casualty: the mega mine. The volatility created by crises like Covid-19 is adding a layer of uncertainty to the development of large-scale projects that take a decade or more to progress and are highly capital intensive, according to Tom Albanese, the former chief executive officer of Rio Tinto.This means that mining projects are likely to be deve...Read More
Alcoa Corp has called on the aluminium industry to assess the cost effectiveness of its smelting capacity and make cuts where appropriate - or face a ratcheting up of inventories and a protracted period of low prices. Roy Harvey, the US producer's chief executive officer, said that while curtailments were costly, both financially and in terms of job losses, they were more than necessary at this mo...Read More
The annual sitting of the National People's Congress of the People's Republic of China and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference - widely known as the 'twin sessions' - in Beijing released a series of stimulus packages for the development of China's economy amid the Covid-19 pandemic.Market participants harbor mixed sentiment over the impact of the policy measures. Here are eight...Read More
Three-month prices for base metals on the London Metal Exchange, except aluminium, closed in negative territory after trading on Wednesday May 27, with futures prices capped by risk-off sentiment created by reignited tensions between the United States and China.Tensions have flared between the two countries over China's proposals for new security laws in Hong Kong, pointing to a further deteriorat...Read More
A summary of London Metal Exchange warrant premiums from across the globe for the week to Wednesday May 27.Read More
Seaborne iron ore prices regained some stability with active trading on Wednesday May 27, after falls the previous day that were triggered by an easing of supplies from Brazil.Fastmarkets iron ore indices62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $95.37 per tonne, up by $0.09 per tonne.62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $98.00 per tonne, up by $0.03 per tonne.58% Fe fines high-grade premium, cfr Qingdao: $84....Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Early signs of post-lockdown demand recoveryWith major economies outside China reopening after the easing of their Covid-19-related restrictions on movement and industrial activity, last week's jump in the number of cancelled aluminium warrants on the London Metal Exchange may be an early sign that the post-lockdo...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: 'Sell the rally' mentality here to stayAlthough the London Metal Exchange aluminium price has managed to recover modestly from recent lows, we suspect this is mostly short-covering. The lack of producer restraint, growing exchange inventories, a weak demand outlook and the 7 million tonnes of oversupply forecast f...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: 4-million-tonne surplus for 2020We have made further downward revisions to our aluminium demand expectations for 2020 and, although there have been smelter capacity reduction in China too, the net effect is that our forecast for the global surplus this year has swelled to 4 million tonnes, from 2.7 million tonnes...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Average LME aluminium price down by 2.5% week on weekAlthough LME aluminium began this week on the rebound, prices extended their recent downtrend further last week, approaching the $1,400-per-tonne level. The weekly average LME aluminium cash price was down 2.5% last week to $1,432.50 per tonne from previous week's $1,469.6...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.US flat product prices outperformed our expectations over the past month. In an attempt to lend the market confidence that sheet prices had reached a floor, US steel mills announced price increases of $50-60 per ton at the end of April. In the announcement, mills cited the expectation of higher scrap prices, tight domestic s...Read More
Global markets are contracting in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the prices for flat steel products continue to retreat, with prices for coated steels down by a further 5% since late March in most of the markets that Fastmarkets tracks.The latest edition of Fastmarkets' Galvanized Steel and Tinplate Market Tracker, for April 2020, is now available to view.Further price falls are almost cer...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Despite these unprecedented times, US sheet prices moved in line with our expectations over the past month. While we maintain our view on the direction of pricing during 2020 and the length of the pricing downturn, as the Covid-19 crisis deepens we have increased the magnitude of the price declines through the second quarter...Read More