April job report shows a terrible US labor market. Coronavirus destroyed 20.5 million jobs, pushing the unemployment rate to almost 15 percent. How far does the number reflect reality – and what does it actually mean for the gold market?Apocalypse in the US Labor Market 14.7 percent. Remember this value well, as it will go down in history. This is the official US unemployment rate for April...Read More
The three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange was higher at the close of trading on Monday June 1, needing only a further slight push to rise above $5,500 per tonne - a level it has not breached since March 11 - while a smaller-than-expected fall in US monthly construction spending also supported the base-metals complex.Copper's underlying price on the LME closed at $5,484 per tonne on...Read More
Over the last 50 years there have virtuallybeen no significant Silver rallies during a period when the US Dollar index hasbeen rising.If you are betting on a massive Silver rallywhile US dollar strength continues, then you have a very low probability ofsuccess. Similarly, if you bet on a massive Silver rally while the US dollarcontinues a long decline, then you have a great chance of success.So, f...Read More
The London Metal Exchange has formally canceled this year's LME Week, which was due to take place in London later this year, "due to the Covid-19 pandemic."All of its official events related to the annual gathering will not happen this year, the exchange said in a notice to members on Monday June 1."In the interests of ensuring the safety of all attendees from across the metals industry, the LME h...Read More
The recent volatility inmost markets was really extreme, which means that it was easy to lose focus onthe things that matter the most in case of the gold market. It was relativelyeasy to keep one’s focus as far as the fundamental outlook for gold isconcerned – it’s quite obvious that the economies around the world are in deeptrouble and that the various QEs and money-printing mec...Read More
Seaborne iron ore prices mostly decreased on Monday June 1 after the surge on Friday May 29, with market participants waiting for a clear trend. Fastmarkets iron ore indices 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $100.45 per tonne, down $1.94 per tonne.62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $103.89 per tonne, down $1.11 per tonne. 58% Fe fines high-grade premium, cfr Qingdao: $91.93 per tonne, up $4.63 per to...Read More
What it cannot do is cure the virus. What it could do, however, according to a good many analysts, is act as an effective hedge against its economic consequences. Since the beginning of the year through April, the metal was up 11.73% during probably the worst period in economic history since the 1930s Great Depression. Below we chronicle what top experts have to say about gold in the year of...Read More
Tonight I would like to focus in on silver which remains one of the best bargains in the PM complex right now. When I first became acquainted with the PM complex back in early 2002 I learned quickly that just because gold may have had a good rally sometimes the PM stocks move very little which was confusing to me as I thought they should move in tandem. Then there were other times when the PM stoc...Read More
For many years now, metals traders and enthusiasts have been patiently waiting for the move in Silver that we feel its eventually going to happen. There is almost a ritual process in the metals market that takes place when a crisis happens. We’ve written about this in a past article and we’ve highlighted how we believe Silver is one of the absolute best opportunities if/onc...Read More
The battle between Elliott waves and supply/demand forecasting approach continues In case you just landed on Earth via Martian spaceship, 2020 has seen the biggest crash in oil prices ever.This chart captures crude's three-month, 80%-plus nosedive to 3-decade lows. (Price data as of May 1, 2020 and does not reflect the unprecedented April 20 plunge into negative territory at -$40.32. Yes, minus $...Read More
$2,000, $5,000 or even the Jim Rickard’s $50,000 as the next target for gold. How realistic are these figures – could we see the yellow metal at $5,000 or even higher amid the coronavirus crisis? We invite you thus to read our today’s article and find out how high gold prices can go in this downturn. The first quarter of 2020 was clearly positive for the gold market, as the chart...Read More
Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and similar products account for a significant part of the gold market, with institutional and individual investors using them to implement many of their investment strategies without considering the true risk associated with many aspects of holding non-tangible assets. Gold ETFs are units representing physical gold in paper or dematerialized form, which is...Read More
The stock market has had a great run duringthe last decade. It has made some people a good stack of money.However, the March crash has many wonderingwhat it will do next. Will it continue to crash, or will it continue the bullmarket?Is it really worth spending time and effortcontemplating its next move? I think not.The market is currently presenting a greatopportunity to lock in those stock market...Read More
Half the US States and countries like Italy and Germany are gradually easing lockdowns. Taking measured steps, the moves are broadly cheered. Rightfully so? And what does the reopening mean for the gold market?Epidemics: Bad, Good, and UglyBy May 6, 2020, more than total 3.6 million of confirmed cases have been reported in the world and more than 250,000 have already died from the COVID-19. In the...Read More
Both Gold and Silver Futures have been struggling to rallyabove recent high levels since the start of the global stock market collapserelated to the COVID-19 virus event. Yet, the Junior Gold Miners appear to be telling us the Precious Metalsmarket is boiling hot.Gold, the bell-weather safe-haven asset, initially collapsedwhen the US stock market started the massive selloff in late February 2...Read More
Most resource sector writers (including me) have for a long timebeen "wrong" about gold and silver. When they ran from $250 and $5 an ounce, respectively, to $1,920and $49 in 2011, those who listened, acted, and sold a bit did quite well. Weargued the "longer time bullish case" as these metals dropped intotheir final cyclical bear market graves in late 2015.But that was then&he...Read More
Light Crude oil prices have dropped an alarming 68 percent since the start of 2020. Brent prices are down 60 percent over the last four months. But recent price action appears to show that the worst of oil's decline is likely over.As the world economies are still being mauled by the effects of COVID-19, there are growing signs that oil prices are starting to recover. Light Crude oil prices have s...Read More
Overnight, Natural Gas broke above the $2.00 price level as we expected. On April 6, 2020, we published our research that Natural Gas was setting up a bottom pattern and that our seasonal analysis suggested April and May should prompt a price rally in Natural Gas pushing price levels above $2.40. The current rally has broken above a price resistance levelnear $2.00 and the rally up to $...Read More
Bob Moriarty of 321gold discusses economic collapse and gold.I like to read. I read fast and that helps. I can't quite come to grips with all these guys now coming out with 25-minute videos they insist we watch instead of reading. Do they really believe that everyone has so much free time that they can pay attention to someone chattering away for 25 minutes?Most of what you read or watch will be n...Read More
Sentiment in the CIS export market for steel billet improved over the weekend of May 30-31 with higher bids heard from customers in China.The increased cost of iron ore, together with an upswing in the East Asian country's domestic rebar market and production cuts planned in Tangshan province, supported interest in imported billet.Fastmarkets' daily index for iron ore 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao, wa...Read More