Gold is original money. As such, it is the measure of value for everything else.Gold was money before the US dollar and other paper currencies. All paper currencies are substitutes for gold, i.e., real money.So, how much is money worth? Money is worth what you can buy with it. In my article A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold, I compared the cost to purchase bread and gasoline over...Read More
The threat of Section 232 tariffs on aluminium imports from Canada into the United States has, like the great white shark following the Brody family in the universally panned film, 'Jaws: The Revenge,' returned - akin to a truly awful horror movie franchise. And that's how Neil Herrington, senior vice president for the Americas, US Chamber of Commerce, views reports that the US administration is c...Read More
Before updating the status of the gold miner (HUI) correction, let’s take a quick review of the Macrocosm, because it’s always a good time to be clear on important macro considerations.The graphic makes the following points that are the foundation of the NFTRH view on the right/wrong times to be fundamentally bullish on the gold stock sector. In order of priority, a bullish view needs:...Read More
Bullish sentiment appears to have returned to the stock markets with a vengeance. In a historic rally that has taken even die-hard bulls by surprise, the S&P 500 has managed to claw back all of its 2020 losses, taking just 53 sessions for the index to fully restore the nearly $10T in value it shed in an epic bear market. The oil markets have been nearly as impressive.After entering negative te...Read More
Watching out for sentiment extremes helps you avoid getting "caught up with the crowd"Simply put, a market sentiment extreme is a situation when most everyone has already taken a bullish or bearish position in a financial asset, leaving almost no one left to buy or sell.Silver provides an excellent case study.Let's briefly go back to April 18, 2011, when Elliott Wave International's U.S. Short Te...Read More
Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses the factors he sees weighing on precious metals in the near term.The precious metals sector is now set up for a correction that could be quite severe, which is evident on the charts, but also made more likely by the fundamentals where we see a return to "risk on" as a result of ongoing massive money injection by the Fed coupled with this being a seasonally w...Read More
The US Dollar index is not a true measure ofvalue of the US dollar. It just tracks an “exchange rate” between the US dollarand a basket of significant fiat currencies.For a true measure of value of the US dollarit is better to look to Gold and Silver. However, there is a relationshipbetween significant Gold rallies and the US Dollar index.Gold has a tendency to rally at a certaintime i...Read More
The recentjob report is not reliable, but it shows recovery in the US labor market. Thesituation is still bad, but optimism could triumph for now, which is bad forgold. On Friday,the Bureau of Labor Services released the newest edition ofthe Employment Situation Report. The publication shows that the US economy regained 2.5 million jobs inMay, constituting the biggest nonfarm payroll surpris...Read More
Investors dumped paper gold and silver along with stocks, commodities, and most other asset classes in March. The price of silver dropped to $12.02/oz on March 18th and gold bottomed at $1,473/oz.The bullion banks – notorious for their concentrated short positions – might have made a killing. But that isn’t what happened. Some of the most prominent players took massive losses ins...Read More
Firstly, my long standing approach to Silver has been one of buying (accumulating) when the Silver price is cheap to invest to capitalise on long-term Spikes, as the silver price tends to be quite erratic in behaviour, prone to a lot of false signals so Silver can be a difficult market to trade i.e. tends to run stops and sharp movements contrary to the likes of Gold, just as we experienced during...Read More
Three-month base metals prices on the LME were mostly lower at the close of trading on Wednesday June 24, with thin turnover a key sign that investor sentiment remains fragile. Nickel's outright price on the London Metal Exchange was worse off this afternoon, falling by 1.26% to close at $12,547 per tonne, its lowest closing price since May 29, while turnover was at just 3,931 lots by th...Read More
Spot lead demand in Southeast Asia is still lackluster despite lockdown easing across Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia, while interest in spot zinc units was minimal in all regions, which left premiums unchanged in the week to Tuesday June 23. A backlog of uncleared lead cargoes sit in Indian ports in the fourth week of June, a time that typically would have been a peak production period for batter...Read More
Cost pressures kept China's domestic rebar prices from falling further on Wednesday June 24 despite a pessimistic outlook for demand in the next two months amid high production rates.Domestic Eastern China (Shanghai): 3,560-3,590 yuan ($504-508) per tonne, unchangedGross profits for rebar producers that operate blast furnaces have fallen to around 100 yuan per tonne of gross profit, 50 yuan per to...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Poised for a technical breakoutFears over a second wave of Covid-19 continue to grow, forcing prices of aluminium and the other base metals to take a pause. Our base-case scenario is that countries will respond more efficiently to contain the virus spread, so economic activity and metal demand should continue to r...Read More
Supply is down and is expected to continue declining, which seems somewhat counterintuitive as silver's price has dropped at the same time...by Chris Marcus of Arcadia EconomicsThe latest SLV and ETF silver data is out, and once again, there were significant new (alleged) inflows into the trusts.What's further interesting, is that this is happening at a time when supply is down, and is expected to...Read More
Get up-to-speed from the 1980s to the present day. The unwind will be spectacular...by J. Johnson with Jim Sinclair, Bill Holter and Ted Butler via JS MinesetWe had the privilege to interview Ted Butler this weekend. For those interested in the history of the ongoing silver scam, Ted Butler brings us all the way back to the 1980's up to present day. The unwind will be spectacular!Read More
With COMEX gold getting very near new 2020 highs, concern is growing that COMEX silver is not coming along for the ride... by Craig Hemke via Sprott Money NewsWith COMEX gold getting very near new 2020 highs, concern is growing that COMEX silver is not coming along for the ride. Let's give it a few days and then check back.Let's start with COMEX Digital Gold. Recall that prices surged with the on...Read More
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Three-month base metals prices on the LME were mostly lower at the close of trading on Wednesday June 24, with thin turnover a key sign that investor sentiment remains fragile. Nickel's outright price on the London Metal Exchange was worse off this afternoon, falling by 1.26% to close at $12,547 per tonne, its lowest closing price since May 29, while turnover was at just 3,931 lots by th...Read More
The threat of Section 232 tariffs on aluminium imports from Canada into the United States has, like the great white shark following the Brody family in the universally panned film, 'Jaws: The Revenge,' returned - akin to a truly awful horror movie franchise. And that's how Neil Herrington, senior vice president for the Americas, US Chamber of Commerce, views reports that the US administration is c...Read More