By the early 5th century, the Roman Empire was in decline. Much of its territory had been lost, its monetary system was being debased, and the political system had devolved into chaos.In 452 AD a massive barbarian force led by Attila the Hun had pillaged Europe and was now inside the core of the empire.It didn't seem like Roman forces would be able to stop them.Emperor Valentinian III sent the Pop...Read More
LONDON, 17 February 2025 - Practical insight from BullionVault features today in a report published online by Newsweek, the globally-respected US current affairs magazine, about the sudden calls on social media to audit the US Treasury's gold reserve."You don't want an audit per se, you want an inspection and a tally count," says Newsweek, quoting BullionVault and explaining the difference between...Read More
The gold miners’ stock prices have largely decoupled from their metal, which overwhelmingly drives their profits.This fundamental disconnect has spawned a shocking valuation anomaly, with gold stocks far too low relative to gold.But this aberration won’t last, as markets abhor extreme deviations from precedent.Mean reversions and proportional overshoots soon follow, so gold stocks will...Read More
Calm before the storm, anyone?Turning Points AheadSo far, this week has been calm.However, as you read in my previous analysis, the turning points are near andwe still have four more sessions before the end of the year. Bitcoin justfailed to move above $100k again, and it is declining in the pre-markettrading, and S&P 500 futures are down as well. Time will tell if that wasthe beginning of a b...Read More
Gold truly enjoyed aremarkable 2024, relentlessly powering higher to many new records. Gold achieved a rare monster-status upleg,which proved extraordinarily-unusual. Big gains stacked up despite extreme overboughtness, speculators’exceedingly-overextended gold-futures positioning, and American stock investorsnot yet chasing gold’s upside. Severalsources of major globa...Read More
The Federal Reservesomehow surprised traders with a hawkish rate cut this week. While that had been expected, apparently theFed’s projected rate-cut trajectory slowed even more than feared. So market reactions were violent, includingthe US dollar blasting higher unleashing heavy gold-futures selling. This is the latest in a long line ofFed-spawned tests of gold’s resi...Read More
Silver is stepping back into the spotlight, glinting with the promise of rising prices, surging demand, and shifting market dynamics. Building on insights from my previous article, “Silver Worth $150-$170? Facts to Make the Case for a Major Price Surge,” it’s clear the metal isn’t just playing second fiddle to gold, it’s tuning up for its own symphony. Current Market...Read More
How many hours of work would it take topurchase one ounce of gold? Now you’ll know. Interesting, right?The 1980 Peak StillReignsGold price truly peaked in the 1980,and while it moved to new nominal highs in 2011, this wasn’t the case in termsof how much one would have to work for it. In 2011, gold peaked slightly belowthe previous high. This year, we saw another move to those extreme v...Read More
Copper, silver, and gold quite often movetogether, especially during the big moves.Impending Massive SlideAnd this is currently very helpful.Given gold’s recent decline and a muchbigger decline in silver and mining stocks, one might wonder whether miners’and silver’s weakness are telling the truth about the precious metals market’soutlook, or if it’s gold that’s...Read More
In my yesterday’s Gold TradingAlert, I wrote that we had some clues regarding the end of thecorrective upswing.CorrectiveUpswing Nearing Its EndWe saw an invalidation in the GDXJ (ofthe tiny move to new short-term highs), and before that silver outperformed ona short-term basis, which was also a bearish indication. Today, we got somemore. Today, miners are back in theirunderperform...Read More
Gold’s monster uplegremains alive and well, after weathering a sharp post-election selloff. One had certainly been due, as gold had justsurged to extremely-overbought levels. The resulting pullback was big and fast, doing much essentialrebalancing work. Gold’s resiliencedefying some bearish headwinds is a bullish omen. Despite its massive size, this monster upleg...Read More
Gold has sure had awild ride in the several weeks since the US elections! It first plunged then surged after Trump’sdecisive victory, which surprised legions of traders. Gold’s earlier big down days helped fuelfears another Trump administration is bearish for gold. Its poor performance after Trump’s first wineight years ago buttresses that case. But that&rs...Read More
Today we finally see it – the USDX movedlower at last. USD’s breather here is nothing surprising, and it’s not bearisheither.It’s simply normal for a market tocorrect after launching a rally as strong as what we saw in October andNovember. In yesterday’sanalysis, I wrote the following about the above chart:Yes,while I have been writing about USD Index’s likely s...Read More
That’s an interesting situation that wehave today. Gold us up, but silver and miners are down. What gives? In short, it’s almost certainly all about the temporary impact from the stock market. The S&P 500 Index is downtoday. Not significantly, but enough to make the parts of the precious metals marketmore linked to it underperform.MiningStocks: Strength in the Current SetupGDXJ is...Read More
The gold miners’ stocksare heading into their winter rally, when strong seasonal tailwinds help boosttheir advances. This is especiallypronounced when gold stocks’ primary drivers of sentiment, technicals, and fundamentalsare bullish, which is certainly true today. This sector is nearing a psychological tipping point of surgingpopularity, making secular breakouts, and earnin...Read More
The current setup on the silver chart is alot like the start of the silver bull market of the early 2000s. In those dayssilver was under $5 and considered cheap.The current bottoming pattern from around2014 to now is very similar to the early 2000s bottoming pattern (see the chartbelow). I have highlighted two similar patterns(marked 1 to 5).The bottoming period of the early 2000s started when sil...Read More
Since the creation of the Federal Reserve,the Dow Jones has significantly outperformed silver.It was only during brief periods before the1919 and 1980 silver peaks that silver was able to outperform the Dow (see theDow/Silver chart below). The Dow/Silver ratio...Read More
Dear Reader,Gold might be losing out to stocks when it comes to headlines. But, the precious metal also just hit all-time highs and did it in style -- rocketing 35% in seven months. Elliott Wave International's analysts helped their subscribers get in front of gold's historic rise. That's why we're letting you know about their Gold Investor's Survival Guide.This FREE report gives you 5 principles...Read More
When the Federal Reserve decides to slash interest rates, it sets off a domino effect in the financial world, and precious metals like gold and silver are among the first to feel the impact. Yesterday, we saw a 0.50% cut, so it’s time to revisit how these metals have historically performed… and let’s just say, they’ve put on quite the show.The Golden (and Silver) Trut...Read More
The CPI data isgoing to be released today, so the markets are tense.Gold'sGains Limited by Short-Term ResistanceGold moved slightly higher, but thevery short-term resistance line based on the previous highs keeps gold’s gainsin check. The fact that goldalready confirmed the breakdown below its rising wedge channel makes the following declines likely from the short-term point of vie...Read More