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HOTTER ON METALS: Now is not the time for M&A, Freeport CEO says

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Now is not the time for Freeport-McMoRan to be thinking about mergers and acquisitions, the mining company's chief executive officer says.According to Richard Adkerson, the company - which is just over half-way through a mega-project to transform its giant Grasberg copper-gold mine in Indonesia from an open-pit to an underground operation - is on the verge of creating huge shareholder value."I jus...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: The unlikely views on the LME spot trading platform

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Plans for a London Metal Exchange spot trading platform have sparked intense debate within the aluminium industry. But opponents and supporters don't necessarily fall into the camps that one might expect. For starters, a decision by the LME not to change its futures contract, establish a new green aluminium contract or set thresholds to define what constitutes low-carbon metal is proving key in st...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 23/10: Base metals lose momentum amid low turnover

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Three-month prices for all base metals on the London Metal Exchange lost momentum before the close on Friday October 23, falling in tandem with a drop in the US stock markets.The LME three-month copper price lost 0.5% to close at $6,876 per tonne, after seeing a low turnover of just over 9,900 lots on Friday.The LME three-month lead and zinc prices dipped by 1% and 0.6%, respectively, and the...Read More

COKING COAL DAILY: Seaborne premium prices edge down amid spot market lull

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Seaborne premium hard coking coal prices edged down on Friday October 23, with market participants from China unable to purchase Australian coking coal while sources from India were in wait-and-see mode.Fastmarkets indicesPremium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $113.25 per tonne, down $0.49 per tonne Premium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $126.05 per tonne, down $0.73 per tonneHard coking coal, fob D...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 23/10: LME base metals trade broadly higher with US relief deal, elections in focus

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The London Metal Exchange base metal prices barring aluminium traded higher on Friday October 23, with the US dollar on shaky ground. US House of Representatives speaker Nancy Pelosi said on Thursday that could be a settlement "pretty soon" on the bill which Democrats and President Donald Trump propose providing $2.2 trillion in targeted relief in what is the world's largest economy. The dollar i...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: SHFE tailwind for LME pricesAs we are entering the traditional strong demand season, we expect Chinese aluminium demand to show further recovery, and we expect demand from existing end-user sectors, new infrastructure projects and the export sector to show some increases. As a result, we believe that S...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view, including an upgrade to our aluminium price forecasts.Aluminium: Price forecasts raisedWe correctly expected the macro reflationary theme to raise the prices for all base metals but, with it being the base metal with by far the weakest fundamentals, we had expected the price of aluminium to underperform relative...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.These include an increase in our copper mine disruption estimates, upgrades to our production outlook for Indonesian nickel pig iron (NPI), a smaller refined zinc surplus, and an upgrade to our zinc price forecasts.Aluminium: Big disconnect between price and fundamentalsAluminium has extended its uptrend on the London Metal...Read More

Silver Bear Flag? $22 A Good Entry Point On Near-Term Weakness

October 23, 2020 / www.silverdoctors.com

The rather sharp breakdown from mid-September caused some damage...by Clive Maund of Streetwise ReportsWith hyperinflation looming, silver has to be one of the best investments of these times, especially as it leverages gold's gains. This summer saw a spectacular high volume breakout from the giant base pattern that had been forming for years, as we can see on its latest 13-year chart, which is ha...Read More

RESEARCH: Costs uphold prices for seamless energy tubulars, despite weak demand

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.US ERW OCTG edges higher, seamless could followRising substrate costs helped support US ERW OCTG prices this month, especially at the upper end of the range of offers. Seamless OCTG and linepipe prices, meanwhile, held firm compared with September prices. The fundamentals remain weak, with rig counts going up...Read More

Investment Worthwhile: Silver Market Manipulation Will Break

October 22, 2020 / www.silverdoctors.com

Silver is rarer than people think, and silver consumption data is just guesswork and understated because silver users don't want the market to...by Chris Powell of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA)Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:First Majestic Silver CEO Keith Neumeyer, interviewed today by Daniela Cambone, who has moved from Kitco News to Stansberry Research, said investment in silver is w...Read More

RESEARCH: US HRC price forecasts upgraded for late-2020, early-2021

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key North American steel forecast highlights:US domestic prices for hot-rolled coil (HRC) moved sharply higher in September, in line with our expectations, but the magnitude of the rise exceeded our predictions. Domestic HRC prices averaged $566 per ton in September, exceeding our $540 per ton forecast price.A c...Read More

RESEARCH: Tight markets in US, Europe push HRC prices higher

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Although we correctly forecast a significant rise in hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices in the United States in September 2020, our price forecast proved too conservative.An impressive V-shaped recovery in key economic fundamentals critical to steel consumption is driving stronger demand for steel at the start of the fourth quarte...Read More

RESEARCH: Welded energy pipe producers face higher costs amid weak demand

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Across the regions, producers of welded linepipe and oil-country tubular goods (OCTG) saw their margins shrink with substrate costs increasing in the third quarter of 2020.Many have been attempting to protect margins with higher prices, with varying degrees of success. Europe-origin commodity-grade steel hot-rolled coil and...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy price gains in September position markets for strong Q4

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloys forecast highlights:Prices across most ore and alloy markets trended higher in September, buoyed by improving demand from steelmakers with the end of the summer holiday season in Europe and the United States, as well as maintained demand from Chinese steel mills. Tightening of alloy inventories...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Ferro-alloys Market Tracker

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloy forecast highlights:Prices across most ferro-alloy markets trended stable to lower in August as demand remained subdued in major markets, apart from China where steel output continues to rise at a rapid pace, supporting demand for ferro-alloys. As alloy makers seek to remedy supply/demand imbalan...Read More

RESEARCH: Supply boost threatens iron ore price spike

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Iron ore remains the most bullish commodity of the year, with prices fuelled by Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, along with bullish sentiment. But prices are expected to come down because Brazilian exports have begun to recover, and have reached their highest level since the Brumadinho dam disaster in 2019. W...Read More

RESEARCH: Brazil's iron ore export volumes recovering; mildly positive outlook for met coal

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In the iron ore market, supply issues including heavy rains at the start of the year, followed by staffing problems during the Covid-19 pandemic, have affected exports from Brazil. This has helped Australia gain a larger market share, but since June, Brazilian export volumes have returned to levels last seen before the...Read More

RESEARCH: Iron ore, met coal diverge while pressure grows for China scrap, metallics prices

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Chinese blast furnace (BF) utilization rates have stagnated and iron ore port stock volumes are rising, reaching their highest levels since March, which suggests that iron ore supply is becoming excessive while demand is not growing. Unsurprisingly, prices dropped last week and we expect the trend to continue. The market has...Read More

RESEARCH: Iron ore, coking coal prices to continue to diverge

October 24, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.We do not consider the average iron ore fines price for September so far above $125 per tonne cfr Qingdao to be sustainable. The bullishness is not likely to last in the long term as we expect Chinese demand growth to slow down. A key factor boosting Chinese steel demand so far has been the stimulus policies from the authori...Read More

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