Let’s put the geopolitical gyrations in oil into aproper perspective by taking a look at the monthly chart. The overall situationhasn’t changed much as crude oil is still trading inside the blue consolidationbelow three very important resistances (the red and orange bearishgaps and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement), which form the key resistance zonefor the coming week(s). Additionally,...Read More
Santa Claus rally in Gold and Silver Crowns a very good yearIt was a very good year for precious metals. Gold posted a nearly 19% gain and silver rose over 17%. As you can see in the chart below, the move higher began in early summer defying the annual summer doldrums, hit an impasse during autumn, then ended the year with a surprise Santa Claus rally that took it over the $1520 mark....Read More
Gold COT Report - Futures Large SpeculatorsCommercialTotal LongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort 383,48061,189139,363202,452558,533725,295759,085 Change from Prior Reporting Period 1,8607,494-1,248-473-10,883139-4,637 Traders 23670875458324185 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 60,56226,772785,857 -4484,328-309 non reportable positionsChange fr...Read More
- Richard (Rick) MillsGold's safe haven status was tested this week, as Iran countered the assassination of its top military commander with missile strikes against two Iraqi bases housing US troops.On Tuesday night Tehran fired over a dozen missiles at the Al-Asad airbase and Erbil airport, in obvious retaliation against an American drone strike a few days earlier that killed General Qasse...Read More
Gold dramatically surged to major new secular highs this past week, fueled by stunning geopolitical news. The US assassinated Iran's top general, so Iran fired ballistic missiles at military bases in Iraq used by the US. That naturally ramped gold bullishness, spawning all kinds of predictions for much-higher prices. But geopolitically-driven gold spikes never last long, and the gold buy...Read More
- Rob KirbyDuring the run-up to year end, the narrative being fed to the population by the Wall St./Fed crowd was that massive liquidity [cash] injections were required in the banking system to ensure there were no "accidents" over the "turn" of the year end calendar to 2020. We've all been treated to some pretty sophisticated technical explanations by Wall Street and Fed mavens about the in...Read More
- Gary TanashianOnce again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance as usual while feeling as though I'm playing a game of Musical Chairs while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith's style, which has always resonated w...Read More
By: Avi GilburtOriginally published on Sat Jan 4 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Back in October and early November, I was preparing our members for the next rally phase I was expecting in the metals complex. And, when the 144-minute MACD on the silver chart signaled a bottom in early December, I noted it was no longer time to look down, but we need to be looking higher in a more s...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold needs an impetus in the near-term to get gold back to early week highs:Read More
Traders will either close short positions or go long on the weekend. Iranian risk is there. My initial reaction after the news of Ukrainian airlines crash in Tehran was that of a missile hit. I may be right. USA, Canada and UK are all now saying that Ukrainian airlines was hit an Iranian missile. In my view missile may or may not be Iranian. NATO/USA has started the escalation of war like situat...Read More
Normally, after tensions between Iran/Iraq and the US flare-up, Oil and Gold rally quite extensively but reversed sharply lower by the end of the session. Yes, Gold is 1% higher today and was up over $35 overnight, but Crude Oil has actually moved lower today which is a fairly strong indication that disruptions in oil supply from the Middle East are not as concerning as they were 10+ years ag...Read More
Gold and silver investors buy metals because they are scarce.Precious metals are by nature difficult to find, and hard to produce.Consequently, above ground stocks are limited and valuable, particularly whenpriced in unlimited fiat currencies. The bankers and government officials behind these fiat currencysystems don’t like stable monetary benchmarks such as gold putting theirinflation schem...Read More
Another year of covering commodities and select junior mining stocks is all but done and dusted. We’ve seen palladium prices more than double those of platinum, its sister metal, on tight supply and high demand for catalytic converters in gas-powered vehicles, as smog-belching diesel cars and trucks get phased out to meet tighter air emissions standards particularly in Europe...Read More
We often cover the ongoing JPMorgan silver bullion saga here. It seems we have a new twist in the ongoing story since JPMorgan's takeover of the bankrupt Bear Sterns short silver position in early 2008.Late last year, in early November 2019, CBS’ 60 Minutes show did a puff Public Relations piece for the CEO of the world’s largest and Global Systematic Important Bank.Here we see 60 Minu...Read More
Gold miners’ stocksblasted higher this past week, breaking out of their correction downtrend. Rapidly-improving psychology fueled suchstrong upside momentum that sector benchmarks are challenging months-old upleg highs. Most traders assume this is righteous, that goldstocks’ next upleg is starting to accelerate. But key indicators argue the contrarian side, that this b...Read More
When I peruse the comments on our Elliottwavetrader site alone, I am seeing a myriad of “beliefs” as to what the metals are doing and will be doing.Most of such beliefs seem to be driven by feelings, and quite a number of them have been fighting this metals rally. Yet, some are even driven by various forms of analysis. Of late, we are seeing so many become fearful of the metals market...Read More
Hooray, the twenties are here! But what will the 2020 bring for the gold market? Shall we see the beginning of the Belle Époque for the yellow metal?Gold at the End of 2019The last year was a very good one for the gold bulls, as one can clearly see in the chart below. Despite the soaring equities, the price of the yellow metal rose from $1279 to around $1520, or more than 18 percent. Bravo!...Read More
Following the December 18, 2019 Market Minute titled "Are oil prices at a crest?" oil prices (WTI and Brent) are both finding increasing selling pressure as they moved to the top of their trading range.Light crude oil found solid selling pressure around $62 and Brent at about $67 (Charts 1 & 2). These price levels were still 24 and 35 percent higher than the levels reported in late...Read More
The year ahead promises to be an eventful one. It will, ofcourse, be dominated by political headlines leading up to the 2020 election. Itcould also be a big breakout year for precious metals. In the second part of Money Metals' 2020 Outlook, we’ll drilldown on the fundamental and technical setup for gold and silver…However, in this first part, we’ll set the stage by digging int...Read More
The Gold rally we predicted to happen inlate 2018 took place, almost perfectly, based on our ADL predictive modelingsystems results. This rally took placein May through September 2019 and pushed Gold up to levels near $1600. Therest of the year, Gold consolidated near $1500 as a strong US Stock Marketrally took hold in Q4 of 2019. Ouroriginal prediction was that Gold would r...Read More