I couldn’t agree more with Foolish writer Vishesh Raisinghani on their bearish view on the economy and market. They went as far as selling 20% of their portfolio.Here’s how you can prepare.Stock market crash: Take profit in fully valued and speculative positionsAnother stock market crash can be triggered by a second wave of COVID-19. In fact, the selloff might have already started in t...Read More
New investors may be aware of a profound shift in economics towards businesses that display ESG characteristics. ESG, or Environmental, Social, and Governance, considerations are driving investments in new, ethically focused industries. Aside from such admirable ideals, though, ESG thematics are sustainable by definition. They’re also disrupting entire sectors, and where there’s disrup...Read More
After the run-up in certain gold stocks, I decided to sell a few of my favourite names. These stocks have come back a bit, making me wonder whether I should get back in at these levels. I still see upside in gold, especially if central bankers’ plans don’t go as well as they should. If anything, the drastic one-day fall on June 11 should make investors nervous about the possibility of...Read More
After this market crash, a lot of investors are likely to reevaluating their investment strategies. Those who played it safe and invested only in blue-chip dividend stocks may want to try adding a little growth to their portfolios. Similarly, investors who primarily leveraged growth for their investments might look into stable dividend stocks.If you’re looking for growth stocks, even if they...Read More
Today, economic historian Niall Ferguson tackles the question of whether we are headed for deflation or inflation. This is a fantastic video as Ferguson addresses the key issues that we try to address and monitor in our G versus D framework. For those not familiar with our framework, we have a primer on INK Ultra Money . Remarkably, Ferguson arrives at the same place as we do at this point in tim...Read More
While last week was a good one for our G-economy scenario which is characterized by government-led inflation, deflationary headwinds have swept in this week with gusto. Meanwhile, the Fed appears to have created a stock market bubble with retail investors bidding up the share prices of worthless companies. When this bubble bursts, what type of market will we have left? We tackle that question in...Read More
Lion One Metals is currently drilling with two rigs and surface sampling various high-priority targets. In a news release, Lion One Metals Ltd. (LIO:TSX.V; LOMLF:OTCQX) announced it recommenced surface sampling in the new Navilawa tenement and began diamond drilling at a "newly defined high-grade target called Biliwi," also located in the Navilawa tenement at its Tuvatu gold project on Fiji.The f...Read More
The proposed changes to existing EU safeguard measures for hot-rolled coil would result in a drop in import volumes and consequently injure independent distribution in Europe, Italian steel distributors' association Assofermet said in a letter to the European Commission (EC).In late May, the EC presented a draft of the new safeguard measures to the World Trade Organization, which will go into effe...Read More
The European Commission (EC) has initiated an anti-subsidy investigation into hot-rolled coil imports from Turkey, it said on Friday June 12.The EC concluded that the European steel association, Eurofer, had provided sufficient evidence that Turkish HRC producers have been benefiting from a number of subsidies. Eurofer lodged a complaint to the EC on April 30 this year."The alleged subsidy pr...Read More
GFG Alliance will cut jobs following a drop in demand for steel due to the pandemic which has had a significant, lasting impact on the economies of the countries in which it operates, it said on Thursday June 11. The company announced the headcount reduction alongside an "accelerated investment program" and is implementing a global efficiency drive to help adjust to a new post-pandemic market envi...Read More
The London Metal Exchange recently reiterated its willingness to facilitate spot trading of low carbon aluminium. While not a new concept for the exchange, it would serve two important purposes. First, it would provide more transparent, digitalized data on the specification of its aluminium brands and determine whether people are actually paying more for low carbon metal. Second, it would pro...Read More
Just over a year ago, US Section 232 tariffs against imports of aluminium from Canada were removed. Now there are calls to reintroduce them.The American Primary Aluminum Association (APAA), which represents US producers Century Aluminum and Magnitude 7, says that Canadian imports have "surged" since the tariffs were removed and are threatening the viability of the US primary aluminium industry.&nb...Read More
An expected shortfall in Brazilian supply of high-grade iron ore will likely result in 2020 becoming a boom year for Australian miners.While Brazilian miner Vale, a key producer of high-grade iron ore fines and pellets, is maintaining its production guidance despite a suspension of operations at its Itabira mining complex, many market participants in Asia are expecting a shortage of Brazil-origin...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Short-term upside targets achievedLME aluminium's price recovery to $1,600 per tonne has been driven by macro forces acting on all metals, and amplified for aluminium by technical factors after prices became so oversold at the double-bottom lows in April and May. With a 4-million-tonne supply surplus this year, al...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Consolidation needed after technical gainsDespite structural oversupply, the London Metal Exchange aluminium price has enjoyed a technical rebound since the mid-May lows, which was in line with our short-term forecasts. But technical indicators now look overbought and the price must consolidate its recent gai...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Early signs of post-lockdown demand recoveryWith major economies outside China reopening after the easing of their Covid-19-related restrictions on movement and industrial activity, last week's jump in the number of cancelled aluminium warrants on the London Metal Exchange may be an early sign that the post-lockdo...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: 'Sell the rally' mentality here to stayAlthough the London Metal Exchange aluminium price has managed to recover modestly from recent lows, we suspect this is mostly short-covering. The lack of producer restraint, growing exchange inventories, a weak demand outlook and the 7 million tonnes of oversupply forecast f...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.As we anticipated, rebar prices in Eastern China (ex-warehouse basis) rose in May, coming within 0.6% of our forecast. Strong demand at home meant that Chinese producers were largely absent from the export market, maintaining their offers near $450 per tonne, while import prices into Singapore were set near $400 per tonne cf...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.US demand shrinksDemand projections call for a continued retreat in US electric-resistance welded (ERW) line pipe and oil country tubular goods (OCTG) consumption as drill rigs and the number of wells drilled per rig are cut. Project demand in the large-diameter line pipe market is also shrinking with deferred or canceled pro...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.A couple of months into the global Covid-19 pandemic, the sell-off in steel markets appears to be abating.In parts of Asia, where the outbreak first occurred, steel prices - including those for coated steels - have rebounded since late April. The same is true of the US market as well. As we detail in our Americas analysis thi...Read More