Marin KatusaI'm sure you're well aware, gold has been on a tear and has broken above $1,800 per ounce.Every goldbug on the planet is excited and salivating at the mouth...Except for a group of bankers who accidentally got caught up in the greatest modern-day gold racket. For them, their gold bars aren't worth $1,800 per ounce, but more like $2.75 per pound.If you've watched a lot of western movi...Read More
David HaggithWe are nearing that mid-point in July when I said we would start to see the news turn from euphoria-inducing reopening positives to depression-developing realism.Speaking of stock-market bulls who are stampeding uphill on the euphoria side, I wrote,Right now the farce is with them reopening has arrived! And these stupid people will believe that means they were right about the "V,...Read More
By: Gary SavageI have never found a consistent way to find tops in this market over the past 30 years, when you have central bank QE interfering. Over time, shorting generally cost me more money than I made. Markets go down differently than they go up, tops form differently and it is difficult to consistently time the tops:https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold has had the best close since 2011. The pattern remains in a neutral trend in the short-term market. The market is well over the 18-dma, $1778.80 level, but we have a problem:Read More
Brady Willett, FallStreetAs a contrarian and long-term holder of Goldcorp. (now Newmont), the latest push higher in the price of gold begs the question: is now the time to sell? The concern, for the uninitiated, is that after the price of gold moves powerfully higher there is an uncanny tendency for forces to mysteriously align and push prices powerfully lower. These "forces" (excuse the co...Read More
Sam Laakso, VOIMA GOLD Gold has had a great run over the past year. Gold prices have risen in every single currency on earth and in many currencies gold prices are up well over 30 percent from last summer.In early January, I published an article (in Finnish) in a local financial newspaper where I articulated why gold would rise to $1800 per ounce during the first half of the year - a rise of 2...Read More
The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More
The threat of Section 232 tariffs on aluminium imports from Canada into the United States has, like the great white shark following the Brody family in the universally panned film, 'Jaws: The Revenge,' returned - akin to a truly awful horror movie franchise. And that's how Neil Herrington, senior vice president for the Americas, US Chamber of Commerce, views reports that the US administration is c...Read More
The posting of 1.81 trillion yuan in new Chinese loans early in the European trading session on Friday July 10 led to a rally across all London Metal Exchange three-month base metals prices.LME base metals futures moved higher as fund positioning became less bearish, with bids moving into firmly bullish territory, and all metals, apart from tin, ended the day up compared with Thursday's close."You...Read More
Market participants say off-warrant aluminium stocks are much higher than what is reflected in this week's London Metal Exchange data release, but many welcomed the added transparency. As part of a new warehouse reform, the LME has begun publishing off-warrant stock data. In the data published yesterday, it highlighted an extra 1 million tonnes of aluminium available as of the end of May 2020. So...Read More
The LME three-month nickel price was trading down 1.2% on the previous day's close at around $13,080 per tonne during the morning session on Friday July 10, continuing its descent from yesterday's $13,550 per tonne intraday high.Yesterday's shadow-stock report from the London Metal Exchange said that 18,753 tonnes of nickel was available off-warrant globally, which constitutes about 8% of the 234,...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Capped by oversupplyA lack of a meaningful supply adjustment to the Covid-19 demand hit is keeping the aluminium physical market oversupplied and weighing on prices, limiting the success of more buoyant macro and technical forces on prices. Our premium forecasts are under review in light of threats from the U...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Demand outlook revisedWe are not surprised to see aluminium prices retreat from last week's high after flagging up in recent reports that they had become overbought. 'Sell-the-rally' traders will be targeting the April high now, down at $1,534 per tonne. This week we have reviewed our aluminium demand forecasts fo...Read More
Think gold's set for a dramatic pullback from $1800? Maybe not. Here's why, and here's something big that could be signaling the cartel's in big trouble...It looks like $1800 gold is holding to finish the week.Of course, if one likes his gold like he likes his women, real, and one wants to actually buy one ounce of gold, one'll be paying more than 1800 bucks, but by now everybody should understand...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Short-term upside targets achievedLME aluminium's price recovery to $1,600 per tonne has been driven by macro forces acting on all metals, and amplified for aluminium by technical factors after prices became so oversold at the double-bottom lows in April and May. With a 4-million-tonne supply surplus this year, al...Read More
In light of the recent turmoil in the oil market, the Fastmarkets research team has closely examined the correlations between the price of oil and the prices for ferrous scrap and finished steel products, to discover nuanced relationships and their changes over time.It is common for steel market participants to refer to high correlations between oil prices and the prices for scrap and steel. Among...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Price uptrend stumbles, but expected to resumeAs we expected, Chinese export and domestic steel prices moved upward in June, settling within the 2% range of our forecasts. Rebar prices trended downward in the second half of the month while heavy rains and floods in parts of the country meant that some construction sites had...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.The latest forecast of global oil country tubular goods (OCTG) consumption paints a stark picture of the slowdown in demand from the energy industry in the wake of the Covid-19 outbreak and subsequent oil and gas retreat.For 2020, total global consumption is expected to amount to 13.2 million tonnes, a decline of nearly 3.5...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Depending on which market one looks at, prices of coated steels have either risen, fallen or remained roughly the same since mid-May. One crucial impact of the Covid-19 pandemic that has swept the world this year is the decoupling it appears to have created between global steel markets.In China, prices of most steel products...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In previous reports, we noted that upside risks to our forecasts existed. These were based on Chinese steel production, and in turn alloy consumption, outperforming our expectations.Chinese crude steel production is rising each month in a year-on-year comparison, prompting our revised view that Chinese alloy consumption will...Read More