American manufacturersare scoring ever deeper recessionaryreadings. We haven’t seen this bad an ISM Manufacturing reading in quitea while. Can it take the broader economy with it? And what about gold – whenexactly will it get its shine? ISMManufacturing Index Drops To Disturbingly Low LevelThe September ISM Manufacturing Index registered 47.8percent, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points...Read More

Precious metals markets enter the often favorable fourth quartertrading season with the potential to reinvigorate their major uptrends. Despite posting impressive gains in the third quarter, gold and(especially) silver finished it on a downbeat note.On Monday, sellers smashed silver spot prices down3.6% to test the $17.00/oz. level.The disappointing finish to the month and the quarter do...Read More

Before making an investment decision, every investor should understand true inflation. But what is true inflation? Currently, inflation is measured using a floating basket of goods in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which continues to understate true inflation.Two useful tools fordetermining true inflation figures are John Williams’s Shadow Statistics andthe Chapwood Index.  John Willia...Read More

Originally published on Sat Sep 28 for our ElliottWaveTrader members:With the various charts we track unable to complete 5 waves up off the low struck two weeks, it would seem that we can count all of those charts as having just completed a corrective rally top, with more pullback likely to be seen. In fact, this is primarily why I have been stressing that I was treating the last rally as a correc...Read More

Inyesterday’s analysis, we emphasized that even though a big decline in gold isalready underway, it’s likely that it won’t be a straight move down and therewill be periodic corrections. Moreover, we provided price targets from whichthe bounce could start. Based on the circumstances, it might even be a tradablemove. In today’s analysis, we’re going to show you that the...Read More

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss recession, central bank panic and an outrageous gold price.In our view, gold investors should settle back with some popcorn and enjoy the coming fireworks, which will include the best gold bull market ever, with all the volatility that implies. We see new all-time highs just around the corner. The challenge is to take a position and...Read More

The people who are prepared are going to reap rewards such asthey have never dreamed. We're going to have the biggest transfer of wealth inhistory – from the fools – to those who are prepared. – Bob Moriarty The run upof the last few months to $1,565 gold and $19silver has stalled out into a relatively high-level correction, giving backless than might be expected after such...Read More

Lower global growth forecasts bode well for gold's intermediate trend.5-year TIPs yield is falling again, which also supports higher gold prices.Gold bolstered by relative strength versus U.S. equities and the yen.Despite a September pullback, gold is still highly esteemed in the minds of investors. This can be seen by the metal's performance when compared against some of its closest competito...Read More

The three-month aluminium price on the London Metal Exchange was higher at the close of trading on Monday October 7, topping a broadly lackluster base metals complex amid low turnover, while zinc's benchmark cash/three-month spread narrowed over the afternoon.Aluminium futures closed at $1,746 per tonne in the afternoon, climbing from an intraday low of $1,714 per tonne, while some 10,100 lots wer...Read More

The junior mining sector provides a massive reward-to-risk proposition, if investors are able to separate the wheat from the chaff.RNC Minerals and McEwen Mining are what I'd consider the chaff of the sector, with high-cost production and significant laggards to their peer group.This article sheds more light on why the two companies are best to avoid.The junior mining sector provides tons of o...Read More

Seaborne iron ore prices were steady on Monday October 7, though Australian miner BHP reported damage to a car dumper at its operations in Port Hedland, Australia.Fastmarkets iron ore indices 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $93.38 per tonne, unchanged. 62% Fe Pilbara Blend fines, cfr Qingdao: $92.91 per tonne, unchanged. 62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $91.72 per tonne, unchanged. ...Read More

A major Japanese steelmaker has agreed with Australian suppliers on contract prices for shipments of pulverized coal injections (PCI) materials and semi-soft coking coal in the fourth quarter of 2019, sources told Fastmarkets on Monday October 7.Premium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $146.08 per tonne, unchangedPremium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $159.70 per tonne, unchanged Hard coking coal, fob...Read More

The fact that the market closed at $1513, below the weekly trend momentum of $1517, means that we are coming into the week bearish.This has activated the extreme below the mean level target of $1501.Since the market closed above the average price of $1501, it activates the targets above the mean of $1538 to $1562.If gold closes below the mean of $1501, it will activate a bearish trend momentum and...Read More

The sell-off in Resideo stock has intensified since the spin-off.Resideo has an extremely attractive valuation which hints significant upside.The growth story is not in lines with what is expected from a growth company.Indemnity payments to Honeywell are weighing down the company's ability to generate FCF.It is almost 6 months since my previous article on Resideo Technologies (REZI), "The Good...Read More

Turkish domestic scrap prices were largely stable over the past week, in line with steady imported scrap values, sources said on Monday October 7.Fastmarkets' weekly price assessment for steel scrap, auto bundle scrap, domestic, delivered Turkey, was TRY1,300-1,430 ($229-252) per tonne on Monday, unchanged week-on-week. Almost all steel mills have kept their buy prices flat for the...Read More

Antimony found support again in Europe over the week ended Friday October 4, with some traders reportedly achieving higher prices in Rotterdam.Fastmarkets assessed the price of antimony, MMTA standard grade II, in-warehouse Rotterdam, at $6,000-6,300 per tonne on Friday, up by 1.8% per tonne from the previous assessment. Despite the absence of Chinese market participants during the week-long...Read More

Pierre Neatby has joined Ambatovy mine as its vice president of marketing based in Madagascar. Neatby joined the company at the end of last month and is part of Ambatovy's management team that will steer strategic marketing of the mine's nickel and cobalt production, including working with its...Read More

The three-month nickel price on the London Metal Exchange moved higher during morning trading on Monday October 7, with prices buoyed by a continued draw on the exchange's falling inventory. Nickel's outright price was recently seen trading at $17,775 per tonne, edging closer to the $18,000-per-tonne resistance level, a price not seen since September 13. Volumes traded were particularly thin over...Read More

China is still on holiday this morning, Monday October 7, and quiet trading has resulted in fairly mixed prices across the metals and broader markets. We expect activity to pick up when China's markets reopen on Tuesday, but with United States-China trade talks scheduled for Thursday and Friday, trading is likely to be nervous. Markets quiet with China on holiday for Golden Week until Tuesday...Read More

Here are five Fastmarkets MB stories you might have missed on Monday October 7 that are worth another look.Import prices for steel slab in Southeast Asia and East Asia were stable over the past week due to sluggish trading activity amid a week-long holiday in China to mark the country's 70th anniversary.Chinese cobalt producer GEM Co Ltd has signed a cobalt supply contract with Switzerland-based m...Read More