A mixture of trends were forecast for steel, iron ore and coking coal prices in 2020 at the London Metal Exchange Ferrous Focus session this week."Steel is going to drift a bit lower, but not collapse," Citi research analyst Tracy Liao told delegates on Thursday October 31, "[and] iron ore will go quite a bit lower, whereas coking coal prices will go up." Liao said that wh...Read More
Major holidays in Turkey resulted in thin spot liquidity in the global scrap markets in the week ended Friday November 1, with US exporters seeing limited sales to the major import market.But prices in Asia have surged following those in the rest of the world, with Vietnamese buyers accepting higher prices. Taiwanese demand eased slightly after the flurry of purchasing activity last week. Turkey m...Read More
Copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) rebounded slightly amid a lack of spot deals while annual contract negotiations kicked off during the annual London Metal Exchange Week gathering this week.Fastmarkets' copper treatment and refining charges index cif Asia Pacific was at $56.3 per tonne/5.63 cents per lb as of Friday November 1, compared with $55.9/ 5.59 cents a week earlie...Read More
Gold COT Report - Futures Large SpeculatorsCommercialTotal LongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort 335,42358,90865,405176,997478,213577,825602,526 Change from Prior Reporting Period 12,506-4,877-1,7845,66811,52716,3904,866 Traders 20575755651284182 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 65,61740,916643,442 1,52413,04817,914 non report...Read More
The gold miners' stocks have surged in 2019, blasting higher after gold's first bull-market breakout seen in several years. That powerful summer rally left them really overbought, necessitating a correction to rebalance exuberant sentiment. That grinding consolidation lower has set them up nicely for their winter rally, this sector's seasonally-strongest time of the year. These seasonal...Read More
- Dave Kranzler"By sticking to the new orthodoxy of monetary policy and pretending that we have made the banking system safe, we are sleepwalking towards that crisis." - Mervyn King, former head of the Bank of England in a lecture at the IMF's recent annual meetingThe market levitates higher on phony economic data from the Government, Trump tweets, Fed money printing and hedge fund algorithms c...Read More
- Avi GilburtOriginally published on Sat Oct 26 for our ElliottWaveTrader members: While we have the minimum waves now in place to consider that the pullback/correction we have been tracking for the last two months has completed, and the market has clearly held the support we have outlined which we expected to hold during this pullback, questions still remain as to whether we can still see an...Read More
Gold has shrugged off the latest blather from the Fed and looks bound for at least 1536. Some Rick's Picks subscriber caught the move, and I'll show you how. T-Bonds have also caught fire and deserve a look.https://www.rickackerman.com/Read More
By: Ira EpsteinMarkets spooked by impeachment, US-China Trade deal news. Gold is up over $15 for the week as of the close Thursday, on the daily chart, gold stuck in sideways short-term, resistance around swingline - DEC: $1520.90Read More
Bearish macroeconomic signals and oversupply have put minor metals and ferro-alloys prices variously under pressure over 2019; the structure and terms of contracts agreed over the coming weeks will show how market participants are accounting for those signals ahead of 2020. A slowing global economy alongside uncertainty over the China-United States trade dispute and Brexit have slowed minor metals...Read More
Trade unions representing workers for Chile's state-run miner Codelco have called on their members to mobilize in support of protests against the government.Union No1 for Codelco's Chuquicamata has joined Sindicato No1 for BHP's Escondida in backing protestors, whose opposition to inequality in the country has escalated into alleged looting and arson, and to violent confrontations with the militar...Read More
Gold price became over-extended from a key trend line this summer.Its lateral trading range was necessary to allow it to consolidate the rally.Central bank demand will keep gold price stable until the next breakout.For many investors, gold's extended trading range since late August has been agonizingly long. Gold bulls have patiently waited for the next rally phase of the metal's price to commence...Read More
Vinayak Bhave has joined TradeCloud as head of India to solidify the company's presence in India and Middle East, the company said on Friday November 1.Launched in October 2017, TradeCloud is a digital metals trading platform where producers, consumers and traders can meet to exchange information, negotiate contracts and conclude business. Vinayak will be based in Mumbai, India.Prior to joining...Read More
Experts like Surendra Mehta of the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA) had but a few days ago painted a picture of doom and gloom, forecasting gold buying would fall by 50% compared to Diwali 2018.Ajay Kedia, director of Kedia Advisory, said gold buying fell 25% this year, LiveMint reported.According to the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), about 6,000 kg of gold was estimated...Read More
Government subsidies are a necessary part of early electric vehicle adoption but EVs will have mainstream usage without the need for incentives in the long term, panelists said at the LME Metal Seminar this week. EV adoption has come at a slower pace than previously expected, coinciding with cuts in government subsidies in China. In March this year, Beijing announced a 50-60% reduction in subsidie...Read More
Chinese steel exporters are bracing for a tough year end and an equally challenging 2020, even as the trade war between China and the United States mellows after a truce reached in early October.A source at a major steelmaker in eastern China expects the export market for Chinese steel to worsen in the months to come, even if the US holds off on increasing its tariffs on Chinese imports. "The truc...Read More
A case can be made that silver's current price "stability" - believed by many to be well below where it "should" be - is the result of at least three interlocking factors.There are certainly other considerations, but the following seem especially relevant today...Our chosen metaphor is the three-legged stool. Take one leg away, and the stool topples. In the case of silver, the outcome is likely to...Read More
Aluminium closed at its highest in six weeks on the London Metal Exchange on Friday November 1 while copper also continued its recovery. The three-month aluminium closed at $1,786 per tonne this afternoon after peaking earlier at $1,790 per tonne. More than 18,000 lots changed hands by the close, the highest one-total since July. Still, market participants must factor in costlier financing conditi...Read More
The alumina price on a fob Australia basis rose to $285 per tonne in the week ending Friday November 1, its highest since early October, thanks to continued import demand from China. Fastmarkets calculated the benchmark daily alumina index, fob Australia at $285.18 per tonne on Friday, down only slightly from $285.42 per tonne on the previous day. Before Thursday, it had not traded above $285 per...Read More
Seaborne coking coal prices plunged on Friday November 1 on trades involving premium mid-volatility cargoes procured by end-users in China and India.Fastmarkets indicesPremium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $132.38 per tonne, down by $11.07 per tonnePremium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $145.08 per tonne, down by $16.45 per tonneHard coking coal, fob DBCT: $128.84 per tonne, unchangedHard coking co...Read More