The oil markets rank among the mostvolatile commodity markets in the world, thanks in large part to the myriadfactors that determine oil prices. Geopolitical concerns, the actions ofspeculators, regional tensions, demand and supply considerations, alternativetechnologies, and many interrelated factors determine oil prices. For example,the Iranian attack on SaudiArabian oil fields was a major setba...Read More

With the odds of a Brexit deal by the October 31 deadline declining, gold bulls may stand to benefit. The price of gold has been in a narrow range over the past session with support at $1479 drawing buyers while the shiny metal continues to struggle to rally above the psychological $1500 level.Gold prices have been held higher by a weaker dollar as of late while at the same time suppressed by posi...Read More

The Wall Street Journal’s Jason Zweig famously referred to gold as a “Pet Rock” in 2015. He was blasted by people who understand that gold is no passing fad, and it serves some very important roles in an investment portfolio.The valuable roles played by gold have been well covered here. It’s a hedge against both inflation and deflation, it represents true diversification fo...Read More

Precious Metals enjoyed a very strong move this past summer. Both Gold and gold stocks broke past multi-year resistance and showed the kind of positive momentum that has been lacking for years.  But strong momentum coupled with major technical resistance set in, along with a temporary shift in fundamentals, thus creating a roadblock and a correction. The precious metals complex has corrected...Read More

What’s In Play NowIt has been about 2 months since the gold stock sector, as represented by the HUI index, topped out. The ensuing correction has been a whipsaw affair of ups and downs, but smoothing that volatility out we find an ongoing correction in time and price that has not been too difficult to manage.The pattern that some would call a “complex H&S” (TA-speak for a fre...Read More

Another round of global monetary easing has just begun! More than 30 central banks around the world have cut interest rates this year so far. The Fed and the ECB are certainly among them. Should gold investors look forward to these policies playing out? Let’s find out how gold tends to behave during such an extraordinary period! Ladies and Gentlemen! Another round of global monetary easing h...Read More

A group of metals and mining companies including Glencore and Anglo American have joined forces with the World Economic Forum to explore the use of blockchain technology to accelerate responsible sourcing of raw materials. The Mining and Metals Blockchain Initiative will explore the building of a blockchain platform to address transparency, the track and tracing of materials, the reporting of carb...Read More

Originally published on Sat Oct 12 for our ElliottWaveTrader members:While we have been tracking the metals market for the next rally set-up, we have seen some signs that the market may attempt to begin that rally sooner rather than later.However, I have to be honest in noting that I am seeing more signs that lower levels may still be struck before we are ready for that rally. So, as I have been s...Read More

In January 1980, the price of silver peaked at just under $50.00 per ounce. From its low in October 1971 at $1.27, silver had risen thirty-nine fold in little more than eight years.There was talk about higher silver prices, as much as $100.00 per ounce and more. Yet, only a few months later, silver was down to $10.00 per ounce. That amounted to a decline of nearly eighty percent from its peak.Silv...Read More

A declining rebar market in China coupled with elevated prices for scrap have put a squeeze to the profit margins of electric-arc furnace operators in the country since September.Amid a pessimistic outlook for demand and prices, market participants are expecting these EAF operators - which account for close to a third of the supply of the long steel product in China - to cut their output soon.EAF...Read More

Crude oil bounced from its yesterday’s lows, and the oil bulls rebuffed another attempt to move lower earlier today. Does that mean that the upswing can continue now, or a cautious approach would win the day? In yesterday’s Alert, we wrote the following:Crude oil moved higher last week, especially on Thursday and Friday. This rally was in tune with the clear buy signals from the CCI an...Read More

Yesterday, the Nobel prizes in economics were awarded. Unfortunately, gold has been omitted and got nothing. How unfair! But looking at the Dutch central bank press release, gold would have much higher chances if they were the ones granting the prizes and not the Swedish central bank!2019 Nobel in Economics and GoldYesterday was a big day! At least for all those boring economists and similar bean-...Read More

Vale saw its adjusted earnings grow by 6.4% year on year in the third quarter amid higher prices and lower expenses related to the Brumadinho tailings dam disaster early this year.The Brazilian miner's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) for the July-September period totaled $4.60 billion, which compares with $4.33 billion a year earlier.Vale's reported...Read More

Preciousmetals moved strongly on Friday, and did so on significant volume. Thereversals we have seen on Thursday got resolved with a heavy thud. Let’s diveinto the many charts and perspectives and explore how well they support theupcoming move across the sector. Let’sstart this week with a bigger update on multiple gold charts. There are so manyreasons due to which gold is likely to de...Read More

At present, there could be a number of positive developments for precious metals.Last Friday, the US Dollar cracked lower and could be at risk of lower levels into year end.Days earlier the Federal Reserve announced new “QE-like” measures just as they told us it was not really QE. In addition, the market is showing a nearly 68% chance of a rate cut later this month.  Isn&rsqu...Read More

Perspective is everything when it comes to the markets. It is always most important to look at the long term charts first and then work your way back to the shorter timeframes. Long term charts also show where major support and resistance resides that can have a calming affect on ones emotions when the inevitable corrections take place.Its been several months or so since we last looked at this 30...Read More

Bearish macroeconomic signals and oversupply have put minor metals and ferro-alloys prices variously under pressure over 2019; the structure and terms of contracts agreed over the coming weeks will show how market participants are accounting for those signals ahead of 2020. A slowing global economy alongside uncertainty over the China-United States trade dispute and Brexit have slowed minor metals...Read More

Trade unions representing workers for Chile's state-run miner Codelco have called on their members to mobilize in support of protests against the government.Union No1 for Codelco's Chuquicamata has joined Sindicato No1 for BHP's Escondida in backing protestors, whose opposition to inequality in the country has escalated into alleged looting and arson, and to violent confrontations with the militar...Read More

Electric vehicles (EVs) are forecast to reach cost and functional parity with internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles by 2025. Theoretically, this should create the global tipping point for mass market EV adoption, along with the development of the associated charging infrastructure required to accompany the growth.In practice, it is not quite as straightforward.A recent report by investment res...Read More

Copper has attempted to rebound since early September following a marked sell-off in the summer months where macro and fundamental forces have been prevalent.On the macro front, copper has benefited from a slight easing in US-China trade tensions and more monetary policy easing across the globe - including China, where copper consumption is the most exposed - that has shored up investor sentiment....Read More