Poor demand and mounting competition from imports will continue to challenge the European hot-rolled coil (HRC) market, supporting a negative trend in the fourth quarter of 2019, market sources have told Fastmarkets.Fastmarkets' weekly price assessment for steel HRC, domestic, exw Northern Europe, was ?,?450-460 ($491-502) per tonne on September 25, down by ?,?5-10 per tonne week on week and down...Read More
This week, Nancy Pelosi announced that the House wouldlaunch a formal impeachment inquiry. Is it a well-grounded argument, publicitystunt or reflection of the growing polarization inside the Democratic party?Storm in a tea cup or not, should Trump be worried? And gold? What’s This All About?On Tuesday, Nancy Pelosi, House Speaker, announcedthat “the House of Representatives is moving f...Read More
Is Gold now back in a bull market? Most goldbugs think so and are quick to proclaim that.But, could Gold remain in a secular bearmarket? It hasn’t made a new all time high in 8 years and the perma-bull,financial asset loving crowd certainly believes so.This is semantics because what really mattersis making money and nothing else. With that said, Gold is not in a real bullmarket yet. We can...Read More
Ferro-alloys prices will continue to trade lower going into 2020 amid slowing economic and steel production growth, Fastmarkets analyst, Amy Bennett, told delegates at the North-American Ferro-alloys conference in Chicago last week."Although ferro-alloy prices will almost certainly trend lower in 2020, given the weakening economic fundamentals, we do not expect to see prices retreat to 2015/2016 l...Read More
David HaggithThe Great Recession never ended. I say that because the deep economic flaws that caused it were never corrected. All recovery efforts since merely clouded our eyes to the problems growing larger around us, even making them worse, and now we are going back into the belly of the Great Recession.The recovery was all a prop, which is why I call it a fake recovery. In September, we enter...Read More
Clive Maundoriginally published Sunday, September 29, 2019Whilst we are in complete agreement with Egon Von Greyerz of GoldSwitzerland, about the exceptionally positive mid and long-term outlook for gold and silver which will soar as the monstrous global debt bubble implodes, there is the small matter of what will happen to them when the debt junkies go "cold turkey" if there is a sudden liqui...Read More
Clint SiegnerGold and silver investors have been watching the Department of Justice investigation of criminal price rigging at JPMorgan Chase and other bullion banks carefully. Several crooked traders have pled guilty to "spoofing" the markets and more have been indicted.The DOJ has even suggested the banks have been engaged in racketeering. Prosecutors may use RICO laws designed for taking...Read More
By: Gary SavageGold is still very early into its daily cycle lower:Read More
By: Ira EpsteinSeptember was a crazy month. Gold heading back to $1,450? Under the $1,511 18-day moving average. Gold is oversold. Read More
Last week, the Fed had to inject liquidity into the repo market for the first time since the Great Recession. Not once, but several times – and also commit to do more. Will such a crack in the proverbial dam let gold’s allure shine? Scramble for Liquidity Pushes Rates UpThe focus last week was on the FOMC decision to cut interest rates. But a real drama was unfolding in the background....Read More
If you’ve been following our research, you already know how accurately we’ve been nailing the precious metals price moves. We’ve been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these incredible setups. Let’s have a little fun and start with two charts from near July 20, 2019, to help our fo...Read More
Fastmarkets rounds up six key takeaways from its first Battery Materials Europe conference in Amsterdam, which took place on September 26-27.Battery boom warrants evolution of cobalt pricing mechanisms Cobalt hydroxide and cobalt sulfate account for a growing portion of the cobalt market, which reflects growth - and forecasts for future growth - in EV demand. While cobalt metal prices have traditi...Read More
One of the most common reasons to buygold is to use it as a stable store of value. This analysis uses 50years of history to test that common belief, and finds it woefully lacking - forit misses the best parts of investing in gold.The graph below will be developed, andwe will show that gold is instead a more sophisticated (and desirable) investmentthan most people realize. When properly understood,...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets MB stories you might have missed on Tuesday October 1 that are worth another look.Chilean miner Codelco has increased its United States' annual copper cathode premium to 3.1 cents per lb for 2020 supply, making it the benchmark's highest level since 2016, sources close to the matter confirmed to Fastmarkets.The benchmark premium paid for the supply of aluminium to main Ja...Read More
By Andy Hecht: Crude oil is the energy commodity that powers the world. Over half of the world’s petroleum reserves are in the Middle East, which is the most turbulent political region on the face of the earth. Meanwhile, the United States is the leading consumer of crude oil. For many years, the US dependence on Middle Eastern oil contributed to its price variance. The Arab-Israeli War in t...Read More
Yield curve inversions have historicallybeen great for silver prices. Currently we are experiencing such a phenomena,and again it is evidence of conditions that are conducive to some impressivesilver rallies.Below, is a long-term chart showing thespread between the 10-year Treasure Note Yield and the 3-month Treasury Bill Rate. I have chosen these two to show data for along-term analysis. The...Read More
Long term trends take a long time toreverse. One such trend compares goldmining stocks to the S&P 500 stocks. From 2002 until 2011 gold mining stocks outperformed generic stocks, ascan be seen in the following chart. (Chartscourtesy Stockcharts.com). The trend unmistakably featured miningstocks ($HUI) over the S&P 500 stocks. From 2011 until r...Read More
Tonight I would like to start out by looking at the old ratio combo chart that has the GOLD:XAU ratio chart on top with the XAU on the bottom. I’m not going to go over all the details the ratio combo chart has, only to emphasize the 20 year 6 point parabolic arc which shows how gold had been outperforming the XAU until the small double top at 24.33 in late 2015. When the parabolic arc was br...Read More
Following a flip in global steel and ferrous trade flow trends last year caused by economic jitters in Turkey, trade defenses by the United States and production cuts in China, this year it is steel prices that are turning upside down. Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are now below rebar prices in a phenomenon rarely seen outside of the Chinese domestic markets. HRC import prices in Vietnam have...Read More
Critical Mass - A point or situation at which change occurs.Just over a year ago Cameco made the difficult decision to close its MacArthur River and Key Lake mines, in response to low uranium prices, leaving the Canadian company’s flagship Cigar Lake facility as its only operating mine left in northern Saskatchewan, home to vast reserves of the nuclear fuel. The mine closures by C...Read More