Key data from the pricing sessions in Asia, Europe and the United States for the week ending Friday August 7.China Seaborne 37% manganese ore prices rose again after some miners increased their offers on a steady appetite among buyers looking to average their purchasing costs at relatively lower levels. The seaborne 44% price moved up as well, partly buoyed by the rising portside prices. Portside...Read More

This bull market can be more positive than the previous one both for gold and the mining stocks.In the last edition of the Fundamental Gold Report, I analyzed various WGC’s reports on the gold market. Today, I will focus on the issues of Alchemist – the flagship publication of the London Bullion Market Associations – I was unable to discuss during the most acute phase of the pand...Read More

No negotiations were again reported in the United States' spot pig iron market during the week ended Friday August 7, because steel mills' utilization rates remained low, Fastmarkets understands.But one deal was heard under long-term agreement at $340 per tonne cfr from Brazil. That would be "more or less in line with the spot market level," one buyer said. Meanwhile, other sources estimated that...Read More

Nothinglasts forever, and the brightest flame burns itself out the fastest. That couldvery well apply to the current situation around PMs. Speakingof indications pointing to the situation being excessive, let’s take a look atthe USD Index. Rememberwhen inearly 2018 we wrote that the USD Index was bottoming due to a verypowerful combination of support levels? Practically nobody wanted to rea...Read More

The gold miners’ stockshave rocketed higher this summer, smashing out of their usual summer-doldrumssideways grind.  That atypical strengthhas been driven by gold steadily marching to major new secular highs, fueled bystrong investment demand.  This hascarried gold stocks and the metal they mine back to their traditional strongseason, which begins with robust autumn rallies usually...Read More

Our hard working miner here (we’ll call him Huey) has been pushing his cart of rocks, first gently downhill from 2016 to 2018 and then uphill to a bull market since May 2019.As tracked in NFTRH, in 2019 the macro backdrop became positive for the gold stock sector as gold entered a bull market by taking out the 1378 level and its ratios to stock markets began to rise. Gold/SPX is among the mo...Read More

No matter what shape the recovery is, the epidemic will likely have lasting, positive effects on the gold market.During the most acute phase of the pandemic and the following economic crisis, there was no time to analyze various WGC’s reports on the gold market. Let’s make up for it!I’ll start with the report “Recovery paths and impact on performance” about the gold m...Read More

Sometimes it is better to let a situation speak for itself. Alcoa, Rio Tinto Aluminium, Novelis, Constellium, Arconic, Kaiser Aluminum, Tri-Arrows Aluminum, American Metal Chemical Corp, Hydro Extrusion North America, JW Aluminum, Real Alloy, Reynolds Consumer Products, Scepter, Silberline Manufacturing Co, Smelter Service Corp and Wagstaff. The US Aluminum Association, which represents more than...Read More

Our trading team witnessed a big drop in Platinum and Palladium prices early this morning while Gold and Silver continued to push moderately higher.  We began to question this move and investigate any historical relevance to previous patterns.  Our research team pointed out that both Platinum and Palladium rolled lower just 3 to 4 days before the breakdown in the US stock markets on Febr...Read More

The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More

Yesterday’s session was indeed volatile around theFOMC, just like we warned,and gold even moved to its previous high, likely forming a double-top pattern.Even though gold moved higher on an intraday basis, it didn’t invalidate itsprevious breakdown, which was a bearish sign. Gold was likely to decline, andit is declining so far in today’s pre-market trading. The above chart show...Read More

It is said that a picture is worth 1000words, and thus two pictures are worth 2000 words. The entire financial systemis fracturing and imploding, no exaggeration. The entire monetary system is beingundermined in a true Weimar sense, in reality. Such a situation almost neverhas come about without a world war. Since 2001 in the Jackass opinion, theworld financial war has been in progress with the im...Read More

Joshua Olmsted, currently senior vice president, will take the role of president and chief operating officer for the Americas region at Freeport-McMoRan on September 1 this year, when Harry Conger retires, the company said on Friday August 7. Working for Freeport for 28 years, Olmsted has been senior vice president for the North American copper division since late 2015. He previously took manageri...Read More

The following is an update of a previousarticle: During the 2008 financial crisis the Fedsignificantly increased the US monetary base to keep the system from collapse.They are currently in a similar situation, and have done (is doing) the exactsame thing.Here is a chart of the US monetary base toillustrate the similarity: With the 2008 actions they were able to avoidthe collapse until now. Will th...Read More

Last week, I put out an article outlining my expectation for a pullback in GLD before we head to the 200+ region. Within the comments section, I outlined my plan as to how I am going to play for a potential pullback. However, that pullback has not yet materialized.For those that have followed me closely for years, you know that I have been heavily long physical metals and mining stocks since I sta...Read More

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts oil and discusses what he sees ahead for the commodity. Compared to the wild volatility that we witnessed back in the spring, trading in oil has become very light and subdued, with volatility in it dropping to a very low level, and as a result many traders are losing interest in it. It is quiet—too quiet—and complacency towards it is now rife, but a...Read More

Gold has jumped above $1,850 amid expectations of new stimulus, worries about the pace of economic recovery, and concerns about rising tensions between the U.S. and China. Houston, we have a problem! Please take a look at the chart below that presents the U.S. initial jobless claims. What do you see? Yes, you are right! The number of people claiming unemployment benefits has recently risen. To be...Read More

With silver breaking out decisively to the upside, bears are running for cover.We had noted in our July 13th News Alert, “We are paying especially close attention to the bull vs. bear tug-of-war in the silver market around $19/oz. If the bulls yank prices decisively above that level on a strong close, short covering by capitulating bears could help drive a powerful breakout rally.”That...Read More

The gold price made a new all-time nominal high today at $1,945 per ounce. This move should not come as a surprise to anyone paying attention to the current financial landscape. The FED has injected an unprecedented amount of new money/debt into the economy since March in efforts to avoid a collapse from the impact of the Covid-19 virus and subsequent restrictions of business activity globally. Ov...Read More

As shown in the graph below, the firsthalf of 2020 produced an unusual change in the relationship between goldprices, stock prices and recessions, something that has only happened twicebefore in the last fifty years. Each of the two previous times this hasoccurred after a long run up in stock prices, it has been part of acyclical change to a cycle favoring gold over stocks for a decade or morether...Read More