Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTAIn our most recent editorial we concluded by observing a few positives in the gold and silver stocks. W concluded with: "Their performance over the weeks ahead could give us an early hint as to how much longer the correction will last."Fast forward another week and a few positives has morphed into a handful of positives. First let's look at GDX. In the chart below we p...Read More
StrengthsThe best performing metal this week was platinum, up 2.61 percent, followed closely by palladium, up 2.39 percent. Both platinum and palladium experienced strong demand as hedge funds pushed their net-long positions to five and three-week highs, respectively. Gold traders and analysts were mostly bullish in the weekly Bloomberg survey due to renewed concerns over a trade deal between...Read More
RambusI've been holding off on writing this Weekend Report for the US stock markets until I got just a little more confirmation that the next impulse move higher is underway. Last weeks price action is strongly suggesting that the nearly 2 year consolidation phase is drawing to a close. Lets say I'm seeing some green shoots sprouting up in many different areas of the markets.Most investors rely...Read More
What are we to make of Wall Street's exuberance on Friday over news concerning a U.S. economic expansion that refuses to die? Employers are hiring, consumers are spending and business is humming despite a dramatic economic slowdown in Asia, Europe, South America and elsewhere. Perhaps America really is an economic island, one blessed with unstinting support from a central bank that has finally s...Read More
The London Metal Exchange three-month aluminium price closed at $1,815 per tonne on Monday November 4, its highest price since September following 13-month-high daily trading volumes. More than 23,350 lots of aluminium were traded by the close on Monday - the most since October 2018. Supporting higher price action, LME aluminium stocks remain on a downtrend after edging higher in early-October, wi...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets MB stories you might have missed on Monday November 4 that are worth another look.AM Investco, the consortium led by ArcelorMittal that was put together to purchase Italian steelmaker Ilva, is pulling out of the deal, ArcelorMittal said on November 4.Shanghai-bonded copper stocks continued to fall in October, but the decline was slower than in September due to the re...Read More
Sideways period might have been the calm before the storm.Weekly and daily charts are slightly bullish.Commitment of Traders Report remains very negative.Sentiment has cooled down in recent weeks.Seasonality is very promising until end of February.Since 3rd of September, gold and the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD) have been consolidating for nearly two months and now seem to be getting ready f...Read More
Eldorado Gold reported its Q3 results this week, and continues to track near its 2019 guidance provided in February.The Lamaque Mine PEA is due later this year, with the potential for a slight expansion in annual production.The company is on track to deliver on guidance, but it remains inferior to its peers fundamentally given its operations in mostly tier-3 jurisdictions, and high costs.It's been...Read More
Gold closing above $1500 to $1503 is extremely bullish.Inflation, debt and rising consumer prices may cause and explosion in the metals, especially gold.The daily signals average is $1509, while the S1 target that was activated is $1523.$1523 is the beginning of distribution of supply for the daily and weekly numbers. Commodity Inflation May Trigger a Gold Rush Although the government disagrees, i...Read More
The London Metal Exchange three-month aluminium price closed at $1,815 per tonne on Monday November 4, its highest price since September following 13-month-high daily trading volumes. More than 23,350 lots of aluminium were traded by the close on Monday - the most since October 2018. Supporting higher price action, LME aluminium stocks remain on a downtrend after edging higher in early-October, wi...Read More
Participants in the seaborne coking coal market are maintaining a bearish outlook amid quiet trading, with many divided on the price gap between premium low-vol and mid-vol cargoes.Fastmarkets indicesPremium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $134.16 per tonne, up by $1.78 per tonnePremium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $146.36 per tonne, up by $1.28 per tonneHard coking coal, fob DBCT: $123.21 per tonn...Read More
Prices for mid-grade seaborne iron ore slid below $85 per tonne cfr China on Monday November 4, the first time since August 30.Fastmarkets iron ore indices62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $83.27 per tonne, down $2.29 per tonne.62% Fe Pilbara Blend fines, cfr Qingdao: $83.09 per tonne, down $2.29 per tonne.62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $82.71 per tonne, down $2.23 per tonne.58% Fe fines high-pre...Read More
Copper miner Antofagasta has cut its 2019 copper production guidance by 10,000 tonnes after demonstrations and unrest affected its operations in Chile.Antofagasta reduced its full-year output guidance to 750,000-770,000 tonnes of copper, from its previous estimate of 750,000-790,000 tonnes.Production from the company's mines was halted amid walkouts from unionized workers and road blockades, but h...Read More
The UG2 chrome ore index slid again in China after poor demand prompted suppliers to lower their offers in the week to Friday November 1, while falling ferro-chrome supply in Europe helped the regional high-carbon market edge up by 0.6%. Suppliers cut offers for chrome ore amid weak demand Chinese spot alloy prices flat in thin trading Alloy supply tightens in Europe US price ma...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets MB stories you might have missed on Monday November 4 that are worth another look.AM Investco, the consortium led by ArcelorMittal that was put together to purchase Italian steelmaker Ilva, is pulling out of the deal, ArcelorMittal said on November 4.Shanghai-bonded copper stocks continued to fall in October, but the decline was slower than in September due to the re...Read More
The T?-a Mar?-a copper project in Peru, run by Southern Copper Corp (SCC), is still short of the approvals needed to move towards operation, despite being green-lit by the country's mining council, minister of energy and mines, Juan Carlos Liu, said in a statement on Sunday November 3.SCC was only authorized to begin construction of the site's copper processing plant on October 30, and its environ...Read More
AS Mauskar and N Bhavsar of Bank Muscat led the base metals leaderboard again in the Apex third-quarter 2019 contest, with an accuracy rating of 96.9%, while UBS' Glyn Lawcock was top of the precious metals table with a rating of 97.6%. For steel raw materials, Fastmarkets was at the top of the leaderboard at 90.6% accuracy. Click on the image below to download the full report. Second on the base...Read More
Shanghai-bonded copper stocks continued to fall in October, but the decline was slower than in September due to the relatively limited amount of metal available, wide arbitrage losses and fewer working days last month.Fastmarkets assessed Shanghai-bonded copper stocks at 253,000-256,000 tonnes at the end of October, a drop of 13.3% from 292,000-295,000 tonnes at the end of September, which was pub...Read More
The three-month zinc price on the London Metal Exchange was higher during morning trading on Monday November 4, with price action keeping comfortably above the $2,500 per tonne support level due to high turnover and tight forward spreads. Zinc's outright price on the LME was recently $2,529 per tonne, with more than 2,000 lots exchanged as of 9am London time. Fresh zinc outflow of 625 tonnes this...Read More
The nickel market must switch its focus to class-one nickel production if it is to meet projected battery demand, analysts said during London Metal Exchange Week 2019. Analysts are concerned that traditional production focus on stainless steel may prevent adequate supply of battery-preferential nickel coming online even though this sector will eventually eclipse stainless steel demand. "The exciti...Read More