Last week I talked about unrealistic expectations for the price of silver (see Silver Loses Its Mettle). My comments were centered on two specific factors: 1) silver’s primary role as an industrial commodity and 2) the fallacy of the gold-to-silver ratio.Both of these items have their root in fundamentals, or lack of them.In addition, I pointed out the fact that the price of silver has decli...Read More

The retailer's fourth-quarter earnings and revenue reports fell well below analysts' expectationIt looks like the fun may be over for Party City Holdco (NYSE:PRTY) as it heads deeper into penny stock territory today, down 48.6% at $0.66 and earlier opened at a new record low of $0.54. This deepening spiral comes after the firm reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of 51 cents per share, well b...Read More

Extreme volatility in the equity markets has investors wonderingwhat to expect. Even the hardiest of stock market bulls are finally asking someserious questions about whether the top is in.Stocks have long been priced for perfection and suddenlyconditions are looking far from perfect. The coronavirus may be the pin whichpricks the latest Fed-blown bubble.Precious metals investors have been prepari...Read More

The baseline case for gold 320 ADWe sometimes forget that inflation is a process rather than an event. One of the better-known examples of that axiom is the nearly two centuries-long debasement of Rome’s silver denarius – an inflationary episode Jack Whyte, a writer of historical fiction, skillfully addresses in his latest novel, The Burning Stone.Set in Great Britain in the fourth cen...Read More

I promised you on Friday that I would take an in-depth look at the energy complex in the Weekend Report. If there is one sector to define the possible deflationary event we’ve been discussing for the last several months or so oil is probably the most important commodity of all. Eventually we’ll know the cause in no uncertain terms, but the charts have been suggesting for a long time no...Read More

Over the past few weeks and months, our research team has continued to sing the praises of precious metals – particularly Gold and Silver.  After last week’s dramatic selloff in precious metals (attributed mostly to margin call sales), both Gold and Silver rallied almost 3% on Tuesday, March 3 – the day the US Fed issued an emergency 0.50% rate cut.We believe this move by th...Read More

Another tumultuous week inequity and interest rate markets has helped fuel a big pop in safe-haven demandfor gold and silver. The major market moving eventwas, of course, the Federal Reserve’s emergency rate cut on Tuesday. The Fedslashed its overnight funds rate by 50 basis points. But even before the Fedacted, the bond market had already forced its hand as yields on the 10-yearTreasury not...Read More

Yesterday, the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Not during a regular monetary policy meeting, but in a surprising move. But what are the implications for the gold market specifically?Fed Cuts Interest Rates in Emergency MoveLast week, I wrote that the spread of the new coronavirus to Europe and the inversion of the yield curve make “the Fed more likely to step in and cut the federa...Read More

Daniel R. Amerman, CFAThe traditional reason for investing in gold is to protect from inflation, but history shows that gold has far more valuable uses than if it were just a mere inflation hedge. In this chapter, using six stages of analysis, we will explore a powerful and highly consistent historical relationship between gold and stocks that offers investors the ability to use gold in ways tha...Read More

Stefan GleasonAs the coronavirus spreads fear, sickness, and death, a specter haunts investors - the specter of deflation.Despite central bankers' attempts to push inflation rates higher, equity and commodity markets are collapsing. Inflation expectations as reflected in tanking U.S. Treasury yields, meanwhile, appear headed toward zero - and perhaps even below."I think that we have a real dange...Read More

By: Ira EpsteinGold 18 week moving average near $1,542, trying to hold the lows here but now need to see what the market does..Read More

A USA Today headline this morning indicated that the Dow was diving as virus concerns counter hope for fiscal steps.U.S. stocks teetered on the edge of a bear market Wednesday as worries persisted over economies reeling from the coronavirus outbreak.""Concerns have grown that a prolonged outbreak may bring on a recession.""Goldman Sachs forecast that the longest ever bull market "will soon end...Read More

Dave KranzlerMake no mistake, the financial system is collapsing under one giant margin call being issued to banks and hedge funds. How big? No one knows. The Fed obviously was preparing for something when it commenced its money printing in September. But it had no idea of the scale of the underlying systemic problems. Coronavirus is not the cause of what's unfolding in the markets - it mere...Read More

David Haggith(March 11, 2020)The bear roared today, ripping the ears off everyone, as the Dow and Russel 2000 both landed more than 20% below their last peak. Their 19-session rampage landed a record as the, steepest, fastest downhill bear run in the history of the US stock market.The market's waterfall run over the cliffs now looks like El Capitan.Of course, the rise of the bear also means the...Read More

Today, after another devastating day in the markets we are going to stand back and take a "big picture" view of what is going on.This is not some ordinary run-of-the mill bearmarket that is starting here - it is the beginning of a devastating collapse that is necessary to clear the system of all the accumulated dross that has built over many years. A "reset" is an apt word to describe it.The rot...Read More

By: Ira EpsteinGold breaking below the 18-DMA with support coming in below at..Read More

During turbulent times like these, markets can be melting downone day… and zooming higher the next. Gold may serve as a fantastic safe-havenasset one day… but get hammered by futures traders the next.The news cycle can be just as volatile. One report may show thecoronavirus is receding in China, while another may raise alarms about itsspread in other parts of the world.One poll may s...Read More

Deep-pocketed speculators miss the big turns -- but you don't have to Hedge fund managers are considered to be among the smartest people on Wall Street.Ironically, as a group, they're notorious for consistently being on the wrong side of major turns in the markets they trade. By contrast, a group of insiders called Commercials are generally on the right side of major market turns. With that in min...Read More

This is the final part of my Gold price analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020 that was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 Gold Price Trend Forecasts 2019 ReviewSEASONAL ANALYSISQE4EVERUS DOLLARLONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS Gold / SIlver RatioTrend Analysis ELLIOT WAVESGold Price Trend Forecast 2020 Conclusion  Formu...Read More

To underscore the volatility of this past week, consider the price action in Silver.  Silver, days ago, had a chance to make its highest monthly close since October 2016. That is well over three years ago. Silver closed the week and the month at its lowest levels in six months. One week, precious metals (specifically gold stocks) are on the cusp of a historic breakout, and the next, they are...Read More