I got pelted with garbage after the last (bearish) update was posted on the 1st because right after, gold zoomed back up following a $75.80 plunge, as we can see on its latest 3-month chart below, and this "swansong rally" even made it to a marginal new high, but it did not negate the bearish implications of the late February plunge. In the last update it was written "This kind of massive smackd...Read More
Richard (Rick) Mills, Ahead of the herdOne of the worst weeks on Wall Street mercifully ended on Friday.S&P 500DJIANasdaqAfter multiple sessions of panic selling, the markets caught an up-draft after US President Trump declared a national emergency over the coronavirus, thus freeing up $50 billion in federal aid to help contain the rapid spread of the pandemic. As stocks accelerated gains in...Read More
Gary Tanashian, NFTRHBelow is a monthly chart of HUI telling some stories of the past.The 2003 to 2008 bull rally ended with Huey's "crown of thorns" as I used to call it back then. An H&S that formed at the end of a great inflationary phase in the markets.The great crash of 2008 (Armageddon '08) was completely deserved because as I've belabored for so many years now, you don't buy gold stocks...Read More
By Avi GilburtI have to tell you that the last 6 months in this market have been the most unusual of my career as a public analyst. And I tried warning many of you of the potential, yet most chose to deride my perspective, as many got suckered into the biggest fake-out I have ever seen in the market.In my analysis published on emerging markets back in early February entitled "Sentiment Speaks: E...Read More
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:How much of last week's smash in monetary metals prices was caused by what seems to be the primary explanation for it -- selling required to meet margin requirements for positions in other markets that were falling amid the worldwide virus panic?Surely there was some of that, but suspicion also must fall on governments and central banks seeking, as they long have don...Read More
Europeans are feeling like President Trump just dropped a COVID-19 economic bomb on the European Union. In response to his March 11th talk from the Oval Office, EU leaders said they did not see this coming. Was this a COVERT economic attack on the EU as some in the EU think?If you break down what President Trump said and did, it smells a bit like economic warfare that has capitalized on the coro...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinT.A. LOOK: Gold monthly chart: momentum pointing down, trend is up. Weekly chart: $1,535 / 18 week moving average was the support and it basically hit it on Friday. Weekly uptrend is over. Does not mean the market is bearish..Read More
Policy ShocksMy Best Guess on the FutureA Consumer-Led RecessionDon't Ask, Don't TestOne Major CaveatThe Right ThingNew York and Back to Puerto RicoI write this letter early Friday morning after a week in New York visiting with many fellow market participants. And lots of phone calls, both to analysts and medical experts. I had originally planned a completely different letter but circumstances c...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Friday March 13 that are worth another look.Brazilian miner Vale has said it may have to implement contingency measures or eventually suspend operations due to the global spread of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pandemic around the world.Most mill-grade aluminium scrap prices fell in the United States this past week, encouraged by weake...Read More
If global financial markets had been operating under a pervading sense of uncertainty due to the impact of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), they now appear to be veering on panic.Oil prices have suffered their biggest one-day collapse since the 1991 Gulf War following Saudi Arabia's declaration of a price war on Russia through a shock move to hike oil production. S&P Dow Jones Indices was forced...Read More
The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is set to accelerate what the trade wars started: the diversification of global supply chains. Both events have demonstrated just how interconnected the global economy is and have provided a wake-up call to businesses worldwide that it might be time to reduce their reliance on China as the workshop of the world. Of course, that's easier said than done. China is th...Read More
Trade disputes and geopolitical uncertainties had already made the prospects for global economic growth uncertain. A coronavirus has now added to the challenges facing financial markets.The epicenter of the virus is Wuhan, an important commercial hub in China that is home to 11.9 million people, including the country's largest student population. It is also a manufacturing hub, with around 500 fac...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.Near-term global demand is softening, and there is a period of significant mine supply on the horizon. Prices will decline as a result, and this will put mining company margins under pressure. But there is a need for new c...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.Over 650 GW of new onshore and 130 GW of new offshore wind capacity will be installed between 2018 and 2028. This will consume in excess of 5.5Mt of copper, according to a recent analysis by Wood Mackenzie.Henry Salisbury, Wood Macken...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.The U.S has increased tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods to 25%, from 10%, impacting a number of metals. Commentary below comes from the Wood Mackenzie metals team:Copper By Wood Mackenzie Senior Consultant, Yanting Zhou"Previous...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.The most important driver of the zinc market in 2020 will be the performance of the world’s zinc smelting industry, according to Wood Mackenzie.The easing of trade tensions between the US and China, the struggling manufacturing...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.Visit the store to purchase these latest reports: Coronavirus to further depress global LNG marketsRise in Covid-19 leads to fall in China's refinery runsCoronavirus pushes China’s copper demand into negative growthThe impa...Read More
Access our research platformsSign-in to our platforms to access our extensive research, our latest insight, data and analytics and to connect to our industry experts.On Friday 15th February 2019, Vale announced there was a fire affecting a conveyor belt system at its distribution centre in Malaysia. Vale anticipate this will result in a 10 to 15 day halt in operations and note that a planned 10 da...Read More