Gold. Silver. Platinum. Palladium. Precious metals mined from the bowels of the earth, refined andvalued for their unique characteristics. Since the beginning of civilization itself,humanity has long held an obsession with what is known colloquially as “bling.” Nowadays rather than adorning ourselves with beads and seashells,we’ve turned to precious metal. If one thing’s fo...Read More
Our research team believes the recent downward price activity in Gold and Silver are indicative of past price patterns we saw in Gold over the 2007 to 2012 rally. Throughout almost every rally in precious metals (Gold), there have been a number of moderate to serious price corrections taking place within that extended rally. The current downside move is moderately small compared to his...Read More
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcomeback our good friend, Greg Weldon, CEO and President of Weldon Financial. Greghas decades of market research and trading experience specializing in themetals and commodity markets and even authored a book back in 2016 titled GoldTrading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the UScredit market and urged people to buy gold...Read More
Before their recent surgeon gold regaining $1600, the gold stocks spent much of the past half-year or solargely drifting sideways to lower. Thathigh consolidation really weighed on sentiment, with greed giving way to apathy. This sector normally tends to suffer aseasonal slump into mid-March, paving the way for gold stocks’ spring rally. That’s their second-strongest...Read More
With new cases of COVID-19 outside China rising, the chances of a pandemic and global recession have increased recently. What are the implications for the gold market?Coronavirus Spreads Over the WorldUnfortunately, the new coronavirus remains the hottest topic of the news. Although the COVID-19 epidemic has been slowing down in China since the beginning of February, it has quickly spread to sever...Read More
In December, the Sveriges Riksbank, the world’s oldest central bank, has raised the main interest rate from -0.25 percent back to zero, ending its experiment with the negative interest rate policy, as the chart below shows.Chart 1: Riksbank’s repo rate from January 2010 to January 2020. This is a huge change. As a reminder, Riksbank was a pioneer of negative interest rates. As early as...Read More
Gold and stocks are moving south together; but they are not correlated. Nor, are they inversely correlated, as some gold enthusiasts claim.Reference to gold as a safe haven has some investors buying gold to hedge against a stock market crash. It is almost as if gold has become a pseudo defensive stock.It seems investors actually expect gold’s price to go up when the stock market goes down; a...Read More
You know that the oil markets have truly gone to the dogs when they are suddenly riskier than one of the world’s most volatile commodities: bitcoin. Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are synonymous with extreme bouts of volatility. However, it’s crude oil that is now earning that dubious distinction after exhibiting price swings wilder than even the leading cryptocurrency.O...Read More
Sector expert Michael Ballanger charts the latest changes in the markets and prognosticates on when and why silver prices should make a move.One of my good friends from the 1980s and 1990s was the late Ian McAvity, a superb technical analyst, a founder of Central Fund of Canada, a Bay Street Mover and, most importantly, a humble and thoroughly enjoyable man. He was the first newsletter writer that...Read More
The gold bull market ended 2019 with a strong gain of 19%. The first half the year was marked with uncertainty as the price after an early year surge to $1350 gave up all of it's gains to drift lower to trade down on the year by early May. However, this was the calm before the bull market storm and that set the stage for a powerful bull run starting early June that saw the Gold price rocket higher...Read More
Gold rally goes on, reaching almost $1,700 per ounce. What the heck is just happening in the precious metals market? Gold Rallies Above $1,680Wow, what an escalation! On Thursday, we reported that gold jumped above $1,600. On Friday, its price surpassed $1,640, as the chart below shows. And today morning, it has rallied even further, reaching $1,684. Chart 1: Gold prices in 2020 (London P.M. Fix)....Read More
The new issue of Aluminium Market Tracker is now online at metalbulletinresearch.com.In this edition, Fastmarkets' research team delivers key insights and forecasts into aluminium markets around the world.Aluminium price down 2.3% week-on-week amid stock market sell-offGlobal markets remain rattled by the spread of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCOV) across Europe and the United States. Panic-sellin...Read More
“Minsky Moment” refers to the idea that periods of bullish speculation will eventually lead to a crisis, wherein a sudden decline in optimism causes a spectacular market crash. Named after economist Hyman Minsky, the theory centers around the inherent instability of stock markets, especially bull markets such as the current one that has been in place for over a decade. As&nbs...Read More
The new issue of the Seamless OCTG & Linepipe Market Tracker is now online at metalbulletinresearch.com.In this edition, Fastmarkets' research team delivers analysis of seamless OCTG and linepipe across international markets:Covid-19 underscores pipe outlookUnsurprisingly, the concern in the seamless pipe markets across the regions is the effect of the spread of Covid-19 on public health and econo...Read More
Silver is still in consolidation mode since early September, but it appears ready to rally over a sustained period of time.On the chart there appears to have formed some fractals. The current one has also broken out at the black line recently (just after point C).As expected, price survived the test of the 50-day moving average, and is looking really bullish. If the comparison remains valid, then...Read More
The new issue of the Steel Market Tracker is now online at metalbulletinresearch.com.In this edition, Fastmarkets' research team delivers key insights and forecasts into the long and flat products markets.This week's risks to our latest flat-rolled forecasts:The Chinese government is stepping up help to the economy, increasing banks' liquidity. But the spread of the coronavirus worldwide is likely...Read More
$500 billion. This is the sum the Fed has already pumped into the repo market since the crisis there started. On September 17, 2019, the secured overnight funding rate – a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities, based on the repurchase transactions – more than doubled, as the chart below shows, while the intraday range jumped to abou...Read More
Ladies and Gentleman, gold has overcome yet another barrier, jumping above $1,600 amid the fresh FOMC minutes and the renewed fears about the coronavirus economic consequences. What’s next for the yellow metal?Fed More Optimistic about Global EconomyGold bulls can be happy. As the chart below shows, the yellow metal has jumped above $1,600 amid the FOMC minutes and concerns about the coronav...Read More
RAPAPORT... The COVID-19 pandemic that has swept the globe has had a notable impact on the diamond industry, with new developments unfolding every day. Here, we present a one-stop, running news feed on industry events impacted by the virus.March 22?EUR?Signet Jewelers announces all its stores will remain closed across its North America banners, including Kay Jewelers, Zales, Jared, James Alle...Read More
RAPAPORT... Signet Jewelers is shutting all its stores in North America due to the coronavirus, a company spokesperson confirmed with Rapaport News.The temporary closure goes into effect at the close of business on Sunday, the spokesperson said. It applies to its Kay Jewelers, Zales, Jared, James Allen, Peoples and Piercing Pagoda store brands.The company will inform customers this weekend vi...Read More