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Gold vs. Silver - Absolutely No Comparison / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 08, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

In the five months between March and August this year, the price of silver increased from a fourteen-year low of $11.77 per ounce to a seven-year high of $29.26. That is a whopping gain of one hundred sixty-three percent.Meanwhile, gold’s price rose from its low of $1472 per ounce to a recent high of $2061. That represents a gain of forty percent, which is certainly a handsome number. N...Read More

Gold: Why You Should Be Wary of the "Consensus" / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 08, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

Recent sentiment toward the yellow metal matched peak 2011 levels You may recall investor optimism that attended gold's then record high of $1921.50 in September 2011.A Gallup poll from that time period captured the prevailing sentiment. The Sept. 2, 2011 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said a monthly publication which provides forecasts for major U.S. financial markets, said:Perhaps the stronges...Read More

Markets Chop & Grind: Gold, Stocks & Commodities / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 06, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

Whether the market is foreign or domestic, equity, commodity or metal the grind is on. Speaking of grind, the one in gold has been expected as the metal builds out its big picture Handle to the bullish Cup with an objective that is much higher. Let’s take a look at a few NFTRH charts to gauge the grind in several markets and by extension, the grind many feel on their nerves these days. It&rs...Read More

Silver Price Great Buy Spot Ahead of Second Big Upleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 06, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at silver and explains why he believes it's a good time to build positions.More than a few traders are confused about what is going on with silver here after its recent reaction, but when we look at its long-term chart the situation quickly becomes clear. So we will start this update by looking at silver's 13-year chart in order to get big picture perspec...Read More

Gold Price Limited Downside, Big Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 05, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts recent movements in the gold market and what they may indicate going forward.In the last Gold Market update we had thought that it might break out upside from the Triangle that was forming, mainly because of its positive Accumulation line coupled with favorable seasonal factors, but instead, after moving sideways for a while, it broke down, as we can see on its...Read More

Gold Price Is Doing It Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 05, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

Gold is trading really close to its 2011all-time high. This is obviously a critical level for the future of goldprices.Historically gold in US dollars often clearssignificant all-time highs only some time after significant currencies like theEuro and British pound.This is mainly due to US dollar behaviourduring times of significant risk aversion, like we’ve had this year and 2008,for example...Read More

Gold And Silver Stocks Correction Almost Exhausted, Time To Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

October 04, 2020 / mail.marketoracle.co.uk

IntroductionToday, we will take a look at the damage inflicted on this sectorby the recent sell-off and try to ascertain just what lies ahead for theprecious metals stocks involved in gold and silver mining.We will commence with look at the charts for gold and silverprices followed by a comparison of gold’s progress versus that of the Gold BugsIndex (HUI) and conclude with what lies in store...Read More

Vale to build JV with China's Ningbo Zhoushan to double Shulanghu port capacity

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Brazilian iron ore producer Vale will enter into a 50:50 joint venture with China-based Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co to double capacity at the Shulanghu port in the eastern Chinese city of Zhoushan, 290 kilometers south of Shanghai, it said on Friday October 9. Capital expenditure for the project, called West III, is estimated at 4.3 billion yuan ($633 million) to install a stockyard and loading berths...Read More

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT: 5 key stories from October 8

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Thursday October 8 that are worth another look.The European Commission (EC) has set definitive anti-dumping duties on imports of hot-rolled flat stainless steel products from Indonesia, China and Taiwan, it announced in a document published on Tuesday October 6.Read More

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT: 5 key stories from October 5

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Monday October 5 that are worth another look.Tata Steel Europe has strongly denied reports that it will sell its UK-based asset to Chinese steel giant Jingye.After United States sanctions cut off supplies of microchips...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: The unlikely views on the LME spot trading platform

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Plans for a London Metal Exchange spot trading platform have sparked intense debate within the aluminium industry. But opponents and supporters don't necessarily fall into the camps that one might expect. For starters, a decision by the LME not to change its futures contract, establish a new green aluminium contract or set thresholds to define what constitutes low-carbon metal is proving key in st...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: When the aluminium industry lost to Section 232

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Sometimes it is better to let a situation speak for itself. Alcoa, Rio Tinto Aluminium, Novelis, Constellium, Arconic, Kaiser Aluminum, Tri-Arrows Aluminum, American Metal Chemical Corp, Hydro Extrusion North America, JW Aluminum, Real Alloy, Reynolds Consumer Products, Scepter, Silberline Manufacturing Co, Smelter Service Corp and Wagstaff. The US Aluminum Association, which represents more than...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: Looking for (LME) options

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: SHFE tailwind for LME pricesAs we are entering the traditional strong demand season, we expect Chinese aluminium demand to show further recovery, and we expect demand from existing end-user sectors, new infrastructure projects and the export sector to show some increases. As a result, we believe that S...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view, including an upgrade to our aluminium price forecasts.Aluminium: Price forecasts raisedWe correctly expected the macro reflationary theme to raise the prices for all base metals but, with it being the base metal with by far the weakest fundamentals, we had expected the price of aluminium to underperform relative...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.These include an increase in our copper mine disruption estimates, upgrades to our production outlook for Indonesian nickel pig iron (NPI), a smaller refined zinc surplus, and an upgrade to our zinc price forecasts.Aluminium: Big disconnect between price and fundamentalsAluminium has extended its uptrend on the London Metal...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view. We also review our price forecasting accuracy for the second quarter 2020.Q2 2020 price forecast performance review According to the results of Fastmarkets' Apex for the second quarter of 2020 published this week, Fastmarkets' base metals research team was the second most accurate price forecaster for nickel (99.06%), lead...Read More

RESEARCH: Tight markets in US, Europe push HRC prices higher

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Although we correctly forecast a significant rise in hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices in the United States in September 2020, our price forecast proved too conservative.An impressive V-shaped recovery in key economic fundamentals critical to steel consumption is driving stronger demand for steel at the start of the fourth quarte...Read More

RESEARCH: Welded energy pipe producers face higher costs amid weak demand

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Across the regions, producers of welded linepipe and oil-country tubular goods (OCTG) saw their margins shrink with substrate costs increasing in the third quarter of 2020.Many have been attempting to protect margins with higher prices, with varying degrees of success. Europe-origin commodity-grade steel hot-rolled coil and...Read More

RESEARCH: Automotive revival boosts coated steel markets

October 11, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.While steel markets in Asia have demonstrated the most strength with regards to pricing through much of 2020, recent weeks have seen prices in Europe and the United States outperform those elsewhere.In a way, much of this is simply catching up on the gains already made by Asian steelmakers. They were able to obtain higher pri...Read More

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