Daniel R. Amerman, CFAThe traditional reason for investing in gold is to protect from inflation, but history shows that gold has far more valuable uses than if it were just a mere inflation hedge. In this chapter, using six stages of analysis, we will explore a powerful and highly consistent historical relationship between gold and stocks that offers investors the ability to use gold in ways tha...Read More
Stefan GleasonAs the coronavirus spreads fear, sickness, and death, a specter haunts investors - the specter of deflation.Despite central bankers' attempts to push inflation rates higher, equity and commodity markets are collapsing. Inflation expectations as reflected in tanking U.S. Treasury yields, meanwhile, appear headed toward zero - and perhaps even below."I think that we have a real dange...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold 18 week moving average near $1,542, trying to hold the lows here but now need to see what the market does..Read More
A USA Today headline this morning indicated that the Dow was diving as virus concerns counter hope for fiscal steps.U.S. stocks teetered on the edge of a bear market Wednesday as worries persisted over economies reeling from the coronavirus outbreak.""Concerns have grown that a prolonged outbreak may bring on a recession.""Goldman Sachs forecast that the longest ever bull market "will soon end...Read More
Dave KranzlerMake no mistake, the financial system is collapsing under one giant margin call being issued to banks and hedge funds. How big? No one knows. The Fed obviously was preparing for something when it commenced its money printing in September. But it had no idea of the scale of the underlying systemic problems. Coronavirus is not the cause of what's unfolding in the markets - it mere...Read More
David Haggith(March 11, 2020)The bear roared today, ripping the ears off everyone, as the Dow and Russel 2000 both landed more than 20% below their last peak. Their 19-session rampage landed a record as the, steepest, fastest downhill bear run in the history of the US stock market.The market's waterfall run over the cliffs now looks like El Capitan.Of course, the rise of the bear also means the...Read More
Today, after another devastating day in the markets we are going to stand back and take a "big picture" view of what is going on.This is not some ordinary run-of-the mill bearmarket that is starting here - it is the beginning of a devastating collapse that is necessary to clear the system of all the accumulated dross that has built over many years. A "reset" is an apt word to describe it.The rot...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold breaking below the 18-DMA with support coming in below at..Read More
During turbulent times like these, markets can be melting downone day… and zooming higher the next. Gold may serve as a fantastic safe-havenasset one day… but get hammered by futures traders the next.The news cycle can be just as volatile. One report may show thecoronavirus is receding in China, while another may raise alarms about itsspread in other parts of the world.One poll may s...Read More
Deep-pocketed speculators miss the big turns -- but you don't have to Hedge fund managers are considered to be among the smartest people on Wall Street.Ironically, as a group, they're notorious for consistently being on the wrong side of major turns in the markets they trade. By contrast, a group of insiders called Commercials are generally on the right side of major market turns. With that in min...Read More
This is the final part of my Gold price analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020 that was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 Gold Price Trend Forecasts 2019 ReviewSEASONAL ANALYSISQE4EVERUS DOLLARLONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS Gold / SIlver RatioTrend Analysis ELLIOT WAVESGold Price Trend Forecast 2020 Conclusion Formu...Read More
To underscore the volatility of this past week, consider the price action in Silver. Silver, days ago, had a chance to make its highest monthly close since October 2016. That is well over three years ago. Silver closed the week and the month at its lowest levels in six months. One week, precious metals (specifically gold stocks) are on the cusp of a historic breakout, and the next, they are...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Thursday March 12 that are worth another look.Two more steel producers in Italy have stopped operations following the recent nationwide extension of the country's coronavirus-related quarantine area, and more stoppages were expected, sources told Fastmarkets on March 12.Ball Corporation is to acquire Tubex Industria E Comercio de Embalagen...Read More
Last week’s market activity was another reminder that not allprecious metals investments are created equal.Investors worried about a virus outbreak and watching the bloodbath on Wall Street rushed to buy coins, rounds,and bars.As one of the largest and most respected U.S. dealers, MoneyMetals saw the biggest surge of buying activity in years. Clients bought thephysical metal a...Read More
The trend in the European market for hot-rolled coil remained blurry due to the lockdown in Italy intended to restrict the spread of coronavirus, sources told Fastmarkets on Thursday March 12.The consequences of the outbreak of 2019-nCoV coronavirus that led to the lockdown have also resulted in stoppages at some long steel producers in the country.But Fastmarkets' daily steel hot-rolled coil inde...Read More
While viruses are counted among the simplest forms of life, they have quite a bearing on its advanced forms. And the coronavirus epidemic is, unfortunately, alive and well. What are the implications for the gold market?Coronavirus Infects EuropeThe coronavirus epidemic is, unfortunately, making its presence well known. Actually, it spreads quickly around the globe. The worldwide number of confirme...Read More
Gold / SIlver RatioGold price of $1560 divided of by the silver price of $18.07 results in a ratio of 86.3! The historic norm is for around 50. No I am not saying that Silver should trade to a ratio of 50 to Gold anytime soon. I will cover the prospects for the Silver price in a separate analysis.So either Silver is CHEAP or Gold is EXPENSIVE, probably a mixture of both, which implies to expect Go...Read More
The London Metal Exchange three-month price for nickel fell by more than 5% on Thursday March 12, a trading day that saw a 16,000-tonne rewarranting, with the price reaching a high of $12,495 per tonne then crashing to a low of $11,735 per tonne, before closing at $11,830 per tonne.Almost 13,700 nickel lots were traded over the day, which was marked by the rare rewarranting of more than 16,000 ton...Read More
Gold. Silver. Platinum. Palladium. Precious metals mined from the bowels of the earth, refined andvalued for their unique characteristics. Since the beginning of civilization itself,humanity has long held an obsession with what is known colloquially as “bling.” Nowadays rather than adorning ourselves with beads and seashells,we’ve turned to precious metal. If one thing’s fo...Read More
A substantial increase to air-freight costs from China into Europe and the US is weighing on negotiations for indium, germanium and gallium, which are usually shipped as air freight on commercial aircrafts, sources said."Since the coronavirus outbreak started, the cost of shipping by air has almost doubled for all air shipments," a Chinese germanium producer said.Air freight rates generally range...Read More