The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More

The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More

This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More

Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More

Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More

Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More

The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More

In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More

Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More

Over the weekend, President Trump's Department of Government Efficiency head Elon Musk made quite a stir with just two words posted on his social media platform, X. Responding to a post that, "It's time to leave NATO and the UN," Musk replied, "I agree." The comment immediately made the rounds on social media and also on mainstream and alternative media.Was this the Elon Musk who owns X speaking,...Read More

They booed the U.S. national anthem the other night at the Rogers Center in Toronto. Canadians are mad about those Trump tariffs that kick into gear today, March 4th.And despite being in Ontario - aka "Massachusetts West" in terms of politics - this was a throng of WWE fans. That is, the arena was filled with people whose tastes run towards professional wrestling. Not exactly a bunch of lefties, e...Read More

Throughout recent history, every American President has campaigned on a slogan of change.But the promised change never arrived. Until now.Today the bloated federal government is being deflated by President Trump's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).An audit of U.S. gold reserves is in the works. And possibly an audit of the Federal Reserve, too.Meanwhile a rift has split open between the E...Read More

Mainstream political pundits are frothing at the mouth over Trump's overtures to Russia.Trump recently shocked the Western world by stating, "I think Putin will keep his word…I've known him for a long time now. We had to go through the Russian hoax together."President Trump also accused President Zelensky of "gambling with World War 3" in front of a live TV audience. The exchanges between Tr...Read More

Even casual observers know that gold has been trading near all-time highs lately. The dollar price of gold has been trading around $2,955 per ounce, quite close to the all-time closing high and near the recent intraday high just below $3,000 per ounce. Since November 1, 2022, gold has rallied from $1,650 per ounce to $2,955 per ounce, an 80% gain in 28 months.Since the U.S. dollar is also near int...Read More

I've just returned from a two-week visit to India. The above epigram was offered by several of my guides on different occasions. It captures the essence of India perfectly.Many people are completely put off at the thought of visiting India or are repelled when they get there. They focus on the dirt, air pollution, smells, overcrowding, swarms of beggars and street vendors, cars honking in the citi...Read More

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds, isn't known for hyperbole. When he speaks, it's with the weight of decades of market observation, historical analysis, and deep economic thinking. So when he tells Tucker Carlson that the United States is in a kind of civil war, people should listen.This isn't a war of muskets and bayonets but of irreconcilable d...Read More

As investors, it is important to acknowledge our weaknesses.My biggest weakness is that I hate owning overvalued stocks. I look at the S&P 500 today and simply cannot pull the trigger. It's too expensive.As a result, I've left some gains on the table over the past few years, as U.S. stocks soared to the extremes we see today.Take a look at the chart below, which combines seven metrics to show...Read More

President Trump recently issued an executive order instructing the US Mint to stop producing pennies. The reason for this is it costs nearly four cents to produce one penny.That's right: the US government can't even make pennies without losing money! President Trump may have signed the death certificate, but the Federal Reserve is the penny's true killer. Since the Fed's creation, the US dollar ha...Read More

How much gold do you own? The correct answer is: "Not enough."Don't you wish you had some of these? This is a $20 gold coin from 1914, the first year of the Federal Reserve. And back then, just over 110 years ago, gold was $20 per ounce.U.S. $20 gold coin, St. Gaudens, minted 1914. Courtesy U.S. Treasury Dept.Today's gold price is over $2,900, which means that the purchasing power of a dollar over...Read More

The question was framed, according to some historians, by Josef Stalin at the Potsdam Conference. Winston Churchill had suggested that the Pope might be brought in to provide moral backing to the Allies' campaigns against Hitler.Stalin must have wondered how morality would hold up against Panzer tanks."How many divisions does the Pope have?" he allegedly asked.We wish we could be in the room when...Read More

Speculation around the status of America's gold reserves has reached a fever pitch.At CPAC on Saturday President Trump once again shocked the world. He stated that he and Elon were going to Fort Knox to "see if the gold is still there."Then the President took things to another level:Wouldn't it be terrible if we opened it up and there was no gold there? So we're gonna open those doors and if there...Read More

By the early 5th century, the Roman Empire was in decline. Much of its territory had been lost, its monetary system was being debased, and the political system had devolved into chaos.In 452 AD a massive barbarian force led by Attila the Hun had pillaged Europe and was now inside the core of the empire.It didn't seem like Roman forces would be able to stop them.Emperor Valentinian III sent the Pop...Read More

In the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2009, I was obsessed with the risk of a "double-dip" recession.The outlook was bleak. The banks all seemed to be failing, stocks had crashed, housing was belly-up, and the Fed was printing money like mad.So instead of gobbling up cheap tech shares, I was primarily focused on hoarding my (meager) stash of precious metals and preparing for an...Read More

Dylan Thomas, the great Welsh poet, opened his most famous poem thusly:Do not go gentle into that good night,Old age should burn and rave at close of day;Rage, rage against the dying of the light.Europe is alone. And it's her fault. She bought everything the Biden-Harris administration offered her: hook, line, and sinker. It's embarrassing that the "adults in the room" in the EU, supposedly so sch...Read More

Note from Adam: Today we have a guest article from Dr. Ron Paul. In it, he discusses President Trump's proposed cuts to military spending. This issue will have major implications for us all, as both citizens and investors. Simply look at Lockheed Martin shares, which are down 27% from last year's highs. The U.S. economy has become dependent on the military-industrial complex for growth, but at the...Read More

What strange timeline are we living in?Over the holiday Elon Musk sent the gold world into a frenzy.The madman openly questioned whether Fort Knox's gold was still there.Source: XIn his post Elon referenced a separate note from Senator Mike Lee (Utah Republican):As a U.S. senator I've tried repeatedly to get into Fort KnoxFort Knox: "You can't come to Fort Knox."Me: "Why?"Fort Knox: "It's a milita...Read More

As we all know, the US is headed for a fiscal crisis. Like having a 'heart attack,' says Ray Dalio.The only way to prevent it is to make dramatic policy changes now not just to 'improper payments' to federal bureaucrats, but also serious cuts to the firepower industry.Possible? Here's Barrons:Trump Sends Shockwave Through Defense Stocks, Says Military Spending Could Be Halved“At some point...Read More

Jim Rickards' best-selling 2011 book, Currency Wars, was prophetic.He painted a stark picture of the flaws in the modern paper monetary system, warning that "a new crisis of confidence in the dollar is on its way."Although the U.S. dollar has been strong against most other paper currencies for years, it has weakened dramatically against gold.Most people think of gold as a derivative of the U.S. do...Read More

A constant stream of Boeing 737s packed full of gold are flying into America.Much of the bullion is coming from London, where the Bank of England (BoE) is having some... issues delivering its customers' gold.BoE is a major gold depository which claims to hold more than 5,000 metric tonnes of gold in its underground vaults. The precious metal is held for both central banks and commercial groups.But...Read More