The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More

The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More

This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More

Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More

Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More

Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More

The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More

In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More

Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More

Mark your calendar for tomorrow, Wednesday, April 23, at 2pm Eastern Time for a live broadcast from Jekyll Island, Georgia, where the U.S. Federal Reserve was conceived. Tune in, at no cost to you.Paradigm Press Group is hosting a special, online, subscribers-only event at ground zero of the U.S. dollar as we know it (yes, "as we know it" because it used to be something very different). We'll come...Read More

AI is set to usher in a new industrial revolution.To prepare, I've been brushing up on past industrial revolutions, starting with the first one, which took place from around 1750 to 1830.A few of the more disruptive inventions from this period include:Steam enginesMechanized factoriesPower looms (textiles)Stocking frames (knitting)Coke smelting (iron tech)The adoption of these tools completely cha...Read More

According to the latest survey of fund managers by Bank of America, 49% say that gold is the most crowded trade.This marks the first time in 2 years that the Magnificent 7 tech stocks did not top the "overcrowded" survey.However, there's a problem here. The fund managers responding to this survey clearly don't know much about the gold market. My guess is they have not positioned their clients for...Read More

Gold may be the crown jewel of precious metals, rising during economic uncertainty, but silver has repeatedly proven itself to be the underdog ready to take the throne. History reveals a compelling trend where silver, initially lagging behind gold during its surges, catches up with dramatic flair, often delivering returns 2 to 5 times greater.For investors seeking both safety and explosive potenti...Read More

For decades, Asia traded freedom for prosperity.Its model rapid industrialization, export-led growth, and iron-fisted governance was held up as a new gold standard. Western elites applauded it. Economists wrote glowing case studies. CEOs lined up to outsource.But behind the sleek GDP numbers and glittering skylines was a system built on suppressed wages, crushed dissent, and one crucial assump...Read More

There will be no hot war between the U.S. and China. No "Battle of Beijing".With both sides armed with nuclear missiles, this is an impossibility.Technically, there could be a proxy war via Taiwan. But this is also highly unlikely. Too much World War III risk. Plus, the Taiwanese have witnessed what happened in Ukraine, and are not keen to be next in line.Trade is the field where this contest will...Read More

For the past few years, the world has been infected with a common strain of tech stock fever.Symptoms include buying stocks at 50x revenue, chasing a handful of big names to ridiculous prices, and believing the bull market can last forever.This particular strain of tech mania has been around for centuries:Railway mania, England 1840s, U.S. 1860 – 1870sElectricity and telephone boom, U.S. 188...Read More

Happy April 15th. Remember to file your tax return, or else file for an extension. (Okay, that's my public service announcement for the day.) And welcome to many new subscribers who have joined us in recent weeks. Now, on to business.This note pertains to President Trump's tariff schedules; or rather, his on-again, off-again tariff schedules. They come, they go. They get put in place, the stock ma...Read More

Millions of people around the world were at the edge of their seats over the weekend, waiting to hear whether Trump special envoy Steve Witkoff's indirect talks with the Iranian foreign minister would ratchet down tensions or would break down and bring on a major Middle East war.If it seems bizarre that the outcome of a meeting between a US president's designated negotiator and a foreign governmen...Read More

Global markets have reached a day of reckoning. This has been decades in the making. Now, massive changes are sweeping the world.No, what we're seeing in the markets is not "normal." Instead, this is the:Moment precious metal investors have been waiting forBirth of a multipolar world order (U.S. is no longer the sole superpower)Start of a very uncertain period for bonds and fiat currencyPeak of gl...Read More

The bull is dead.But no one's told your portfolio yet.Volatility is flaring. Headlines are swinging from panic to euphoria. One day it's a crash, the next it's a 10% rally. Every move feels like a trap.Trump announced a 90-day pause on most tariffs two days ago a headline that lit up screens and triggered a wave of panic buying.But the truth is, the pause doesn't matter.The tariffs don't matter....Read More

There's good news and bad news today.Bad news first...Not 1 in 100,000 Americans have a clue about what's really going on under the surface of the financial markets this week.They see tariff headlines, talking heads, Trump tweets, whipsaw markets... but they don't have a clue as to the "underwater earthquake" that just happened on Monday.Good news...If you want to be in the top 99.9% of understand...Read More

Over the past six months, we've shared many investment ideas.Most are working out well. Gold, silver, tobacco. Even Brazil is holding up pretty well compared to the rest of the market. We've recommended raising cash and limiting exposure to U.S. stocks.However, there is one investment idea I proposed which needs an update due to recent developments.Chinese technology stocks...Beijing in Trump's Cr...Read More

You know the basics: Last week President Trump proclaimed something called "Liberation Day." He then way over-fulfilled his campaign promises and whacked the entire world with tariffs (even on islands with only flocks of penguins), and markets fell off a cliff.Indeed, if there's one thing about Donald Trump, it's his unsubtle approach. He speaks bluntly and this triggers some people. In this case,...Read More

During the crash of 2020, we got a brief but beautiful buying window in precious metals.In March of 2020, during the COVID collapse, gold suddenly dropped from $1,700 per ounce to $1,450.Here's a chart showing the price action of gold in 2020. Note the buying window in March (when it appeared the world was ending).It was a brief window, fueled by pure panic in markets. It made no sense for gold an...Read More

Crashes like this one are fire sale scenarios. Everything goes.For the most part, it doesn't matter how cheap or insulated the asset is. Even hedges like gold and silver get sold. Panic rules the day.This is the stage where leverage unwinds, and it does so violently. In other words, all the people who were long stocks on margin (debt) either sell or get liquidated. Price becomes irrelevant. Gettin...Read More

The market's unraveling and you can feel it in your chest.The S&P is down 4% and the Dow and tech-heavy Nasdaq aren't far behind.Your screen is a sea of red. Maybe your palms are sweating. Maybe you're frozen, just staring at the numbers, thinking about your portfolio and 401k.You're not alone. Right now, everyone's trying to figure out what just happened.President Trump announced sweeping n...Read More

President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping import tariffs what he dubbed "Liberation Day" has caused the expected ruckus in global financial markets. And rightly so. This isn't some light policy tweak. It's a full-blown trade regime reset.As of April 5, a universal 10% baseline tariff on all imports into the United States will go into effect. Days later, a raft of reciprocal tariffs as high...Read More

Most Holy Spirit, who didst broodupon the chaos dark and rude,and bid its angry tumult cease,and give, for wild confusion, peace:O hear us when we cry to theefor those in peril on the sea. Traditional HymnBon Voyage!A man in a wheelchair, pushed by his gray-haired wife, rolled into the dining hall. Already, there were hundreds of people, similarly aged, having dinner. The staff almost all from t...Read More

Today, of all days, we'll discuss confiscated gold and space alien technology, because both are an ongoing source of public mystery.Some years ago, in the mid-2000s, I visited the Pentagon to meet with several high-level Air Force officials and staff. We discussed with something mundane, namely aviation fuel and related issues that concern U.S. military supply chains. I had been writing about oil...Read More