After the recent bout of volatility, a risk-off environment seems to be taking shapeMarkets continued to be headline-driven and pressured by the ongoing "trade war" with China this past week. The S&P 500 Index (SPX - 2,859.53) opened sharply lower to begin the week and traded down to the round 2,800 support level -- briefly eclipsing a garden-variety 5% pullback from the all-time high we put in on...Read More
Nasdaq futures are pointing to a rough day for tech stocks Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) are pointed toward a negative open, as Alphabet (GOOGL) and other tech giants have begun taking steps to cut ties with China's Huawei Technologies, only days after President Donald Trump banned U.S. companies from supplying components to the telecommunications name. Several chipmakers with...Read More
Gold and silver dropping back again late last week had investors in the Precious Metals sector feeling despondent, especially as their fears were magnified by at least one analyst calling for gold to drop to the low $900's or even lower, which is normal when prices sink, but our charts are instead suggesting that gold and silver are close to completing giant bottoming patterns that started to fo...Read More
May 17th, 2019(S14-E696)Featured GuestsGerald Celente& Louis NavellierPlease Listen HereInterview RecapTrends Research Institute's Gerald Celente returns with a new daily video podcast Trends Vision 2020.US equities indexes recorded new records last month on the heels of fresh monetary stimulus.Policymakers will likely revamp US shares ahead of a forecasted market swoon sometime near the 2020...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinFull out (trade) warfare with China. Monthly gold chart - stuck in sideways action for years:Read More
By: Avi GilburtAs I watched and traded the market action over the last several weeks, I witnessed something quite amazing. Yet, this was not the first time I have seen this.Each time the market was set up for a smaller change of directional move, a news event or a "tweet" seemed to have come out at almost the exact time we need to see the market change direction.While many saw the news as affect...Read More
So how does Game of Thrones end? Never having watched the show, I couldn't care less. But thirty million fans evidently do. We haven't seen America this worked up about so trivial a concern since Kristin Shephard shot J.R. Ewing nearly 40 years ago in a landmark episode of Dallas. TV was free back then, and so the audience worldwide was more than ten times that of Game of Thrones. Could th...Read More
The failure of the XAU index to rise is a potential warning sign for gold.Mining stock traders apparently aren't convinced gold is ready to rally.Silver continues to lag gold, as both metals face serious obstacles.Despite a recent attempt at bottoming, gold's revival attempt has been hindered by a serious lack of confirmation from its peers. Specifically, gold's "sister" metal silver has shown...Read More
Gold is a necessary hedge against inflation and monetary debasement.I recommend a 10% portfolio allocation based on past Sharpe ratio analysis and current trends.If implemented, MMT will be an inflationary catalyst that lifts gold to new highs.John Maynard Keynes called it a barbarous relic. Warren Buffett said it has no utility. It's a curious yellow metal that miners dig out of the ground only t...Read More
Aluminium's three-month price on the London Metal Exchange dropped by nearly 2% at the close of trading on Monday May 20, falling below its nearby $1,800 per tonne support level on the news that Norsk Hydro's Alunorte alumina refinery in Brazil has been allowed to resume full operations. Brazilian authorities ended the final production embargo on the facility earlier this afternoon and Alunor...Read More
The London Metal Exchange has decided on a dispute over when the load-in, load-out (LILO) rule should have been activated, ruling in favor of warehouse company Istim. People familiar with the situation said that the warehousing firm had been found to have acted vigorously and without delay in its dealings with Glencore at its warehouses in Port Klang, Malaysia, following large cancellations of alu...Read More
Silver ended the week closing at its lows, now down to $14.40/oz.The trend is also down for silver stocks since peaking in Q1.Caution is warranted at this time since risks are heightened for individual company failure (particularly producers) in a low price environment where profit margins have been greatly eroded.Hecla Mining and Coeur Mining are just two examples of companies currently going thr...Read More
The three-month nickel price on the London Metal Exchange fell by 0.7% below its traditional support level of $12,000 per tonne during morning trading on Monday May 20, although thin trading volumes have capped further downside movement. The metal's futures price was recently traded at $11,910 per tonne. Despite total LME stocks remaining at a seven-year low at just 164,100 tonnes, commodity trade...Read More
U.S.Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) introduced legislation this week to providefor the first audit of United States gold reserves since the EisenhowerAdministration.The Gold Reserve Transparency Act (H.R. 2559) – backed bythe Sound Money Defense League and government accountability advocates –directs the Comptroller of the United States to conduct a “full assay,inventory, and a...Read More
The roller coaster presidency of Donald Trump is currently riding high as thestock market races back up to new highs, economic data come in better thanexpected, and Congressional Democrats’ endless investigations come up emptyhanded.Trump’s approval rating recently hit 50% at the same time asCNN’s ratings are tanking.Over the weekend, President Trump sent CNNand the rest of the &...Read More
Crude oil has had an eventful session yesterday. It has closed the opening gap and the bulls have been building upon their gains till the session’s close. Earlier today however, the price appears to be rolling over and heading south. Is all hope for higher oil lost? The bulls have shown to be quite tireless. Can they pull a rabbit out of their hats shortly?Let’s take a closer look at t...Read More
Several weeks ago we wrote about the downside risk in the gold stocks. After the various gold stock indices formed distribution-type tops, the subsequent selling has been swift. Miners have plunged through moving averages and short-term breadth indicators quickly reached oversold extremes. While the gold stocks are oversold, it could be a little while before we can expect a sustained rebound. We p...Read More
Precious Metals traders have been hanging on every turn in the markets over the past 2+ years. The upside price move in early 2016 setup a very strong expectation that further upside price moves were about to result in an upside price explosion in metals. Remember, 2016 was a very big US Presidential election year. 2020, being the next big US Presidential election year, is only a...Read More
I was going through some old long term charts I haven’t posted in many years to see if there was anything of interest to post tonight. With long term charts things don’t change very fast and the big picture can stay viable for years. I have literally hundreds of charts for the different PM stock indexes that I’ve built through the years that are tucked away in different chart lis...Read More
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.Coming up we have an eye-opening interview with Bill Holter of JS Mineset. Bill weighs in host of topics including our incredibly broken and phony markets, the truth behind why governments hate gold so much, and the real reasons why China and Russia are eagerly amassing huge gold positions.Bill also highlights some tell-tale...Read More