It lookslike crude oil is set for a sizable weekly decline. After yesterday’s plunge,the market looks to have stabilized today. But is it really so? In today’sanalysis, we’re bringing you the details. We objectively reveal what to expectnext. Either the bulls or the bears won’t like it. Who do you think it’ll be?Let’s takea closer look at the chart below (charts...Read More
TheWhite House and Congress finally agreed to put their significant differencesaside and work together on something constructive, no pun intended. OnWednesday it was announced that President Trump and Democratic congressionalleaders plan to spend $2 trillion on US roads, bridges, powergrids, water and broadband infrastructure -bricks and mortar priorities that are sorely underfunded in both the Un...Read More
“The US dollar will collapse or it will be replaced by another currency” – we hear such statements all the time. Are they true? We decided to check these claims – so we invite you to read our today’s article about the US dollar’s international supremacy and find out whether the greenback’s demise is likely in the foreseeable future. Let’s also draw i...Read More
Sector expert Michael Ballanger reviews recent movements in precious metals and discusses how he is playing the market. Last week I sent out my uber-bullish call on the metals and miners at the conclusion of a period fraught with doom and despair for all things gold and silver. The criminality of the interventionists was in full bloom as they bombed gold down through that critical "Line in the San...Read More
Platinum, after making what appears to be a wash-out low in August 2018, now looks poised to be a precious metal leader, writes fund manager John Newell at Fieldhouse Capital Management. What is Platinum: Platinum is a precious transition metal that has the chemical symbol Pt and an atomic number of 78 on the periodic table. Platinum is grayish white in color and is often mistaken for silver. Plat...Read More
As we know, Gold and the US Dollar have an inverse relationship. Gold is priced in US Dollars and the drivers of each are similar (from an inverse point of view). Over long-term periods both trend in the same direction but the magnitude of the moves can vary and be quite different. The standard inverse relationship has not been a perfect one in recent months or years. In the chart below we plot Go...Read More
The silver market appears to be setting up for a big move. After spending this spring stair-stepping lower in a narrowingrange, silver prices have formed a falling wedge pattern. That pattern usuallyresolves in a powerful directional breakout. The good news for bulls is thatfalling wedges usually break out to the upside. Commercial hedgers and bullion banks (i.e., “smart money&rdqu...Read More
Our proprietary price cycle tool is showing us that the Daily Gold cycles may dive a bit lower, possibly into the $1250 to $1265 level, over the next 3~7+ days before reaching an ultimate low. We’ve been covering the precious metals markets like hawks because of our proprietary price modeling tools that suggested the April 21~24 dates as an ultimate low/momentum base pattern. Thi...Read More
After an interesting week and to allow more focus on charting the miners this weekend, we again offload much of the NFTRH Precious Metals segment’s content to the public site. The following is (hopefully) going to be long on charts and relatively short on words (sighs of relief palpable…).HUI/Gold Ratio is intact to its higher lows from September. This was a logical bounce point for g...Read More
Gold has failed to gaintraction over the past couple months, normally a seasonally-strong time. That has really weighed on sentiment, leavingtraders increasingly bearish. Goldinvestment demand has flagged dramatically with lofty stock markets spewinggreat euphoria. That’s given gold-futuresspeculators the run of the market, where they have sold aggressively includingextreme...Read More
As always, most analysts focus not on what they really should. After March FOMC meeting, everyone was talking about the more dovish dot-plot. But the Fed also announced that it will end the unwinding of its balance sheet in September. As these changes are revolutionary and may entail potentially huge consequences for the precious markets, we invite you to read our today’s article about the n...Read More
The Turkish deep-sea scrap market became quiet again at the beginning of the week with suppliers withdrawing their offers, after news was heard of the removal of an additional US import tariff on steel imports from Turkey, sources said on Monday May 20.The United States lowered its tariff on steel imports from Turkey to 25%, from the previous 50%, with effect from May 17.This essentially removed t...Read More
I am not sure how much more I can add to what has been said over the last two weeks in the metals complex.At this point in time, it is quite clear that the metals are testing support.As specifically noted about silver, the 14.60 support region is what I want to see holding as support here.While I can accept a spike and reversal of that level, a sustained break of that level opens the door to a 13...Read More
Last month, Trump said that he considered Herman Cain and Stephen Moore as his picks to the Federal Reserve Board. As the former had withdrawn his name from consideration, the focus shifted to the latter. Who is Mr. Moore exactly and what would his nomination imply for the gold market?Who Are You, Mr. Moore? There are still two vacancies at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board of Go...Read More
The market for exports of hot-rolled coil (HRC) and cold-rolled coil (CRC) from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) was frozen on Monday May 20 because suppliers preferred wait for more clarity to emerge in Turkey, the key outlet."[The CIS] mills are mostly sold out for June production, and they have time to wait until some clarity appears in Turkey," one trader told Fastmarkets.The Unite...Read More
Konkola Copper Mines (KCM), the copper-producing arm of global miner Vedanta Resources in Zambia, is under threat from the president of the African country of a possible takeover of its copper assets amid disputes arising from the country's new tax regime.Zambian president Edgar Lungu said on Sunday May 19 that the government plans to disengage with KCM and invoke a legal process, according to loc...Read More
Brazilian aluminium producer Companhia Brasileira de Alum?-nio's (CBA) net sales revenue grew by 13.9% on an annual basis in the first quarter, despite lower sales volumes and London Metal Exchange prices, thanks to higher value-added product and surplus energy sales, the company said on Friday May 17. CBA reported 1.33 billion Reais ($324 million) in net revenues in the first three months of the...Read More
Market participants saw little immediate change to aluminium premiums in Europe on Monday May 20 following the US government's removal of its 10% Section 232 tariff on aluminium imports from Canada and Mexico at the end of last week. Fastmarkets assessed the Rotterdam P1020 duty-unpaid in-warehouse premium at $85-90 per tonne Monday, unchanged from last Friday. The duty-paid premium was...Read More
The London Metal Exchange has decided on a dispute over when the load-in, load-out (LILO) rule should have been activated, ruling in favor of warehouse company Istim. People familiar with the situation said that the warehousing firm had been found to have acted vigorously and without delay in its dealings with Glencore at its warehouses in Port Klang, Malaysia, following large cancellations of alu...Read More
Massive amounts of scrap metal are being held at Malaysian ports for unprecedented inspections and multiple copper cargoes still at sea are being diverted to other Asian countries at big discounts, sources told Fastmarkets. The bulk of the cargoes comprise insulated copper wires (ICW), as well as scrap motors, a Malaysian copper scrap buyer said. This type of copper scrap typically comes with a pl...Read More