Expectations for a recovery in Brazilian steel demand this year have been postponed to 2020 since the economy did not grow as previously forecast, national steel institute A??o Brasil said on Thursday December 5.The institute forecast apparent steel consumption at 21.78 million tonnes next year, a 5.2% increase from the 20.71 million tonnes expected in 2019. This year's outlook was cut f...Read More

I can remember there were times during the PM complex bull market before 2011 that sometimes the PM metals would rally but the PM stocks were very weak. Then there were times when the PM stock would rise while the PM metals moved very little. At the time of those occurrences it was bewildering as common sense suggested they should all move together and the stronger the metals moved so should the P...Read More

With competition in the global steel markets still fierce, Fastmarkets provides an update on the new, progressing and closed trade cases from around the world in November 2019.1. US: stainless pressure pipe from China, Malaysia, Thailand and VietnamRead More

Through the first half of 2019, silver significantlyunderperformed gold. Put another way, gold gained relative to silver –culminating in the gold:silver ratio registering a 27-year high of 95:1. That market signal was received by the mining industry. Sincethere are few primary silver producers, and those that do mine silver alsotypically mine gold and some base metals, precious metals miners...Read More

Key data from the pricing sessions in Asia, Europe and the United States for the week ended Friday December 6. China Domestic 75-grade alloy prices dropped for the first time since late September in response to the bearish outlook for the forthcoming steel mill tender prices for deliveries of 72-grade alloy, in addition to falling downstream magnesium prices and persistent weak exports.Sentiment...Read More

Global scrap prices in most major markets moved upward during the week ended Friday December 6, due to good demand and a shortage of material in some locations. Prices jump in Turkey on newest tradesUS market activity picks up at higher pricesIndian price move up on material shortagePrices continue to move up in VietnamTaiwan maintains strong demand and solid pricesTurkeyTurkish steel mills booked...Read More

The ISM Manufacturing index fell 0.2 point to areading of 48.1 in November. However, gold struggles to find momentum. What isgoing on exactly? U.S.Manufacturing Sector Slumps FurtherThe Institute for Supply Management announced that its index of national factoryactivity dropped from 48.3 in October to 48.1 last month. The number was belowexpectations and it also remained below the 50 threshold, in...Read More

Gold COT Report - Futures Large SpeculatorsCommercialTotal LongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort 346,52555,82093,891203,920526,707644,336676,418 Change from Prior Reporting Period 21,2392,16836912,37229,69233,98032,229 Traders 20552745053280158 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 56,68024,598701,016 -2,232-48131,748 non reportable positionsChang...Read More

Gold has been correcting following last summer's powerful bull-breakout upleg. Since peaking, gold has inexorably drifted lower in a well-defined downtrend. Traders are wondering when this necessary and healthy sentiment-rebalancing selloff will bottom, paving the way for gold's next upleg. But this correction still has a ways to run, according to speculators' gold-futures positioning wh...Read More

Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTAA few weeks ago we noted the bullish setup for 2020.Macro developments, one way or another will tend to favor Gold. There isn't a realistic scenario that isn't Gold bullish.Note the comments from various Fed-heads last week. They are laying the groundwork to target higher than 2% inflation and won't consider raising rates anytime soon.And if they have to resume cutting...Read More

- Gary SavageGold market update: Signs of a similar H1-2019 pattern? Similar pattern emerging to earlier this year with gold now reversing higher with higher lows and higher highs -- we are starting to stair-step up. Banks going to get stuck in another short squeeze? All the poor saps who sold out at the intermediate bottom..December 5th video update.Gary Savagehttp://blog.smartmoney...Read More

Gary TanashianWe all know that the gold and silver Commitments of Traders are very extended and at levels of commercial net shorts and large spec net longs that tend to be in place at tops in the metals. Well, the metals topped in the summer, so what does that tell us?For one thing it tells us that bull market rules are different from bear market rules as per this post from August as gold was to...Read More

Originally published on Sat Nov 30 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: I want to take you back a bit in time so you can develop the appropriate perspective of a bottoming process in the metals market. - Avi GilburtFor those of you that were with us back towards the end of 2015, you may remember that I was being quite vocal of the fact that I was heavily buying mining stocks. In fact,...Read More

After today's US November nonfarm payrolls, traders will take positions for next week's FOMC meet. NFP will give hint on next week's FOMC meet. Look into US economy and global economy in totality and not just from interest rate perspective. UK election and December 15 deadline for US-China trade deal will also be under close scrutiny by traders and investors alike. US president Trump and his imp...Read More

Brazil's domestic rebar price was unchanged in December while market participants braced for an upcoming hike in January amid higher demand.Fastmarkets assessed the price for steel reinforcing bar (rebar) domestic monthly, delivered Brazil at 2,220-2,320 Reais ($528-552) per tonne on Friday December 6, unchanged from the previous month but up by 1.7% from 2,165-2,300 Reais per...Read More

When gold’s price reached $850 per ounce in January 1980, it seemed as if nothing would stop the runaway train that was headed straight for $1000 per ounce. But it was stopped, and began sliding downhill quickly.By June 1982, two and one-half years later, gold’s price had declined by sixty-five percent. At close to $300 per ounce, the price of gold seemed farther away from the $1000 ma...Read More

Our research and predictive modeling systems have nailed Gold over the past 15+ months.  We expected Gold to rally above $1750 before the end of this year, but the global trade wars and news cycles stalled the rally in Gold over the past 2 months.  Now, it appears Gold is poised for another rally pushing much higher. But wait, if you’re thinking I’m just another one of those...Read More

Justwhen most traders thought that the previous week is going to end in the red forgold, something exceptional happened. The USD Index reversed after rallying,and gold rallied sharply in response. In the end, gold ended the week in thegreen by forming a clear weekly reversal. Thatwas actually the second weekly reversal that we saw recently. Why is thisimportant? Because of what happened shortly af...Read More

Domestic prices for hot-rolled coil in Northern Europe edged up on Friday December 6, but transaction prices are expected to soon rise more significantly, sources told Fastmarkets. Fastmarkets' steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Northern Europe, was ?,?432.6 ($478.11) per tonne on December 6, edging up from ?,?431.63 per tonne on Thursday.The calculation is based on "workable" pri...Read More

Crudeoil futures declined sharply on Friday. The steep slide’s result was a breakdown below the lower border ofthe rising green trend channel. As the prices closed the day below theformation, it’s clearly a bearish development. Despitethis setback, the bulls opened the week with a green gap, which has triggeredmodest improvement in the following hours. The bulls are fighting to invalid...Read More