The invalidations of breakouts andbreakdowns are strong signals in the opposite direction, and we just saw themthroughout the market – also in gold. The gold price has recently invalidated its small breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacciretracement level, which is a strong bearish sign. If it was just gold where wesaw this kind of performance, we could say it was by chance.However, since we saw...Read More
Physical gold and silver will never become worthless. This fact does not make for much of a marketing pitch. But given recent events, this is a much more important feature than it looks at first glance.Americans, and investors around the world, live in an age of collapsing confidence in institutions. The bubble economy built on zero interest rates by out-of-control central bankers appears to be in...Read More
The HUI rally has hit the logical resistance target where the 200 day moving average meets clear lateral resistance. It has done so in a not particularly overbought fashion due to the chop and grind it took to get here off the lows of the shaded bottoming pattern that we established and tracked in NFTRH over the last several weeks. Now what for the HUI rally (and gold stocks in general)? Well, any...Read More
Over the past two years, there have been some wild and crazy things happen with regard to premiums charged and paid for various physical silver investment products. For the privilege of owning silver in certain specific forms, investors are paying through the nose; and, apparently, willingly so. WHY? Is the cash burning holes in their pockets? I just completed a review of current market premiums...Read More
The primary regulator of the rises and falls in oil's prices is market psychology As I write on the morning of Friday, Nov. 18, crude oil is on track for its second weekly decline.The financial media usually finds "reasons" for a market's price action that are rooted in "market fundamentals," and this decline in oil's price was no exception.On Thurs., Nov. 17, a CNBC headline noted:Oil falls on e...Read More
Expert Clive Maund reviews silver's 4-month, 1-year, and 5-year charts to tell you where he believes the future is headed for this precious metal. When the dollar broke down over a week ago, silver joined gold in breaking higher, as we can see on its 4-month chart below, and now we are seeing a normal post-breakout reaction as the dollar rallies somewhat to relieve the extreme condition that resul...Read More
For someone who uses the bond markets as important indicators to the macro analysis, I am the furthest thing from an astute bond trader and am certainly not a bond investor. This probably owes to the fact that my earliest (gold bug) training in the markets was with an eye toward the dangers of debt in a fiat driven system.In other words, how could I take seriously the debt of a government hopeless...Read More
With the breakdown of the U.S. dollar, expert Clive Maund reviews charts for gold, copper, and palladium to tell you where he believes the metals are headed and which he thinks you should buy. The last update was prescient as it called for a major breakdown in the dollar and breakouts by gold and silver, all of which happened just days later. If this were 2010 or 2011, this update would have gene...Read More
While comparing gold and bitcoin givessome idea of the patterns in the market, can the slide of junior miners bepredicted by the same method?Those of you who have been following myanalyses for a while may be expecting me to write that it is based on the stockmarket's rally and thus only temporary, as miners will follow gold soonerrather than later. That’s their ultimate source of revenue (cu...Read More
An unusually warm October has helped natural gas inventories, but gas prices don't seem to believe it. Oil has seen three days of heavy selling volume ending with a hammer candle stick Monday. Birchcliff, Callon, and Earthstone should benefit. Gold stocks have started a new bull market. The question is, will the gold price confirm it?The HUI index ran from a low of 180.41 on November 3, 2022, to a...Read More
Oil, like just about everything else that is related to the markets, bottomed around the March / April 2020 pandemic crash low. The oil complex had been one of the worst performing areas even underperforming the PM complex if that is possible. When oil did bottom it did so in dramatic fashion capitulating hard to the downside in one last climatic thrust.I built a few new combo chart this weekend,...Read More
We think we know most (if not, all) of what we need to know about gold. Investors do their research and marketers spin their best yarn(s). Support is offered with an amazing array of fundamental and technical factors on display for all to see. But what are we not seeing? NORMALCY BIAS DEFINITIONnormalcy bias (noun)“The phenomenon of disbelieving one’s situation when fac...Read More
Last week was full of events, but themost important one clarified after Friday’s closing bell – gold formed areversal “shooting star” candlestick.The implications are just as you thinkthey are. After a sharp run-up, the rally has run its course, and the yellowmetal is now about to slide again.Let’s take a closer look. Gold AnalysisThecorrective upswing was quite sizab...Read More
The macro market and economic backdrop continues to pivot favorable for the gold mining sectorThe risk/reward for gold stocks has been very good after 2.5 years of correction that, contrary to what a majority of gold bugs think, was very valid amid the post-pandemic cycle of cyclical inflation. I won’t review the details about why here, as it is beyond the scope of this article and I’v...Read More
History tends to repeat itself, andmining stocks appear to be repeating their 2008 performance, which has veryinteresting implications.Why do I think that gold miners arerepeating their 2008 price patterns? Please take a look at the below chart. The only times when gold stocks declinedsimilarly sharply as they did this year were in 2013 and in 2008.Given that the situation in stocks appears to be...Read More
There's a move to cover the silver market shorts, so as not to be left holding the 'hot potato' when this all starts to unravel...Vince Lanci with Chris Marcus of Arcadia EconomicsZoltanPoszar recently wrote about the possibility of Russia responding to the G7 oil price cap by selling its oil for gold. Which is far from a done deal, but not entirely outside of the trend we've seen with a growing l...Read More
The Fed has raised interest rates, and gold & silver...(by Half Dollar) The Fed has officially just concluded its most recent 2-day FOMC meeting.Here's the Fed's statement, posted in its entirety (bold added for emphasis and commentary):Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Infla...Read More
A shocker... by Steve St Angelo of SRSrocco ReportThe U.S. government just released its November Treasury Statement with a shocker that the Debt-Service Interest Expense surged 50% in the first two months. This is a great deal of money when it equals nearly the same value for World Transparent Silver Holdings.So, how much did the U.S. Interest Expense increase in the first two months of fiscal...Read More
In September, Marathon updated its initial capex estimate for Valentine by 57% to C$470 million to $490 million, compared with the $305 million estimate in its April 2021 feasibility.Read More
Look beyond market approach to project valuations: van ZylLeadershipGlobal Atomic homes in on Dasa financingSPONSOREDglobal atomic corpDenison eyeing low-cost in-situ recovery in Canada's high-grade Athabasca BasinSPONSOREDdenison minesUranium revival takes off as reality hits on energy, geopoliticsSPONSOREDThe miner will buy 22.2 million shares at 18c per share, a 26% premium to the five-day...Read More