The precious metals all soared in 2025, and while a continued monetary expansion and geopolitical risk could still drive gains especially for gold in 2026, a pullback in silver, platinum and palladium is possible after recent partly speculative surges.Read More

The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More

The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More

This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More

Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More

Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More

Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More

The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More

In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More

Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More

Welcome to 2026 and a new year with Paradigm Press. We all hope that you had a good holiday season, and perhaps took some time off to relax, recharge and regroup. Many thanks for subscribing. And now, let's get back to work and make some money, right?Over the past couple of weeks, I pondered what to discuss in my kickoff article for the year. I thought I'd write about President Trump and his new f...Read More

The geopolitical chessboard, after two decades of relative calm, is heating up again.Major powers are maneuvering their pieces, looking to secure their own interests and spheres of influence.China is eyeing Taiwan and expanding its reach worldwide. Russia is on the verge of winning in Ukraine, and taking a big chunk of territory. Putin also appears to have aims of bringing neighboring allies into...Read More

Look at that. We log off for a few days, and absolute chaos breaks out in silver.On Sunday December 28th, silver briefly traded over $83/oz here in the U.S. It's currently trading at $72.67. That's up sharply from $29 at the beginning of 2025.What a crazy few weeks to end the year for precious metal bugs.Today we're going to look at what happened with silver, and explain why the bullish case is st...Read More

This past month was dominated by domestic and international political issues with volatile headwinds impacting markets. Let's survey the landscape to see what these key stories are. Some of them are well-known but have hidden twists. Others are not well-known at all but will have equal or greater weight as time goes on.The Political Affordability WarThe largest single political issue continues to...Read More

Long before Powell "paused," Lagarde fibbed, or Yellen got lost mid-sentence, one man quietly built an economy of trust with fire, gold, and grit.His name was Saint Eligius. You probably haven't heard of him unless you’re a medieval goldsmith or a devout Catholic with a taste for obscure hagiographies. But I'd argue he did more for monetary integrity than any central banker alive today.Eli...Read More

It may seem odd to hate a stock index. After all, it's just a model of company shares used by fund managers to build ETFs and mutual funds.But once you learn the truth about the Russell 2000 small cap index, you just might hate it like I do.Today we're going to explore why the Russell 2000 makes a bad foundation for any investment vehicle.Misleading Stats (at Best)Historically, small cap stocks te...Read More

In 1975, an engineer at Kodak invented the world's first digital camera.The prototype took 23 seconds to capture a black and white picture. The image was stored on a cassette tape and could be displayed on a television.The technology was primitive, but clearly had potential. Still, digital cameras would threaten Kodak's lucrative film photography business. So Kodak executives ditched the project.A...Read More

Greetings, Morning Reckoneers! I hope you had a good Christmas last week. And of course, this week brings 2025 to a close and kicks off the next year of the calendar. Make Calendars Great Again, right?As the week unfolds, you'll notice that your inbox is light on content from Paradigm Press. Some articles are reruns and "best of" items because just about everybody is taking a few days to go easy,...Read More

In 1970, silver traded at around $1.60 per ounce. By its peak in 1980, it reached $49.45. An incredible 30x return.The story of how it got there is full of intrigue and conspiracy. We'll get to that. But first, a little background is in order.Monetary demand for silver had collapsed after the U.S. and other countries stopped using it in coins in 1965. Before that, America's dimes and quarters were...Read More

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), the 121-year-old car maker, announced a $19.5 billion write off of its electric vehicle (EV) segment. That's an enormous amount of cash to send to money heaven.This was bad news for the U.S. EV market. Ford targeted electric trucks, to capitalize on its super popular F-150 model. However, the government killed the EV tax break. That curbed interest of U.S. car buyers...Read More

Prediction markets are the next big thing.Online marketplaces where you can bet on almost anything.For example, will the U.S. seize another Venezuelan oil tanker by December 31st? Right now Polymarket speculators assign a 29% chance to this outcome.Source: PolymarketHere's how it works. If you think that the U.S. will seize another Venezuelan ship by the end of year, you buy a "yes" contract at ar...Read More

Dear Santa... Forgive my lateness in writing.I know that Christmas Eve is tomorrow, and by now you've probably packed the sleigh, filed your flight plan with the FAA, and coordinated airspace deconfliction with NORAD.F-15s - in full afterburner! - escort Santa Claus. Courtesy the-ugliest-person-in-the-world-pic.blogspot.com/2023/01/santa-claus-aircraft.htmlThat's why I'm sending you this email, ve...Read More

Fudai is a quiet fishing town in coastal Japan.When the devastating 2011 tsunami hit, Fudai was the only village in the area left intact.It wasn't luck. This miracle was due to preparation.In the 1970s Fudai's mayor, Kotoku Wamura, proposed a floodgate to stop tsunamis. Many called him crazy. They said it was a waste of money.But Mayor Wamura remembered the devastating waves of 1933, which killed...Read More

There is a metal boom coming and you won't believe it. It's not gold, silver, platinum or palladium. And when it goes up, it's going to make a lot of our daily lives more expensive.In the 1800's the "silver from clay" was more expensive than gold. The light, silvery metal was so rare that architects crowned the Washington Monument in D.C. with a six-pound pyramidal capstone.The metal, if you haven...Read More

Quick – what's the best performing stock of all time?Microsoft? Apple? NVIDIA? Ford? IBM?Nope, not even close.The answer might surprise you.It's Philip Morris, the maker of Marlboro cigarettes and other tobacco products.A $1 investment in Philip Morris in 1925 would be worth around $2.5 million today (with dividends reinvested).Every $1 invested in Philip Morris in 1980 would be worth $35,00...Read More

The idea of America was a genuine novus ordo seclorum for a New World. It was a new program…an idea so revolutionary that few people understood it and even fewer were willing to give it a chance.But it is really simplicity itself. Either people rule themselves…or someone else rules over them. Ruling themselves meant controlling their own money…real money, that is…money that...Read More

Remember Elon's last day in the White House? On May 30th he appeared alongside President Trump in the Oval Office for a quick press briefing.Musk was sporting a small but noticeable black eye.Elon said his 5-year-old son punched him while horsing around.Steve Bannon (not a fan of Elon) claimed that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Musk had gotten into a physical altercation, although the timin...Read More

Last week, Paradigm Press Group held its year-end meeting in Baltimore. Almost all of our editors were in the room, which means many names that are familiar to subscribers. Everyone had a time slot to rehash the good (and bad) parts of 2025 and look ahead to 2026. Plus, almost all of the back-office team were there, the ones who offer wise counsel and make the emails and tech support appear so sea...Read More

Back on October 16th, I got a text from a friend.He was thinking about selling some of his silver:At the time, silver was trading at $54/oz.I told him my plan, which is exactly what has been written here. And that is to hold for years to come. My basic reasoning is that the Fed would eventually have to start printing gobs of money again, and inflation would return.Plus, if I sell gold, silver, and...Read More

There is an old trading story about sardines, and it's surprisingly relevant to silver today.During the gold rush in the late 1800s, miners were striking it rich in remote parts of Alaska.But supplies were scarce and expensive. Eventually a large market for basic goods developed, and some suppliers spent more time trading food for profit rather than selling it for consumption.Sardines were in high...Read More